
SEA @ SD


Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, May 18th
18/05/25 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Padres Series Game 3 Matchup Today
When assessing his batting average talent, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.
Because of Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Jackson Merrill will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.
Jackson Merrill is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
The #9 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.
Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Bryan Woo as the 19th-best pitcher in the majors right now.
Bryan Woo has recorded 19 outs per start this year, ranking in the 99th percentile.
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for batting average.
When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryan Woo in the 82nd percentile among all starters in MLB.
Petco Park projects as the #3 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.
The #9 park in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.
Xander Bogaerts’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Considering Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Jake Cronenworth will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Jake Cronenworth may have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today’s matchup.
J.P. Crawford hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the weakest among every team in action today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
When assessing his home run skill, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Given Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Luis Arraez will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Luis Arraez has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael King in the 92nd percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.
Michael King has averaged 93.1 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael King in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.
Because flyball pitchers have a sizeable advantage over flyball batters, Michael King and his 33.7% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today’s outing facing 3 opposing FB batters.
Considering Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Gavin Sheets will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.
The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
Cal Raleigh projects as the 6th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
When estimating his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Julio Rodriguez projects as the 15th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Miles Mastrobuoni will have an advantage in today’s game.
Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Padres Series Game 3
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 3rd-worst park in the game for run-scoring.
Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to less offense.
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
The #3 park in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.
Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.
Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Woo in today’s matchup.
Among all SPs, Bryan Woo’s fastball spin rate of 2227 rpm grades out in the 25th percentile this year.
In his previous start, Bryan Woo was in good form and gave up 1 ER.
The San Diego Padres (17.9 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of the day.
Bryan Woo’s high usage rate of his fastball (68.7% this year) is likely weakening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Considering Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Xander Bogaerts will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.
The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Elias Diaz is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.
Bryan Woo will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.
Because of Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Manny Machado will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.
Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Bryan Woo will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for J.P. Crawford in today’s matchup.
Michael King will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randy Arozarena in today’s game.
Rowdy Tellez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Rowdy Tellez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Michael King,Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.
Extreme groundball bats like Jorge Polanco tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael King.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Michael King’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.2 mph this season (91.8 mph) below where it was last year (93 mph).
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Michael King has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.4% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
Michael King will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Today, Gavin Sheets is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.2% rate (84th percentile).
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Michael King in today’s matchup.
Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Typically, batters like Cal Raleigh who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Michael King.
Michael King will have the handedness advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.
Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Miles Mastrobuoni ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Miles Mastrobuoni is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mastrobuoni in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Miles Mastrobuoni in today’s game.
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