Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Seattle at San Diego Matchup Today

Cal Raleigh projects as the 15th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 4th-best field in the majors for left-handed home runs.

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.

Cal Raleigh has big-time HR ability (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adam Mazur is a pitch-to-contact type (19th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.

The Seattle Mariners have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, The #4 field in the league for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Petco Park.

The Seattle Mariners have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Adam Mazur in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Josh Rojas will have the upper hand today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Jurickson Profar will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for righty home runs.

Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Kyle Higashioka will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Compared to last year, Kyle Higashioka has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.5% to 24.7% this season.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Ha-seong Kim will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

Dominic Canzone will have the handedness advantage against Adam Mazur in today’s game.

Dominic Canzone has hit 28 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 88th percentile for power.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, David Peralta will have the upper hand in today’s game.

David Peralta is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

David Peralta will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

David Peralta’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 46.8% to 58.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Julio Rodriguez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Donovan Solano is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

In the last 7 days, Jurickson Profar’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 21.4%.

The Seattle Mariners have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Raley, Cal Raleigh, Cal Raleigh, Dylan Moore).

The #7 field in the league for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand today.

Ha-seong Kim has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 94.7-mph in the last 7 days.

Ha-seong Kim’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 14.9% to 18%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the last week, Julio Rodriguez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 36.4%.

In the past 14 days, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 106.8-mph lately.

Cal Raleigh has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 15.1% seasonal rate to 26.3% over the last 14 days.

Cal Raleigh has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last season’s 89.6-mph mark.

Cal Raleigh has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 95.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Cal Raleigh has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .292 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.5% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jackson Merrill will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Logan Gilbert will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Logan Gilbert’s 1973-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 1st percentile among all SPs.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Donovan Solano will hold that advantage today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.4% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks.

Logan Gilbert has averaged 91.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Jurickson Profar has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure.

Jurickson Profar’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 42% to 50.2%.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Gilbert in the 80th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

Josh Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 47.9%.

Josh Rojas has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 77th percentile with a 1.96 K/BB rate.

Donovan Solano’s launch angle this year (17.2°) is a significant increase over his 12.9° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Luke Raley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Luke Raley has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days.

J.P. Crawford hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

J.P. Crawford has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last 7 days.

Tuesday player match stat slumps with Mariners vs Padres Matchup

Petco Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.

The weather report calls for the 4th-best pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cal Raleigh in today’s matchup.

By putting up a .219 batting average this year, Cal Raleigh grades out in the 21st percentile.

Kyle Higashioka, the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Adam Mazur will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats across the board.

Adam Mazur has compiled a .331 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play with better performance likely coming.

Jake Cronenworth has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 14 days.

Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle in recent games (-1.8° in the last week) is considerably lower than his 14° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Rojas in the 21st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

This year, Josh Rojas has been pulled from the game early in 17% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Josh Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Josh Rojas has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Jurickson Profar has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will bat from his worse side (0) today against Logan Gilbert, Jurickson Profar pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 17.7% to 12%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Kyle Higashioka is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

This year, Kyle Higashioka has been pulled from the game early in 30% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Higashioka in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for J.P. Crawford today.

In the last two weeks, J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 92.2 mph to 87.3 mph.

J.P. Crawford has recorded a .257 BABIP this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.

Ha-seong Kim is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Ha-seong Kim will be in a tough position in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph average last season has fallen to 87.1-mph.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 87.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 80.8-mph over the past two weeks.

Luis Arraez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (6.2° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 11.1° seasonal figure.

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Jackson Merrill has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 21.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 17.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of plate discipline, Jackson Merrill’s ability is quite poor, posting a 3.71 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 22nd percentile.

Dominic Canzone is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, Dominic Canzone has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 33% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dominic Canzone today.

In the past 14 days, Dominic Canzone’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 0%.

David Peralta is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, David Peralta has been pulled from the game early 47% of the time.

Petco Park projects as the #23 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Adam Mazur will have the handedness advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

In notching a .136 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Julio Rodriguez finds himself in the 9th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Donovan Solano will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Donovan Solano’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 90.2-mph figure last season has fallen off to 87.1-mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.292) suggests that Donovan Solano has had positive variance on his side this year with his .329 actual wOBA.

Luis Arraez has performed at a clip of 1.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 1st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jurickson Profar’s BABIP ability is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

David Peralta’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 89.3-mph mark last year has fallen to 85.7-mph.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Adam Mazur in the 15th percentile among all starters in the league.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Adam Mazur is projected to throw 79 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least on the slate today.

Adam Mazur’s 2117-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 16th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Luke Raley has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luke Raley in today’s game.

Luke Raley has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 24.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 19.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 8th-worst stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average.

Kyle Higashioka has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 81.1-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

In the last week’s worth of games, Julio Rodriguez’s 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.6%.

Jackson Merrill hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which often leads to easy outs. His 13.4% “too-high” rate this year ranks in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Logan Gilbert in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher today, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Logan Gilbert’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this year (68.2% vs. 57.9% last season) should work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 18th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Ranking in the 13th percentile, Ha-seong Kim has notched a .250 BABIP this year.

The San Diego Padres (18.5 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams on the slate today.

Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.6-mph seasonal average has decreased to 89.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.