Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Cleveland at Detroit Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Comerica Park ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fences in MLB.

This game is projected to have the highest humidity of all games today (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

Justyn-Henry Malloy will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Justyn-Henry Malloy’s launch angle in recent games (36.3° in the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 19° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Colt Keith has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Reese Olson in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

Recording 93.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Reese Olson places in the 81st percentile.

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Cleveland Guardians offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in the majors this year.

The #5 field in the league for suppressing home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Gio Urshela is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

The #5 park in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Matt Vierling is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Matt Vierling will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Reese Olson in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Despite posting a .200 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Javier Baez has experienced some negative variance given the .089 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.

Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage over Reese Olson in today’s game.

Wenceel Perez will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tanner Bibee in the 90th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

Tanner Bibee has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Projected catcher Bo Naylor grades out as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Placing in the 78th percentile, Tanner Bibee posted a 12.5% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Tanner Bibee has notched a 26.7% strikeout rate this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Gio Urshela will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Reese Olson in the 75th percentile among all SPs in the league.

Reese Olson was rolling in his previous game started and posted 8 strikeouts.

Reese Olson has relied on his change-up 7.2% more often this year (22.4%) than he did last year (15.2%).

Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage over Tanner Bibee today.

Wenceel Perez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last week.

Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage today.

Andres Gimenez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 88.1-mph.

Wednesday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Guardians vs Tigers Matchup

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF fences among all parks.

Josh Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.8°, Josh Naylor has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.3°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When it comes to his home runs, Josh Naylor has had positive variance on his side this year. His 35.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 30.4.

Posting a .236 BABIP this year, Josh Naylor has performed in the 8th percentile.

Justyn-Henry Malloy is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Justyn-Henry Malloy will be in a tough position today.

Justyn-Henry Malloy has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 84.8-mph in the past two weeks.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Colt Keith has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time.

Among every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.

Colt Keith has recorded a .284 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 25th percentile.

Placing in the 24th percentile, Colt Keith has put up a .179 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

When estimating his home run ability, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Today, Steven Kwan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.6% rate (95th percentile).

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .412 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has been lucky given the .101 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

With 7 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Reese Olson will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Andres Gimenez is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Andres Gimenez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Andres Gimenez’s launch angle from last year’s 12.9° to 7.6° this year.

With a 7.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Andres Gimenez is ranked in the 12th percentile for power.

Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage over Gio Urshela today.

Gio Urshela’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 87.5-mph mark last season has fallen off to 85.2-mph.

In the last 14 days, Gio Urshela’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 88.4 mph to 80.8 mph.

Javier Baez is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Javier Baez will not have the upper hand today.

Javier Baez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 91.5-mph figure last season has decreased to 88.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Bo Naylor is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Bo Naylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 2nd-deepest CF fences today.

Bo Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Bo Naylor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

Tanner Bibee will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Vierling in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Matt Vierling’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

By putting up a 4.74 K/BB rate this year, Matt Vierling has demonstrated weak plate discipline, checking in at the 9th percentile.

Bo Naylor’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 87.8-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 84.3-mph in the last 7 days.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Ramirez today.

In the past 7 days, Jose Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.

Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.2-mph over the last 7 days.

Jose Ramirez’s launch angle of late (2.6° over the last 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 18.7° seasonal mark.

Javier Baez has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 7.3° mark is among the lowest in baseball this year (18th percentile).

Daniel Schneemann is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Daniel Schneemann has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Daniel Schneemann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Daniel Schneemann in today’s game.

Daniel Schneemann has been lucky this year, posting a .367 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .076 difference.

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Wenceel Perez’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 88.1-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 83.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Wenceel Perez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, going from 44.8% on the season to 12.5% in the past week.

From last year to this one, Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.3% to 36.1%.

Andres Gimenez has recorded a .277 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the worst stadium in baseball for strikeouts.

Tanner Bibee will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run ability, Gio Urshela ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Riley Greene’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 96.2 mph to 90.3 mph.

Riley Greene has been lucky this year, compiling a .364 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .020 discrepancy.

Riley Greene is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best of all teams on the slate today).

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Reese Olson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 20th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

The Cleveland Guardians (19 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

Steven Kwan’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (8.7° in the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 12° seasonal figure.

Wenceel Perez has paced 10.8 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 25th percentile for power.

When assessing his home run ability, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).