Mariners vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Friday, May 16th

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Mariners vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Friday, May 16th

SEA @ SD

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Matchup Details

Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres

Todays Game is on Friday, May 16th
16/05/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Padres Matchup Today

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Seattle Mariners offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

Petco Park ranks as the #28 ballpark in baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the San Diego Padres.

Stephen Kolek will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats across the board.

Petco Park ranks as the #3 field in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.

Benjamin Williamson’s BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

In the past two weeks, Randy Arozarena has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .358.

Sporting a .369 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Randy Arozarena finds himself in the 84th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Stephen Kolek today.

Leody Taveras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Petco Park projects as the #10 field in the game for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Hitting 2 HRs over the last 7 days, Rowdy Tellez has been on fire lately.

When estimating his home run skill, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Jorge Polanco usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

Jorge Polanco has been hot in recent games, putting up a .434 wOBA over the past two weeks.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 7th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Cal Raleigh usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

Over the past 14 days, Cal Raleigh has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .390.

Cal Raleigh has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 18.7° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball this year (93rd percentile).

Posting a .402 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Cal Raleigh is positioned in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Notching 3 HRs in the last 14 days, Julio Rodriguez has been on fire recently.

Julio Rodriguez has recorded a .336 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Padres

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Stephen Kolek is projected to throw 84 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

In Major League Baseball, Petco Park’s centerfield fences are the shallowest.

Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.

With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Stephen Kolek will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Stephen Kolek (49.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in Seattle’s projected batting order.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Stephen Kolek in the 15th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Stephen Kolek has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, putting up a 7.38 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.84 — a 0.54 K/9 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Benjamin Williamson is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in the game for run-scoring.

Batting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Benjamin Williamson meets a tough challenge today.

Petco Park projects as the #26 park in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Randy Arozarena will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Leody Taveras is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Leody Taveras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

With a .241 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Leody Taveras has been struggling at the plate.

The #3 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jorge Polanco will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Stephen Kolek in today’s matchup.

Today, Jorge Polanco is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.7% rate (99th percentile).

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jorge Polanco today.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Stephen Kolek today.

Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh’s BABIP ability is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Julio Rodriguez will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Julio Rodriguez and his 8.3° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 21st percentile, among the lowest in Major League Baseball this year.

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