Marlins @ Astros Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Miami Marlins Series Game 3 Game Today

Liam Hicks is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage over Peter Lambert in today’s matchup.

,Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

,Liam Hicks has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 98th percentile with a 1.03 K/BB rate.

,In notching a .287 batting average this year, Liam Hicks is positioned in the 89th percentile.

,Checking in at the 81st percentile, Liam Hicks has posted a .353 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 8th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Otto Lopez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Otto Lopez has compiled a .282 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,This year, the hardest ball Otto Lopez has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.8 mph (an advanced stat to evaluate power), placing in the 80th percentile.

,HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest in Major League Baseball.

,Jakob Marsee will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert today.

,Jakob Marsee’s launch angle this year (18.3°) is a considerable increase over his 10.9° angle last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jakob Marsee’s true offensive ability to be a .309, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .029 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .280 wOBA.

,Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.4% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Isaac Paredes’s 23.5° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in baseball: 99th percentile.

,Ranking in the 77th percentile, Isaac Paredes has put up a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,When assessing his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In MLB, Minute Maid Park’s LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

,Christian Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Christian Walker is in the 78th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.400.

,Christian Walker has posted a .346 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

,LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and LaMonte Wade Jr. will hold that advantage today.

,Compared to last season, LaMonte Wade Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.4% to 24% this season.

,When assessing his home run ability, Griffin Conine ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Peter Lambert throws from, Griffin Conine will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,In the past week, Griffin Conine’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.1% up to 50%.

,Griffin Conine’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 16.1% on the season to 50% in the last week.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors.

,Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an edge today.

,Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,Over the past 14 days, Yordan Alvarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.2-mph over the course of the season to 100-mph recently.

,Javier Sanoja pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Javier Sanoja’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 12.3% on the season to 30% in the last 7 days.

,Javier Sanoja has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 84th percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.

,Over the last 14 days, Griffin Conine has averaged an impressive 102.6-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yainer Diaz’s true offensive skill to be a .315, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .031 deviation between that mark and his actual .284 wOBA.

,Yainer Diaz has notched a .272 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Peter Lambert in this game.

,Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Xavier Edwards has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.1-mph figure.

,When it comes to his batting average skill, Xavier Edwards is projected as the 19th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Sandy Alcantara’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 76th percentile out of all starters in MLB right now.

,Sandy Alcantara has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 7.5 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starter.

,The #5 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Compared to the average hurler, Peter Lambert has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording an additional 3.9 adjusted pitches each outing.

,The Miami Marlins have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Javier Sanoja has compiled a .275 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Christian Walker’s launch angle in recent games (22.3° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 15.3° seasonal figure.

,When it comes to his batting average talent, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 18th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

,Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In the past two weeks, Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph recently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Kyle Stowers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Peter Lambert throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand today.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Kyle Stowers grades out in the 97th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .380.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Jose Altuve is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage today.

,Jose Altuve’s launch angle recently (22.4° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 10.1° seasonal figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the best park in baseball for strikeouts.

,Joe Mack will have the handedness advantage against Peter Lambert in today’s matchup.

,Joe Mack has paced 26.8 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile for power.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

,Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Heriberto Hernandez has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 14 days.

,When estimating his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Heriberto Hernandez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 92.3-mph EV.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,This season, Xavier Edwards has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.3 mph compared to last year’s 85.6 mph mark.

,By putting up a 36.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kyle Stowers has performed in the 97th percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Jakob Marsee has notched a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 8.2°, Otto Lopez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 12° mark in the past 14 days.

,Otto Lopez has put up a .368 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 91st percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Minute Maid Park ranks as the #28 stadium in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to less offense.

,The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.

,Liam Hicks pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) in the league.

,Liam Hicks will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 6th-worst stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.

,Batting from the same side that Peter Lambert throws from, Otto Lopez faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jakob Marsee in the 22nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Jakob Marsee has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

,The #6 stadium in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Christian Walker has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Sandy Alcantara will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Walker in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 14th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,28% of the time that LaMonte Wade Jr. has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Griffin Conine is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Griffin Conine has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 28% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Today, Yordan Alvarez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38% rate (75th percentile).

,As it relates to his home run ability, Javier Sanoja ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Javier Sanoja is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

,The #3 park in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Sandy Alcantara will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s matchup.

,Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Sandy Alcantara will have the handedness advantage against Yainer Diaz in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run skill, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today’s game.

,Xavier Edwards’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 15.6% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,In today’s game, Otto Lopez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.6% rate (94th percentile).

,Sandy Alcantara will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Sandy Alcantara’s curveball utilization has dropped by 15.7% from last season to this one (18% to 2.3%) .

,The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Houston Astros has been 118.5 mph this year, ranking them as the #2 offense in MLB by this metric.

,Projected catcher Yainer Diaz projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,With a 1.66 discrepancy between Peter Lambert’s 3.03 ERA and his 4.69 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball this year and ought to negatively regress in future games.

,Peter Lambert has put up a .238 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest hurlers in baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

,Peter Lambert has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed hitters today.

,In his previous start, Sandy Alcantara performed well and conceded 0 ER.

,Christian Walker has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 10% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Sandy Alcantara will have the handedness advantage against Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

,LaMonte Wade Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 7 days.

,With a .283 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, LaMonte Wade Jr. grades out in the 1st percentile.

,Today, Kyle Stowers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35% rate (81st percentile).

,Kyle Stowers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Sandy Alcantara will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today’s matchup.

,Checking in at the 24th percentile, Sandy Alcantara has posted an 18.5% Strikeout% this year.

,Joe Mack’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joe Mack is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Joe Mack has been pinch hit for 16% of the time.

,Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.4-mph figure last season has fallen to 87.8-mph.

,Griffin Conine’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Peter Lambert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heriberto Hernandez in today’s game.

,Heriberto Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.3% down to 0%.

,Peter Lambert will have the handedness advantage against Javier Sanoja in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90.6-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 87.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Yordan Alvarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, falling from 22.5% on the season to 0% over the past week.

,Joe Mack will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Given the 0.83 discrepancy between Peter Lambert’s 8.90 K/9 and his 8.07 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to negatively regress in the future.

,Jakob Marsee will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Jakob Marsee’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.9-mph EV last season has dropped to 86.6-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

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