Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for New York at Boston Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Marcus Stroman in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today’s matchup.

Alex Verdugo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences today.

Alex Verdugo has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark.

Marcus Stroman has averaged 93.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 84th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Boston Red Sox in this game carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .308, which is a good deal worse than their actual wOBA of .325 this year.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in the future, It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (John Tumpane) in charge of the strike zone today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees’s expected catcher today) profiles as a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Austin Wells has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 field in the game for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums.

Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the game.

Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Aaron Judge’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.6%.

Aaron Judge has performed at a clip of 46.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 100th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

David Hamilton is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman in today’s matchup.

David Hamilton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Gleyber Torres is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Fenway Park projects as the #6 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Over the last week, Gleyber Torres’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.7% up to 14.3%.

When assessing his home run skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.

Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Stroman in today’s matchup.

Wilyer Abreu has big-time power (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Marcus Stroman doesn’t generate many whiffs (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Abreu.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Jarren Duran will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Austin Wells’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 18.6% on the season to 25% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Fenway Park grades out as the #6 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Anthony Volpe has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge today.

Trent Grisham hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Trent Grisham has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.2-mph figure.

Trent Grisham’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 15.7% to 22.4%.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.4°, David Hamilton has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2°) over the past 14 days.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kutter Crawford in the 84th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

Given that groundball hitters struggle against groundball pitchers, Kutter Crawford (41.6% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 2 GB hitters in the opposition’s projected offense.

Wilyer Abreu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

Checking in at the 80th percentile, Connor Wong has notched a .345 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Grading out in the 94th percentile, Connor Wong has notched a .349 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

When it comes to his batting average, Anthony Volpe has had some very poor luck this year. His .251 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .269.

When assessing his home run ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in today’s matchup.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Wilyer Abreu, Connor Wong, Romy Gonzalez).

The New York Yankees projected lineup profiles as the best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

Kutter Crawford allowed a whopping 6 earned runs in his last start.

Bats such as Juan Soto with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kutter Crawford who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Benjamin Rice ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Benjamin Rice will have an edge in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Benjamin Rice’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.9-mph recently.

When estimating his home run ability, Benjamin Rice ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Gleyber Torres has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 23° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dominic Smith is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge in today’s game.

Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Over the past week, Connor Wong’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph recently.

Over the last 14 days, Benjamin Rice’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20.3% up to 23.5%.

Dominic Smith has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.4-mph EV.

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Yankees vs Red Sox Matchup

The league’s 2nd-tallest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.

Fenway Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense.

The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Rafael Devers has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 14.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 5.6% over the past 7 days.

Rafael Devers’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (4.2° in the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 11.5° seasonal mark.

Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.8°, Alex Verdugo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.9°) over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for batting average.

The shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Marcus Stroman in today’s matchup.

Marcus Stroman’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.5 mph this year (89.4 mph) below where it was last year (90.9 mph).

Marcus Stroman’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2195 rpm) has been considerably worse than than his seasonal rate (2247 rpm).

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Austin Wells has been pulled from the game early 16% of the time.

Typically, hitters like Austin Wells who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Kutter Crawford.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Wells today.

Batting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage today.

Typically, hitters like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Kutter Crawford.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, David Hamilton ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

David Hamilton’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 87.6-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 82.7-mph in the last 14 days.

David Hamilton has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the last two weeks.

Hitting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Gleyber Torres will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Gleyber Torres’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 85.8-mph over the last two weeks.

Wilyer Abreu’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 17.7% on the season to 0% in the last week.

Despite posting a .366 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has had some very good luck given the .029 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

When assessing his home run ability, Anthony Volpe ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

This year, Alex Verdugo’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 23rd percentile at 90.1 mph.

By putting up a .286 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Alex Verdugo finds himself in the 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Trent Grisham is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trent Grisham in today’s matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kutter Crawford to throw 84 pitches in today’s game (5th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

Fenway Park grades out as the #21 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kutter Crawford wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his last outing and notched 2 Ks.

Kutter Crawford has gone to his curveball 6.5% less often this season (5.6%) than he did last year (12.1%).

Connor Wong is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Marcus Stroman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Wong in today’s game.

Connor Wong’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.1-mph figure last year has fallen to 86.3-mph.

Batting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Anthony Volpe encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Aaron Judge in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.353) implies that Rafael Devers has been lucky this year with his .394 actual wOBA.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Juan Soto in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Marcus Stroman in the 18th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Kutter Crawford’s overall pitching talent is in the 80th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game currently.

Benjamin Rice is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Benjamin Rice in today’s game.

Ceddanne Rafaela has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks.

Juan Soto has been lucky this year, putting up a .436 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .406 — a .030 disparity.

Wilyer Abreu has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .263 rate is inflated compared to his .224 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his batting average, Dominic Smith has had some very good luck this year. His .232 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .216.

Placing in the 22nd percentile, Dominic Smith has posted a .223 batting average this year.

Anthony Volpe will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 16.6°, Benjamin Rice has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Checking in at the 24th percentile, Dominic Smith has posted a .356 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.