Cubs vs Nationals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 5th

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Cubs vs Nationals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 5th

CHC @ WSH

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, June 5th
05/06/25 18:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Nationals Series Game 3 Matchup Today

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James Wood is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.6-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

In MLB, Nationals Park’s RF fences are the 9th-shallowest.

Daylen Lile will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Daylen Lile has had a particularly strong THE BAT X Spray Score over the last week, which measures a hitter’s proficiency in hitting the ball to all fields.

Matt Shaw has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team today.

Nico Hoerner has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Over the past 7 days, Nico Hoerner’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.9% up to 7.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Over the past week, Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.9-mph over the course of the season to 89.3-mph lately.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jake Irvin.

Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal average of 10.9°, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.7° angle in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Luis Garcia Jr. has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Luis Garcia Jr. ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Bell is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Josh Bell has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Extreme flyball batters like Josh Bell tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Colin Rea.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Hitters such as Nathaniel Lowe with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Colin Rea who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league.

Dansby Swanson’s launch angle this year (15.5°) is significantly better than his 10.2° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 86th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Extreme groundball bats like Robert Hassell III tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Robert Hassell III will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jose Tena has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Jose Tena are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing batters in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Jake Irvin will hold that advantage today.

Jake Irvin’s curveball percentage has jumped by 6.1% from last year to this one (31.3% to 37.4%) .

Nationals Park profiles as the #9 venue in the game for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Generating 18.3 outs per GS this year on average, Jake Irvin falls in the 93rd percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Nationals Series Game 3

The #1 park in the game for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Nationals Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, James Wood has been lucky this year. His .402 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .358.

The #3 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 9th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Daylen Lile is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Daylen Lile has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly recently, putting up a -4.6° angle on such balls over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 19th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Matt Shaw is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

The #1 park in MLB for suppressing offensive stats to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Matt Shaw faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

The #3 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Shaw in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run ability, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Nico Hoerner encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ian Happ today.

Ian Happ has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past two weeks.

Ian Happ’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 88.4-mph seasonal average has decreased to 84.1-mph in the past week.

Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 14% on the season to 3.4% over the last two weeks.

Keibert Ruiz’s BABIP skill is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Keibert Ruiz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Colin Rea.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Keibert Ruiz’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 86.5-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 79.6-mph over the last 7 days.

Luis Garcia Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today’s game.

Sporting a .266 BABIP this year, Luis Garcia Jr. grades out in the 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 18th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Sporting a .283 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Josh Bell grades out in the 22nd percentile.

Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today’s matchup.

Nathaniel Lowe has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 14 days.

Nathaniel Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 14.8% to 9.4%.

Nathaniel Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 9.4% on the season to 6.3% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Jake Irvin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dansby Swanson today.

Dansby Swanson has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Busch today.

Michael Busch has been lucky this year, notching a .384 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .337 — a .047 difference.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Pete Crow-Armstrong has had some very good luck this year. His .371 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .328.

Over the past two weeks, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (19.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 23.5°.

CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today’s matchup.

CJ Abrams has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph dropping to 84.4-mph in the past two weeks.

CJ Abrams has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 9.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 3.2% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates CJ Abrams’s true offensive talent to be a .320, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .037 disparity between that figure and his actual .357 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 17th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Robert Hassell III is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Robert Hassell III will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Robert Hassell III ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Robert Hassell III has been cold recently, struggling to the tune of a .250 wOBA over the past 14 days.

Jose Tena is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Jose Tena has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days.

Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Seiya Suzuki in today’s matchup.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Jake Irvin in the 10th percentile among all starters in the league.

Keibert Ruiz, the Nationals’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his previous GS, Jake Irvin wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

The underlying talent of the Chicago Cubs projected offense today (.327 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit worse than their .338 wOBA this year.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Chicago Cubs offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in the game this year.

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