Marlins @ Braves Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Miami Marlins Game Today

Truist Park profiles as the #4 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 4th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Truist Park.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Troy Johnston will have an edge today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Truist Park grades out as the #4 stadium in the league for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the last week, Agustin Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.3% up to 33.3%.

When it comes to his home run ability, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Agustin Ramirez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 104.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 95.3-mph.

Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an edge today.

Over the last 7 days, Jakob Marsee has displayed impressive power, recording a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power).

In the last week’s worth of games, Jakob Marsee has averaged an impressive 104.6-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

Graham Pauley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today’s game.

Over the past two weeks, Graham Pauley has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 29° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.1°.

Liam Hicks is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Liam Hicks’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.7%.

As it relates to plate discipline, Liam Hicks’s talent is quite strong, sporting a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Matt Olson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today’s matchup.

Matt Olson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his home run skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Sean Murphy will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the past 7 days, Sean Murphy’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.1% up to 22.2%.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Jurickson Profar will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eli White in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Eli White will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Over the last 14 days, Eli White has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9% to 17.6%.

Over the last 14 days, Eli White’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph recently.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Eli White’s 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.4%.

Ozzie Albies will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Ozzie Albies has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.4-mph average.

Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, notching a .281 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .035 disparity.

Otto Lopez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Edward Cabrera’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 80th percentile among all starters in MLB currently.

In his last game started, Edward Cabrera was on point and allowed 2 ER.

Edward Cabrera has gone to his four-seamer 14.6% less often this year (12.8%) than he did last season (27.4%).

Out of all starters, Edward Cabrera’s fastball velocity of 95.9 mph grades out in the 91st percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Edward Cabrera in the 88th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

The Atlanta Braves have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jonathan Ornelas, Eli White, Sean Murphy).

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Nick Allen will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nick Allen’s launch angle recently (34.4° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 12.3° seasonal angle.

Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Bryce Elder in today’s matchup.

Xavier Edwards has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 88.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 85.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 19th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.

In terms of plate discipline, Xavier Edwards’s ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.58 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Michael Harris II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Harris II will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today’s game.

Throwing 91.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Bryce Elder falls in the 77th percentile.

The Miami Marlins projected offense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Miami Marlins offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Sean Murphy, the Braves’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Bryce Elder will hold that advantage today.

Bryce Elder’s slider rate has risen by 6.7% from last season to this one (31.5% to 38.2%) .

Negatives with the Atlanta Braves Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Troy Johnston in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Troy Johnston is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves.

Troy Johnston will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 9th-worst ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs.

In Major League Baseball, Truist Park’s left field dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

Bryce Elder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Agustin Ramirez in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Agustin Ramirez in today’s game.

Agustin Ramirez has posted a .261 BABIP this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 9th-worst field in MLB for righty home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jakob Marsee in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Jakob Marsee will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Graham Pauley is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

Graham Pauley has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Graham Pauley will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Graham Pauley has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days.

Graham Pauley’s BABIP ability is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 12th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Liam Hicks has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time.

Liam Hicks has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Liam Hicks in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Liam Hicks’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 87.9 mph to 82.1 mph.

In today’s matchup, Matt Olson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.6% rate (83rd percentile).

Over the last 14 days, Matt Olson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.9% down to 0%.

Matt Olson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 16.9% on the season to 5.4% in the past 14 days.

Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Sean Murphy faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Sean Murphy’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 88.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.5-mph over the last two weeks.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Sean Murphy’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.5) may lead us to conclude that Sean Murphy has been lucky this year with his 33.2 actual HR/600.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Sean Murphy has been lucky this year. His .336 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Edward Cabrera,Jurickson Profar’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 45.9% to 26.5%.

Jurickson Profar’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 26.5% on the season to 20% in the past week.

Jurickson Profar has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .237 BA is considerably higher than his .192 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jurickson Profar’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.5-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 85.2-mph over the past week.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.280) provides evidence that Jurickson Profar has been very fortunate this year with his .321 actual wOBA.

Eli White is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Eli White will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to plate discipline, Eli White’s ability is quite weak, putting up a 5.54 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Edward Cabrera,In the past week, Ozzie Albies has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power).

By putting up a .220 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 10th percentile.

Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 15.2% on the season to 9.4% over the past two weeks.

Bryce Elder will have the handedness advantage over Otto Lopez today.

Typically, bats like Otto Lopez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bryce Elder.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Lopez today.

Placing in the 11th percentile, Otto Lopez has put up a .261 BABIP this year.

The Atlanta Braves have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 7th-best park in the majors for base hits.

Edward Cabrera will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Atlanta Braves hitters as a group place 9th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when assessing with their 9.3% Barrel%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Nick Allen is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Nick Allen has been pinch hit for 20% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Edward Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Allen today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 3rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

When estimating his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Xavier Edwards’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (6.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.8° angle last year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.277) implies that Xavier Edwards has been very fortunate this year with his .298 actual batting average.

Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Michael Harris II has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.

Michael Harris II has notched a .267 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 8th percentile.

By putting up a 6.59 K/BB rate this year, Michael Harris II has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 2nd percentile.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Michael Harris II’s 8.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Stowers in today’s game.

Despite posting a .395 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Stowers has had some very good luck given the .061 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

With 6 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Bryce Elder will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Bryce Elder’s 90.7-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 12th percentile among all SPs.

Among all starting pitchers, Bryce Elder’s fastball spin rate of 2195 rpm is in the 25th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryce Elder in the 25th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Miami Marlins with a 20.9% underlying K%.

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