Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Seattle at Chicago Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jason Vosler will hold the platoon advantage over Erick Fedde in today’s game.

Jason Vosler pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jason Vosler has paced 34.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mitch Haniger is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

Mitch Haniger has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

In the last 7 days, Mitch Haniger’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph of late.

When estimating his home run talent, Mitch Haniger ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #8 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Luke Raley’s BABIP skill is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jorge Polanco has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8% seasonal rate to 16% over the past two weeks.

The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Korey Lee will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Over the last 7 days, Korey Lee’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 12.5%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Andrew Vaughn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Victor Robles is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Victor Robles has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 92-mph over the past 7 days.

Erick Fedde has averaged 94.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

The Seattle Mariners have 6 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Dylan Moore, Cal Raleigh, Jason Vosler, Cal Raleigh, Jorge Polanco, Luke Raley).

Erick Fedde will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

Erick Fedde’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (69.7% this year) ought to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Andrew Vaughn will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The Seattle Mariners have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future, In the majors, Guaranteed Rate Field’s LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Luis Robert is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Luis Robert pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.3) may lead us to conclude that Dylan Moore has had bad variance on his side this year with his 16.6 actual HR/600.

Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Dylan Moore sports a .307 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Eloy Jimenez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Eloy Jimenez will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When estimating his home run ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.1) suggests that Victor Robles has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 2.7 actual HR/600.

Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Paul DeJong will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

There has been a significant improvement in Paul DeJong’s launch angle from last season’s 16.8° to 21.1° this year.

In the last week’s worth of games, Korey Lee’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

Riley Baldwin pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Riley Baldwin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Josh Rojas will have an edge in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Josh Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Considering Bryan Woo’s huge platoon split, Andrew Benintendi will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Andrew Benintendi has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Chicago’s 2nd-worst outfield defense on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Cal Raleigh, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Cal Raleigh has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last season’s 89.6-mph EV.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tommy Pham is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Tommy Pham has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Eloy Jimenez’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Rojas’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (16°) is a considerable increase over his 10.5° figure last season.

The Chicago White Sox have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Paul DeJong, Korey Lee, Luis Robert).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as an elite pitch framer.

Bryan Woo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 7 opposing hitters in this matchup… and will be extra-advantaged due to his huge platoon split.

Bryan Woo has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, putting up a 6.16 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.25 — a 2.08 K/9 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Pham in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Luis Robert will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Placing in the 91st percentile, Victor Robles sits with a .349 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Andrew Benintendi will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Josh Rojas’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (25.2° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 16° seasonal angle.

The Chicago White Sox have been the unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward, Riley Baldwin has had a good handle on his launch angle lately, avoiding launch angles that are too high (and are generally easy outs) 58.3% of the time over the past 7 days.

Dylan Moore has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .204 rate is considerably lower than his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his home run skill, Paul DeJong ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Mariners vs White Sox Matchup

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jason Vosler ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jason Vosler is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season, Jason Vosler has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.3-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for pitchers.

Jason Vosler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Hitting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Mitch Haniger will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mitch Haniger in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, Mitch Haniger ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .222.

Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Mitch Haniger has posted a .223 batting average this year.

Luke Raley has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luke Raley in today’s game.

Over the last two weeks, Luke Raley’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

There has been a significant decline in Luke Raley’s launch angle from last season’s 17.2° to 11.2° this season.

Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

With a .275 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jorge Polanco has performed in the 16th percentile.

Jorge Polanco has posted a .317 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, placing in the 9th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Korey Lee in the 5th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Korey Lee is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

Bryan Woo will have the handedness advantage over Korey Lee today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Woo’s huge platoon split.

In the past week, Korey Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 91.2 mph to 86.6 mph.

Given Bryan Woo’s huge platoon split, Andrew Vaughn will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.

In the last two weeks, Andrew Vaughn’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.

Andrew Vaughn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 18.3% on the season to 4% in the past two weeks.

Andrew Vaughn has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 21st percentile with a 3.86 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Vosler in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Victor Robles has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Batting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Victor Robles will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Victor Robles in today’s game.

Victor Robles has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 14.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 4.8% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jordan Baker) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Korey Lee (the White Sox’s expected catcher today) projects as a weak pitch framer.

The #6 ballpark in the game for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

The Seattle Mariners have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in this game.

Checking in at the 22nd percentile, Erick Fedde recorded a 9% Swinging Strike% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Erick Fedde in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

The #8 ballpark in MLB for suppressing BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Erick Fedde was firing on all cylinders in his last game started and allowed 2 ER.

Bryan Woo will have the handedness advantage against Luis Robert in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Woo’s huge platoon split.

Luis Robert’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 45.5% to 40%.

In terms of his home runs, Luis Robert has been lucky this year. His 34.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 29.0.

Sporting a .218 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Luis Robert has performed in the 12th percentile.

Dylan Moore is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Dylan Moore faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Dylan Moore will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Dylan Moore’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.

Because of Bryan Woo’s huge platoon split, Eloy Jimenez will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Eloy Jimenez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

Eloy Jimenez’s launch angle this year (2.1°) is significantly lower than his 5.8° figure last year.

Eloy Jimenez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 9.4% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Erick Fedde, Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cal Raleigh today.

Cal Raleigh’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 92.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Checking in at the 19th percentile, Cal Raleigh has posted a .261 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 6th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Paul DeJong is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

Bryan Woo will have the handedness advantage over Paul DeJong in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Woo’s huge platoon split.

Paul DeJong’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 87.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 81.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Riley Baldwin is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Riley Baldwin will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Bryan Woo… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Woo’s huge platoon split.

Riley Baldwin has been cold of late, limping his way to a .137 wOBA in the past week.

In the past week, Riley Baldwin’s swing has not been well optimized for base hits, hitting a mere 33.3% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

As it relates to his home run talent, Josh Rojas ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

17% of the time that Josh Rojas has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Rojas in today’s game.

Andrew Benintendi’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 48.4% to 39.9%.

Checking in at the 4th percentile, Andrew Benintendi has posted a .247 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

In notching a .221 BABIP this year, Andrew Benintendi has performed in the 4th percentile.

Jorge Polanco has compiled a .214 batting average this year, placing in the 15th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Because of Bryan Woo’s huge platoon split, Tommy Pham will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 11.7°, Tommy Pham has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.6°) in the last two weeks.

Tommy Pham’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 13.8% to 10.8%.

Grading out in the 18th percentile for power, Tommy Pham has averaged 9.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Woo to throw 79 pitches today (2nd-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryan Woo in today’s matchup.

Bryan Woo’s higher utilization rate of his fastball this season (78.6 vs. 72.4% last year) is not ideal consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Last season, Luis Robert had a launch angle of 17.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 13.2°.

Luis Robert’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 18.3% on the season to 9.1% in the past week’s worth of games.

When assessing his home run talent, Andrew Benintendi ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Checking in at the 8th percentile, Andrew Benintendi has posted a .308 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Bryan Woo’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 84th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 20th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Robert has been very fortunate this year. His .320 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.0) may lead us to conclude that Paul DeJong has been lucky this year with his 29.4 actual HR/600.