Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Atlanta at Arizona Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage over Kevin Newman today.

Kevin Newman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed BABIP.

Last year, Orlando Arcia had an average launch angle of 5.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 8.8°.

Orlando Arcia has been unlucky this year, notching a .248 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .283 — a .035 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Charlie Morton today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Matt Olson is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

Chris Sale projects as the 4th-best pitcher in the majors currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tallying 97.8 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Chris Sale ranks in the 97th percentile.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future, Paul Clemons profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Sean Murphy (the Braves’s expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Charlie Morton, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Christian Walker meets a tough challenge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Marcell Ozuna as the league’s 16th-best home run hitter.

Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Marcell Ozuna has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.9-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 92.9-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Randal Grichuk is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Charlie Morton will hold the platoon advantage against Randal Grichuk in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Charlie Morton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Moreno in today’s matchup.

Austin Riley projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Austin Riley has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.4% seasonal rate to 30% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Chase Field projects as the #2 field in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s game.

Eddie Rosario is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

In comparison to his 88.6-mph average last year, Eddie Rosario’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.6 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Over the last two weeks, Adam Duvall’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph lately.

Adam Duvall has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 18.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly deflated relative to his 27.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Jarred Kelenic is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Eugenio Suarez will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Ozzie Albies’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6% up to 17.6%.

When assessing his strikeout skill, Chris Sale projects as the 5th-best starter in baseball right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jarred Kelenic ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jarred Kelenic may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 88.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 85.9-mph EV.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, Sean Murphy ranks in the 87th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 29.100.

Checking in at the 86th percentile, Sean Murphy has notched a .346 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Eddie Rosario has experienced some negative variance this year. His .240 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .284.

Placing in the 85th percentile for power, Sean Murphy has averaged 26.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zac Gallen as the 12th-best SP in baseball currently.

Compared to the average starter, Zac Gallen has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying an additional 6.2 adjusted pitches each game.

Zac Gallen projects as the 14th-best starter in the game currently when assessing his strikeout ability, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zac Gallen will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats in all categories.

Marcell Ozuna has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.7-mph average to last season’s 96.5-mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Eugenio Suarez’s true offensive skill to be a .316, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .033 difference between that figure and his actual .283 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage today.

Christian Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Austin Riley has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 95.8-mph over the past week.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.301) suggests that Adam Duvall has experienced some negative variance this year with his .254 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Gabriel Moreno has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.3% to 21.4%.

In the past week, Ozzie Albies’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph in recent games.

Tuesday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Braves vs D-Backs Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Kevin Newman is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the worst field in the majors for RHB home runs.

Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the least humidity on the schedule today at 22%.

Kevin Newman has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Orlando Arcia is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Among all stadiums, Chase Field’s centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest.

Zac Gallen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Orlando Arcia in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Ketel Marte’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.3%.

When it comes to his home runs, Ketel Marte has been lucky this year. His 26.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.1.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the worst venue in the majors for lefty home runs.

Matt Olson pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Matt Olson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for BABIP.

Due to his large platoon split, Chris Sale will have a tough challenge matching up with 8 bats in the projected batting order who hit from the other side today.

The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

Chris Sale will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 19% to 12.3%.

Over the past 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Walker’s true offensive ability to be a .341, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .019 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .360 wOBA.

Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Marcell Ozuna will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna’s true offensive skill to be a .346, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .052 deviation between that figure and his actual .398 wOBA.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 85.1-mph over the past 7 days.

When it comes to plate discipline, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s skill is quite poor, posting a 5.13 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 7th percentile.

Randal Grichuk has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .288 rate is a good deal higher than his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Randal Grichuk and his 39.3% this year rank in the 18th percentile by this measure.

The standard deviation of Randal Grichuk’s launch angle this year (31.1°) is in the 10th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower BABIP.

Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

From last year to this one, Gabriel Moreno’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.3% to 35.6%.

When it comes to power, Gabriel Moreno has performed in the 21st percentile, having averaged 10 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

Kevin Newman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 87.1-mph average last year has lowered to 84.8-mph.

Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today’s game.

In today’s matchup, Austin Riley is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (78th percentile).

Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

As it relates to his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Despite posting a .345 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Randal Grichuk has been lucky given the .028 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Randal Grichuk and his 9.1° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 25th percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.

There has been a decrease in Matt Olson’s average exit velocity this year, from 93.7 mph last year to 91.2 mph now, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eddie Rosario in the 17th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Eddie Rosario is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Eddie Rosario has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Adam Duvall is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Adam Duvall will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Adam Duvall will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

This year, Jarred Kelenic has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Jarred Kelenic hits many of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarred Kelenic in today’s matchup.

Jarred Kelenic’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 16.7% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Eugenio Suarez has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 7 days.

Over the past 7 days, Eugenio Suarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 88.8 mph to 78.7 mph.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Zac Gallen in today’s game.

Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Ozzie Albies has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .264 rate is quite a bit higher than his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kevin Newman ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters of all teams on the slate.

Sean Murphy is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Zac Gallen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Murphy today.

Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Sean Murphy will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The Atlanta Braves projected lineup projects as the 5th-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

The Atlanta Braves have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward, The 9.7% Barrel% of the Atlanta Braves ranks them as the #3 squad in baseball this year by this stat.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 25th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.