Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Washington at St. Louis Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.

This game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Jacob Young has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .248 BA is considerably lower than his .269 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Gibson in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Lane Thomas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 14.9% on the season to 28.6% over the past week.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Last year, Nolan Arenado had an average launch angle of 12.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 15.4°.

Juan Yepez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Juan Yepez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 20%.

Juan Yepez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 88.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 86.1-mph.

Luis Garcia’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Luis Garcia will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Luis Garcia has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Alec Burleson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as Major League Baseball’s 10th-best home run hitter.

Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today.

Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Kyle Gibson.

Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle this season (19.8°) is considerably higher than his 15.1° mark last season.

Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle lately (23.1° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 19.8° seasonal mark.

LaVictor Lipscomb has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph to 93.4-mph in the past week.

LaVictor Lipscomb’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 8.5% on the season to 16.7% over the past week.

Nolan Gorman has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 17.5% seasonal rate to 42.9% in the past week.

Last season, Nolan Gorman had an average launch angle of 21.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 25.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Paul Goldschmidt’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.2% up to 25%.

Alec Burleson’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Mike Siani will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Mike Siani will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Mike Siani has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 84.6-mph mark.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 19th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.

James Wood is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today’s game.

Utilizing Statcast data, CJ Abrams ranks in the 79th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .337.

James Wood hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

By putting up a .335 BABIP this year, Masyn Winn has performed in the 87th percentile.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today.

Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky this year, notching a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .040 gap.

Kyle Gibson has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

Kyle Gibson will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats in all categories.

Paul Goldschmidt has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year’s 93.9-mph average.

Luis Garcia’s launch angle this season (8.4°) is considerably higher than his 4.5° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesse Winker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jesse Winker will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Gibson today.

Jesse Winker has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 93-mph over the last 14 days.

Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Irvin has averaged 93.4 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

In his previous start, Jake Irvin was rolling and accumulated 7 strikeouts.

Jake Irvin’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this season (45.8% compared to 35.4% last season) ought to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Nationals vs Cardinals Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Jacob Young is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #4 stadium in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jacob Young faces a tough challenge today.

Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, CJ Abrams is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.9% rate (80th percentile).

Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

CJ Abrams has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

Brendan Donovan has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Brendan Donovan’s launch angle recently (7° over the past 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.6° seasonal mark.

Brendan Donovan’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (8.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.3° figure last season.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Lane Thomas will be at a disadvantage today.

Lane Thomas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Lane Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #27 park in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Willson Contreras faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Willson Contreras’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (0.4° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably worse than his 10.3° seasonal mark.

Willson Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 14.7% to 10.5%.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Willson Contreras has had positive variance on his side this year. His .386 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .341.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Nolan Arenado faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 88.8-mph figure last season has lowered to 85.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Yepez in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Juan Yepez will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Juan Yepez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Luis Garcia is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

In today’s matchup, Luis Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.4% rate (94th percentile).

Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The #3 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.9°, Alec Burleson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.4°) over the past 14 days.

Alec Burleson has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 29.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 18.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Nolan Gorman has compiled a .206 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a .207 batting average this year, Nolan Gorman has performed in the 12th percentile.

Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Lars Nootbaar’s launch angle lately (1.2° over the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 4.7° seasonal angle.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Lars Nootbaar ranks in just the 4th percentile with a 4.7° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Today, Keibert Ruiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.5% rate (97th percentile).

When assessing his home run skill, LaVictor Lipscomb ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

LaVictor Lipscomb is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, LaVictor Lipscomb meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

LaVictor Lipscomb has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Nolan Gorman’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to plate discipline, Nolan Gorman’s talent is quite weak, posting a 4.2 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 16th percentile.

Paul Goldschmidt has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-largest outfield in the league — generally bad for HRs.

Jake Irvin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today’s matchup.

Placing in the 22nd percentile, Paul Goldschmidt has notched a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mike Siani ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mike Siani is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

In today’s game, Mike Siani is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.3% rate (94th percentile).

Mike Siani’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 15.1% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

James Wood will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

CJ Abrams’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 88.5-mph seasonal average has decreased to 83.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn today.

In today’s matchup, Masyn Winn is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.9% rate (83rd percentile).

Masyn Winn’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 85.7-mph seasonal average has fallen to 83-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Keibert Ruiz today.

Lance Barksdale grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in this game.

Willson Contreras, the Cardinals’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium projects as the #23 park in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Gibson’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.2 mph this season (90.2 mph) below where it was last year (91.4 mph).

Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.9-mph figure last year has fallen to 86.7-mph.

The 4th-weakest projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Washington Nationals.

Busch Stadium grades out as the #28 park in baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all parks, Busch Stadium’s RF fences are the 2nd-deepest.

By putting up a 4.14 K/BB rate this year, Paul Goldschmidt has demonstrated bad plate discipline, ranking in the 18th percentile.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Juan Yepez in today’s matchup.

Juan Yepez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 17.8% on the season to 13.3% over the past 7 days.

In the last week, Luis Garcia’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

Jacob Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Jesse Winker has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Jesse Winker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Jesse Winker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

Nolan Arenado’s launch angle recently (9.6° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 17.3° seasonal figure.

In the last week’s worth of games, Mike Siani has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power).

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 14.7% to 9.7%.

Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 94.8-mph mark last year has lowered to 89-mph.

In the last 7 days, Nolan Arenado’s 26.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.7-mph mark last year has dropped off to 86.4-mph.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.5°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.9°) in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Burleson’s true offensive ability to be a .317, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .026 deviation between that mark and his actual .343 wOBA.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Irvin in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaVictor Lipscomb in the 8th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.