Marlins vs D-Backs match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, June 28th

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Marlins vs D-Backs match player stats | 2025 Series Game 2 Saturday, June 28th

MIA @ ARI

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Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, June 28th
28/06/25 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs D-Backs Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The #2 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Eric Wagaman has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.9-mph average.

In the past 7 days, Eric Wagaman’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.4%.

As it relates to his home runs, Eric Wagaman has had bad variance on his side this year. His 10.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.9.

Recording 91.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Brandon Pfaadt falls in the 75th percentile.

The Miami Marlins have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heriberto Hernandez, Connor Norby, Kyle Stowers).

Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over 6 opposing hitters in today’s game.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.

The Miami Marlins projected offense grades out as the 5th-weakest of the day in terms of overall batting skill.

In MLB, Chase Field’s centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest.

Connor Norby’s BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.1) provides evidence that Connor Norby has had some very poor luck this year with his 10.8 actual HR/600.

Connor Norby has posted a .331 BABIP this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Over the past week, Agustin Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.2% up to 15.4%.

Over the last 7 days, Agustin Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.1-mph over the course of the season to 106.1-mph recently.

Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pavin Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Pavin Smith will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Eugenio Suarez projects as the 16th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (23.8° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 13.4° seasonal angle.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .257 BA is deflated compared to his .277 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Sandy Alcantara’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 84th percentile out of all starters in the league currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Arizona Diamondbacks today carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .319, which is quite a bit lower than their actual wOBA of .336 this year.

Ranking in the 9th percentile, Sandy Alcantara has notched a 1.71 K/BB rate this year.

Because flyball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over flyball hitters, Sandy Alcantara and his 49.4% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position today going up against 2 opposing FB hitters.

Sandy Alcantara was on point in his last game started and notched 7 strikeouts.

Out of all starting pitchers, Sandy Alcantara’s fastball velocity of 96.5 mph ranks in the 95th percentile this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Jesus Sanchez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13% to 20.4%.

Geraldo Perdomo has notched a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 81st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Otto Lopez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Pfaadt.

Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jake McCarthy has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season’s 87.1-mph figure.

Jake McCarthy has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .265 rate is deflated compared to his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s matchup.

Xavier Edwards has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 87.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 85.2-mph.

Xavier Edwards’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 16.7% on the season to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Kyle Stowers has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 11% rate last season to 18.5% this season.

Alek Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today’s game.

Alek Thomas will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

In terms of his home runs, Alek Thomas has suffered from bad luck this year. His 8.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.4.

Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs D-Backs Series Game 2

Eric Wagaman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Chase Field has the 10th-tallest fences among all parks.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the driest conditions on the slate at 23%.

Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Eric Wagaman will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

The #4 field in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Brandon Pfaadt (35.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 GB hitters in Miami’s projected offense.

Brandon Pfaadt’s 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1-mph fall off from last season’s 93.9-mph mark.

Brandon Pfaadt has gone to his slider 5.9% less often this year (21.4%) than he did last year (27.3%).

Chase Field ranks as the #3 stadium in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With a 5.25 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Brandon Pfaadt checks in at the 10th percentile.

Connor Norby is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Connor Norby has a tough challenge today.

Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Agustin Ramirez in today’s game.

Agustin Ramirez has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Agustin Ramirez today.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara,Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

When it comes to his batting average, Ketel Marte has been lucky this year. His .313 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .271.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Pavin Smith has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 32% of the time.

Pavin Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 95.2-mph mark last year has decreased to 91.7-mph.

Sandy Alcantara will have the handedness advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home runs, Eugenio Suarez has had positive variance on his side this year. His 47.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.7.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Sandy Alcantara will hold the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.

Sandy Alcantara has recorded 14.8 outs per start this year, checking in at the 25th percentile.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today’s game.

Sandy Alcantara will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

With a 4.82 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things most within a pitcher’s control), Sandy Alcantara ranks in the 20th percentile.

Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Sandy Alcantara compiled a 9.2% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jesus Sanchez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 90.5-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 88.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Otto Lopez will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 5th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

When assessing his home run skill, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Stowers’s true offensive skill to be a .319, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 gap between that mark and his actual .358 wOBA.

Alek Thomas is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

This year, Alek Thomas has been pinch hit for in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

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