
TOR @ SF






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, July 9th
2024-07-09 21:45:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Toronto at San Francisco Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Davis Schneider is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 8th-best stadium in the league for righty batting average.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.2-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Because of Logan Webb’s large platoon split, Davis Schneider will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Because of Logan Webb’s large platoon split, George Springer will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.
George Springer has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 22.6% in the last 14 days.
Ernie Clement’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Because of Logan Webb’s large platoon split, Ernie Clement will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal average of 18°, Ernie Clement has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.1° mark in the last 14 days.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.322) provides evidence that Ernie Clement has been unlucky this year with his .281 actual wOBA.
The #8 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
In Major League Baseball, Oracle Park’s RF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.
Brett Wisely will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Checking in at the 81st percentile, Brett Wisely sits with a .273 batting average this year.
Luis Matos’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Luis Matos is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Luis Matos will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Tyler Fitzgerald has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.
Compared to his seasonal average of 17°, Spencer Horwitz has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.6° figure over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Matt Chapman will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Danny Jansen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
Given Logan Webb’s large platoon split, Danny Jansen will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.
Danny Jansen’s launch angle this year (23°) is quite a bit better than his 19.5° figure last year.
As it relates to his home runs, Danny Jansen has had some very poor luck this year. His 15.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.5.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Matos will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Luis Matos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 12.6% on the season to 16.7% over the last two weeks.
Brett Wisely has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal lower than his 17.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Nick Ahmed will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Ahmed will hold that advantage in today’s game.
In the last week, Nick Ahmed’s 44.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.4%.
As it relates to his home run skill, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Heliot Ramos is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.
Heliot Ramos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today.
Heliot Ramos has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When assessing his home run talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jorge Soler is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Jorge Soler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today’s matchup.
Jorge Soler will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.
In the last week’s worth of games, Davis Schneider’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14% up to 20%.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (8.5) suggests that Nick Ahmed has suffered from bad luck this year with his 3.5 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
As it relates to his strikeout ability, Blake Snell projects as the 8th-best starting pitcher in MLB currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Patrick Bailey, the Giants’s expected catcher today, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Blake Snell has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 7 opposite-handed batters in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yusei Kikuchi in the 91st percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.
Tallying 91.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Yusei Kikuchi checks in at the 76th percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi’s curveball rate has spiked by 6.2% from last season to this one (19.3% to 25.5%) .
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 5th-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.
Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Webb’s large platoon split.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 20.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 29.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
San Francisco’s 14.5° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in MLB this year: #3 overall.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in MLB.
Ernie Clement grades out in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.6% rate this year).
When assessing his home run ability, Danny Jansen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tuesday player match stat slumps with Blue Jays vs Giants Matchup
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for pitching on the slate.
Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Davis Schneider in today’s game.
Based on Statcast data, Davis Schneider grades out in the 23rd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .225.
The #5 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
In the majors, the tallest fence height (on average) are at Oracle Park.
Ernie Clement is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
This year, Ernie Clement has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.
Brett Wisely is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.
Yusei Kikuchi will have the handedness advantage against Brett Wisely today.
The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest among every team on the slate today.
This year, Luis Matos has been pinch hit for in 36% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.
From last season to this one, Luis Matos’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 41% to 33.3%.
Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Tyler Fitzgerald has been pinch hit for 18% of the time.
Oracle Park profiles as the #25 park in the majors for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Considering Logan Webb’s large platoon split, Spencer Horwitz will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Horwitz today.
Danny Jansen’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his home run talent, Luis Matos ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Nick Ahmed ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Nick Ahmed is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
When starting against a southpaw this year, Nick Ahmed has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 17% of the time.
Heliot Ramos has been lucky this year, notching a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .057 discrepancy.
Jorge Soler has struggled with his Barrel%; his 15% rate last year has lowered to 9.2% this year.
Matt Chapman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 11.8% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.
Jorge Soler’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 89.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 80.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Blake Snell to be on a pitch count in this game, projecting a maximum of 82 pitches.
The #3 field in the league for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
The San Francisco Giants have 7 bats in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in this matchup.
Yusei Kikuchi will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 20th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Springer today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Yusei Kikuchi in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.
The #2 field in baseball for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Over the last week, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13% down to 0%.
When assessing his home run skill, Ernie Clement ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Danny Jansen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
George Springer has put up a .248 BABIP this year, checking in at the 12th percentile.
