Guardians @ White Sox Matchup Details

Positives for the Cleveland Guardians Game Today

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 86°.

Curtis Mead has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Curtis Mead will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Curtis Mead has been unlucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 8.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly deflated relative to his 12.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Curtis Mead’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) has been 112.4 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile.

Curtis Mead grades out in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.1% rate since the start of last season).

Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #5 field in MLB for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.

Daniel Schneemann will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale today.

In the past week, Daniel Schneemann’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 27.3%.

Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

There has been a significant improvement in Angel Martinez’s launch angle from last season’s 14.8° to 18.6° this year.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Kyle Manzardo has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.9% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past two weeks.

Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an edge in today’s game.

Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Colson Montgomery will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Tanner Bibee’s overall pitching ability is in the 83rd percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball currently.

Tanner Bibee has averaged 94.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

The Chicago White Sox projected offense profiles as the 2nd-weakest of the day in terms of overall batting skill.

The Chicago White Sox (25.8% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the most strikeout-heavy set of batters on the slate today.

Tanner Bibee’s four-seamer utilization has dropped by 17.2% from last year to this one (43.4% to 26.2%) .

Kyle Teel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Teel will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brooks Baldwin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Brooks Baldwin’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Collin Kayfus in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Collin Kayfus will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Civale today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Andrew Benintendi ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Andrew Benintendi will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Bibee in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Jose Ramirez’s 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

Aaron Civale has a large reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 8 opposite-handed batters in this matchup.

Aaron Civale will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

Out of all SPs, Aaron Civale’s fastball spin rate of 2425 rpm grades out in the 81st percentile this year.

The 4th-worst projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.

When estimating his home run talent, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Luis Robert Jr. will hold that advantage today.

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Mike Tauchman will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Mike Tauchman has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Mike Tauchman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Gabriel Arias has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Gabriel Arias’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.1-mph over the course of the season to 101-mph in recent games.

Gabriel Arias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 11.9% to 16.2%.

Compared to his seasonal average of 5.6°, Gabriel Arias has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.4° figure over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Civale in today’s matchup.

Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Bo Naylor has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.4% seasonal rate to 19% over the last 14 days.

Brayan Rocchio’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 87.4-mph now compared to just 84.5-mph then.

As it relates to his batting average, Brayan Rocchio has had bad variance on his side this year. His .226 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

Brayan Rocchio has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .266 figure is a fair amount lower than his .296 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Steven Kwan will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Lenyn Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Lenyn Sosa has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage today.

Lenyn Sosa’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Chicago White Sox Game Today

Curtis Mead is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.

Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Curtis Mead will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team playing today.

In notching a .115 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Curtis Mead is positioned in the 19th percentile.

12% of the time that Daniel Schneemann has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Daniel Schneemann today.

The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team in action today.

Daniel Schneemann has put up a .233 batting average this year, placing in the 25th percentile.

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Angel Martinez will bat from his weak side against Aaron Civale today.

Angel Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Kyle Manzardo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Kyle Manzardo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 94.1 mph to 82.6 mph.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Manzardo has had some very good luck this year. His .330 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .315.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 10th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

11% of the time that Colson Montgomery has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Despite posting a .352 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colson Montgomery has had some very good luck given the .064 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .288.

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #3 field in Major League Baseball for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, Guaranteed Rate Field’s left field fences are the shallowest.

Tanner Bibee will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Tanner Bibee’s fastball spin rate has decreased 111 rpm this season (2250 rpm) below where it was last season (2361 rpm).

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #28 field in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tanner Bibee struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous start and put up 2 Ks.

Tanner Bibee was on point in his previous GS and conceded 0 ER.

Kyle Teel is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Kyle Teel has been pinch hit for 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

In the past 14 days, Kyle Teel’s 21.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 26.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Teel’s true offensive talent to be a .306, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .017 disparity between that figure and his actual .323 wOBA.

Brooks Baldwin is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

In the last 7 days, Brooks Baldwin’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.1% down to 0%.

In the past 7 days, Brooks Baldwin’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

With a .367 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Brooks Baldwin grades out in the 25th percentile.

Collin Kayfus is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

Collin Kayfus will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

With a .244 wOBA in the last week’s worth of games, Collin Kayfus has been struggling at the plate.

Collin Kayfus has displayed some bad exit velocity indicators recently, averaging just 85.6-mph on his flyballs over the past week.

Over the past week, Andrew Benintendi’s 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 35.7%.

Andrew Benintendi has recorded a .229 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a .242 BABIP this year, Andrew Benintendi is ranked in the 3rd percentile.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Aaron Civale today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Ramirez in today’s matchup.

Jose Ramirez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 87-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Jose Ramirez has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .371 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In his previous start, Aaron Civale struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

Aaron Civale has used his four-seam fastball 5.2% more often this year (15.1%) than he did last season (9.9%).

Checking in at the 11th percentile, Aaron Civale compiled an 8.1% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Generating 15 outs per game per started this year on average, Aaron Civale falls in the 25th percentile.

Aaron Civale conceded a whopping 5 earned runs in his last game started.

Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Luis Robert Jr. will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Luis Robert Jr. has recorded a .293 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Luis Robert Jr. sits with a .366 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Ranking in the 16th percentile, Luis Robert Jr. has posted a .223 batting average this year.

Mike Tauchman has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Mike Tauchman has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph dropping to 84.9-mph over the past 7 days.

Mike Tauchman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 17% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Despite posting a .365 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mike Tauchman has had some very good luck given the .053 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Gabriel Arias is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Aaron Civale will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Arias today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gabriel Arias in today’s game.

With a .286 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Gabriel Arias is positioned in the 15th percentile for hitting ability.

Bo Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Posting a .292 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bo Naylor has performed in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Bo Naylor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 43.2% to 37.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Brayan Rocchio is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brayan Rocchio today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Brayan Rocchio’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.2-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 86-mph seasonal average has lowered to 83.8-mph in the last two weeks.

Over the last week, Steven Kwan has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).

Hitting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Lenyn Sosa will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lenyn Sosa’s true offensive ability to be a .297, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .028 gap between that figure and his actual .325 wOBA.

As it relates to plate discipline, Lenyn Sosa’s skill is quite weak, posting a 6.18 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 3rd percentile.

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