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Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, April 29th
29/04/25 22:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs Dodgers Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Eric Wagaman’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Eric Wagaman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 5th-best field in the majors for RHB home runs.
Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.
Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
In the last week, Eric Wagaman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 17.6%.
Out of every team today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 5th-best venue in baseball for lefty home runs.
Batting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Matt Mervis will have the upper hand today.
As it relates to his home run skill, Matt Mervis ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.
Agustin Ramirez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
Over the last week, Agustin Ramirez has displayed impressive power, recording a a 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power).
Agustin Ramirez has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball in the last week — 111.2-mph — which is a favorable indicator of recent form and raw power.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball.
Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.
The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Dodger Stadium.
Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an advantage in today’s game.
Shohei Ohtani has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Max Muncy will have an advantage in today’s game.
The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Extreme groundball bats like Max Muncy are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara.
The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Max Muncy is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Miami (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today).
When it comes to his home run skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mookie Betts projects as the 18th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mookie Betts is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball hitters like Mookie Betts usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Will Smith ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Will Smith is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.
Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Will Smith tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara.
When it comes to his home run skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Michael Conforto is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
Teoscar Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Teoscar Hernandez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Teoscar Hernandez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph to 92.5-mph in the last 7 days.
Freddie Freeman projects as the 20th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 13th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average ability.
Freddie Freeman will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara today.
Freddie Freeman is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tom Hanahan) calling pitches today.
In his last start, Sandy Alcantara was in good form and put up 7 strikeouts.
Out of all starters, Sandy Alcantara’s fastball velocity of 96.2 mph grades out in the 95th percentile this year.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball hitters like Otto Lopez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ben Casparius.
Otto Lopez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .266 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .324 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Batters such as Andy Pages with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sandy Alcantara who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.
The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Ben Casparius.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Extreme flyball batters like Xavier Edwards are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ben Casparius.
When it comes to his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Kyle Stowers has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 11% rate last season to 17.2% this year.
Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs Dodgers Series Game 2
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Batting from the same side that Ben Casparius throws from, Eric Wagaman will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Eric Wagaman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Mervis in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Matt Mervis is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Matt Mervis has been pinch hit for 25% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
Matt Mervis pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Mervis tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Ben Casparius.
Batting from the same side that Ben Casparius throws from, Agustin Ramirez will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Agustin Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Shohei Ohtani’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 94.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 91.3-mph in the past 14 days.
Shohei Ohtani’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 47.4% to 40.3%.
Shohei Ohtani has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .384 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .352 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Over the past week, Shohei Ohtani’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.1% down to 8.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Max Muncy is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.
Max Muncy pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.
In the past 7 days, Max Muncy’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 0%.
Max Muncy’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (18.7°) is considerably lower than his 26.4° mark last season.
Hitting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Mookie Betts faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.3-mph EV last year has lowered to 89.2-mph.
Mookie Betts’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 36.6% on the season to 28.6% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
When it comes to his home runs, Mookie Betts has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.9.
Sandy Alcantara will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Smith in today’s matchup.
Will Smith has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .400 mark is inflated compared to his .347 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Conforto is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.
Michael Conforto has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past two weeks.
Michael Conforto’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 94.4-mph mark last year has decreased to 88.5-mph.
Michael Conforto’s launch angle in recent games (4.1° over the last 14 days) is significantly lower than his 11.7° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Sandy Alcantara will have the handedness advantage over Teoscar Hernandez in today’s matchup.
Today, Teoscar Hernandez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.7% rate (83rd percentile).
Teoscar Hernandez’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.6-mph figure last year has fallen to 85.8-mph.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.318) provides evidence that Teoscar Hernandez has been lucky this year with his .365 actual wOBA.
In terms of his home runs, Freddie Freeman has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 22.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 19.6.
Given that flyball batters hold a big edge over groundball pitchers, Sandy Alcantara and his 49.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position in this outing being matched up with 0 opposing GB batters.
Sandy Alcantara will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Jesus Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run ability, Otto Lopez ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Otto Lopez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
Ben Casparius will have the handedness advantage against Otto Lopez today.
Today, Otto Lopez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.5% rate (98th percentile).
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Otto Lopez in today’s matchup.
Andy Pages is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
In the last week, Andy Pages’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.4%.
Andy Pages has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .372 rate is a fair amount higher than his .306 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When estimating his home run skill, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards in today’s game.
Xavier Edwards’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 87.1-mph mark last year has decreased to 81.5-mph.
Xavier Edwards’s launch angle recently (-5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 9.9° seasonal mark.
Last season, Xavier Edwards had a launch angle of 10.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 5.2°.
This year, Kyle Stowers has been pulled from the game early in 14% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Stowers in today’s game.
Over the last 14 days, Kyle Stowers’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 91 mph to 85.2 mph.
Power-wise, Kyle Stowers grades out in the 13th percentile, having averaged 9.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
Kyle Stowers’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
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