Guardians vs Yankees match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 5th

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Guardians vs Yankees match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 5th

CLE @ NYY

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Cleveland Guardians at New York Yankees
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, June 5th
05/06/25 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Guardians vs Yankees Series Game 3 Matchup Today

David Fry is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest average fence height in the majors.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, David Fry will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team playing today.

The #9 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, David Fry ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 19.4° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the league.

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Angel Martinez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Max Fried today.

Anthony Volpe will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ranking in the 79th percentile, Anthony Volpe has notched a .312 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Ben Rice will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Max Fried.

When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana’s talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.28 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Ramirez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

The #9 park in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage against Slade Cecconi today.

Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Trent Grisham projects as the 19th-best home run hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Slade Cecconi today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today.

Placing in the 86th percentile, Trent Grisham sits with a .363 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 15.7° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball this year (80th percentile).

Because flyball hitters hold a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Max Fried and his 51.6% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome position in this matchup facing 2 opposing GB batters.

Max Fried’s higher usage percentage of his fastball this year (62.1 vs. 49.1% last season) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried in the 85th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Tallying 95.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Max Fried places him the 91st percentile.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jhonkensy Noel, Bo Naylor, Gabriel Arias).

As it relates to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Slade Cecconi in today’s game.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.

DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like DJ LeMahieu generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Slade Cecconi.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today’s game.

DJ LeMahieu has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year’s 88.5-mph figure.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Aaron Judge has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 24.1% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the past week’s worth of games.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Gabriel Arias will have an advantage today.

Gabriel Arias has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Will Wilson will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today’s game.

Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Austin Wells’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.9% up to 20%.

Austin Wells’s launch angle this season (20.3°) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° figure last year.

When estimating his home run skill, Austin Wells ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Jhonkensy Noel will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jhonkensy Noel’s true offensive talent to be a .292, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .117 disparity between that figure and his actual .175 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonkensy Noel in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Steven Kwan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 16.8% on the season to 20% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The New York Yankees (24% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-most strikeout-prone batting order on the slate.

Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Because groundball pitchers have a big edge over groundball hitters, Slade Cecconi and his 38.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable spot today matching up with 3 opposing GB hitters.

Negative Match Player Stats with Guardians vs Yankees Series Game 3

The #4 ballpark in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Yankee Stadium’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense.

In today’s matchup, David Fry is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36% rate (92nd percentile).

David Fry will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

David Fry has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .263 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.314) implies that David Fry has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .346 actual wOBA.

David Fry’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 108.5 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 16th percentile.

Yankee Stadium projects as the #27 field in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As it relates to his home run ability, Angel Martinez ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Angel Martinez in today’s game.

Angel Martinez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (9.4°) is significantly worse than his 16.6° figure last season.

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Anthony Volpe has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Over the last week, Anthony Volpe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

The #3 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

Ben Rice has put up a .239 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 0th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Carlos Santana has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days.

Carlos Santana’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 82-mph in the past week.

In today’s matchup, Jose Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.3% rate (99th percentile).

Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

When it comes to his batting average, Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate this year. His .330 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280.

Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .393 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .349 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Typically, hitters like Cody Bellinger who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Slade Cecconi.

Cody Bellinger’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 92.3-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 88-mph in the last 7 days.

In the majors, Yankee Stadium’s CF dimensions are the 6th-deepest.

Over the past week, Trent Grisham’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.3% down to 0%.

In the last week’s worth of games, Trent Grisham’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 94.5 mph to 86.4 mph.

In the last 14 days, Trent Grisham’s 32.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.4%.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Trent Grisham’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (15.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 22.7°.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.9) provides evidence that Trent Grisham has had positive variance on his side this year with his 40.2 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 7th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Batting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage today.

Paul Goldschmidt has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 87-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 13°, Paul Goldschmidt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.8°) in the past two weeks.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Paul Goldschmidt has been lucky this year. His .369 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .338.

Max Fried projects as the 6th-best SP in the game currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The weakest projected lineup of the day in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Cleveland Guardians.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Cory Blaser) in charge of the strike zone today.

Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 field in the league for suppressing BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 8th-worst park in MLB for strikeouts.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.297) provides evidence that Jazz Chisholm Jr. has had some very good luck this year with his .330 actual wOBA.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s footspeed has fallen off this year. His 28.55 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.02 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

DJ LeMahieu is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Slade Cecconi will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ LeMahieu in today’s game.

Using Statcast metrics, DJ LeMahieu ranks in the 23rd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 8.000.

Posting a .210 batting average since the start of last season, DJ LeMahieu is ranked in the 10th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Aaron Judge has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Typically, hitters like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Slade Cecconi.

Aaron Judge’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 100.5-mph figure last year has dropped off to 98.1-mph.

Gabriel Arias is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Typically, hitters like Gabriel Arias who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Max Fried.

Gabriel Arias will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Utilizing Statcast data, Gabriel Arias grades out in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .284.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Will Wilson ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Wilson is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Will Wilson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Will Wilson today.

Austin Wells’s BABIP skill is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Wells is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Austin Wells has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Austin Wells generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Slade Cecconi.

In the last week, Austin Wells’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jhonkensy Noel in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jhonkensy Noel is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Jhonkensy Noel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Jhonkensy Noel will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Jhonkensy Noel has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 14.5% rate last season has lowered to 4.6% this year.

When assessing his home run ability, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Max Fried will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Kwan today.

Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Slade Cecconi is projected to throw 75 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of the day.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Slade Cecconi in today’s matchup.

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