
TB @ MIA



Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, May 18th
18/05/25 13:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Marlins Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Eric Wagaman will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Ronny Simon will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Matt Mervis will have the handedness advantage over Shane Baz in today’s matchup.
Matt Mervis will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Mervis in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby as the 17th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Connor Norby is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Javier Sanoja hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Extreme groundball bats like Javier Sanoja are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane Baz.
Javier Sanoja will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Chandler Simpson will hold the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today’s matchup.
Chandler Simpson may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Chandler Simpson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball bats like Chandler Simpson tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cal Quantrill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 19th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.
Cal Quantrill has a reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 6 opposite-handed bats today.
Cal Quantrill will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Cal Quantrill’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this season (68% compared to 59.8% last year) figures to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Cal Quantrill is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.8% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #24 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this matchup.
As it relates to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Extreme groundball hitters like Yandy Diaz usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cal Quantrill.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today’s game.
The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Batters such as Jesus Sanchez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Shane Baz who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Jesus Sanchez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Josh Lowe is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Josh Lowe will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Josh Lowe may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Shane Baz’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 81st percentile out of all starters in the league right now.
Recording 95 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Shane Baz ranks in the 88th percentile.
The 2nd-weakest projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Miami Marlins.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shane Baz in the 78th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.
The Miami Marlins have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt Mervis, Kyle Stowers, Connor Norby).
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jonathan Aranda can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.
Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Kameron Misner has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Kameron Misner will have the handedness advantage over Cal Quantrill in today’s game.
Kameron Misner is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Marlins Series Game 3
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB home runs.
LoanDepot Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Batting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Eric Wagaman will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ronny Simon in the 11th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Ronny Simon is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #23 park in the game for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The 4th-deepest RF dimensions in the league are found in LoanDepot Park.
Matt Mervis’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Mervis is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
In today’s matchup, Matt Mervis is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.4% rate (93rd percentile).
Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Connor Norby encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Connor Norby pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
Javier Sanoja is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.
Shane Baz will have the handedness advantage against Javier Sanoja today.
When it comes to his home run skill, Javier Sanoja ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When assessing his home run ability, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Chandler Simpson is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Chandler Simpson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cal Quantrill in the 5th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.
Compared to the average starting pitcher, Cal Quantrill has been granted a below-average leash this year, tallying an -10.4 fewer adjusted pitches each start.
Given that flyball batters hold a notable edge over groundball pitchers, Cal Quantrill and his 32.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult position in this game squaring off against 2 opposing GB hitters.
In his previous start, Cal Quantrill didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.
Cal Quantrill’s 92.4-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1.4-mph fall off from last season’s 93.8-mph figure.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Cal Quantrill’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 4th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game currently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for walks.
In his previous game started, Cal Quantrill allowed a colossal 6 earned runs.
Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Yandy Diaz has a tough challenge today.
Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and will be challenged by the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.
Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Today, Brandon Lowe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.3% rate (95th percentile).
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Lowe today.
Danny Jansen’s BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Danny Jansen is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
Cal Quantrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Danny Jansen today.
Today, Jesus Sanchez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.3% rate (95th percentile).
Josh Lowe has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Lowe in today’s game.
Taylor Walls’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Taylor Walls is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Walls ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Shane Baz (35.8% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Miami’s projected lineup.
Shane Baz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Shane Baz has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.63 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.88 — a 0.75 K/9 gap.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonathan Aranda today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 13th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 4th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kameron Misner today.
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