Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Seattle at San Diego Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Cal Raleigh projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for LHB home runs.

Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest fences among all stadiums.

Cal Raleigh has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.1% seasonal rate to 26.3% in the last 14 days.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

The 2nd-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Petco Park.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.

Jackson Merrill has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

When estimating his home run skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today’s matchup.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jurickson Profar will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 7 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ty France ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Ty France’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (26.8° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 16.2° seasonal mark.

Luke Raley’s BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luke Raley hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Luke Raley has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week.

Ty France’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Julio Rodriguez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Donovan Solano is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today’s matchup.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher today, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best park in baseball for strikeouts.

Bryce Miller has used his four-seam fastball 14.4% less often this year (44.1%) than he did last year (58.5%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Jurickson Profar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 97.7-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Jurickson Profar’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 42% to 50.2%.

Over the last week, Julio Rodriguez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 36.4%.

In the last two weeks, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 106.8-mph lately.

The #4 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last season’s 89.6-mph EV.

Cal Raleigh has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 92.3-mph mark.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Cal Raleigh has suffered from bad luck this year. His .292 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

When estimating his home run ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jorge Polanco has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 87.1-mph EV.

Jorge Polanco has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .256 figure is a good deal lower than his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael King in the 94th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

Michael King has averaged 95.3 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 91st percentile.

The Seattle Mariners have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Raley, Mitch Garver, Jorge Polanco, Cal Raleigh).

Kyle Higashioka, the Padres’s expected catcher today, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Donovan Solano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

There has been a significant improvement in Donovan Solano’s launch angle from last season’s 12.9° to 17.2° this season.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Manny Machado has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.4% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today’s game.

Last season, Josh Rojas had an average launch angle of 10.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.9°.

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Mitch Garver has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last two weeks.

Mitch Garver has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 89.5-mph figure.

Mitch Garver’s launch angle recently (28.4° over the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 14.5° seasonal mark.

Josh Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 47.9%.

J.P. Crawford hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, J.P. Crawford’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.1% up to 15.4%.

Josh Rojas has shown good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 77th percentile with a 1.96 K/BB rate.

Sporting a .326 BABIP this year, Josh Rojas is positioned in the 76th percentile.

Bryce Miller has tallied 17.2 outs per GS this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

David Peralta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today.

David Peralta may have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and David Peralta will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

David Peralta’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 46.8% to 58.2%.

Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael King in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

Michael King will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

In his previous GS, Michael King was in good form and gave up 1 ER.

Julio Rodriguez projects as the 19th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ha-seong Kim has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 94.7-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Ha-seong Kim’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 14.9% to 18%.

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage today.

Wednesday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Mariners vs Padres Matchup

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.

Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh has notched a .219 batting average this year, placing in the 21st percentile.

When estimating his home run ability, Luis Arraez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph mark last season has fallen to 87.1-mph.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 87.1-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 80.8-mph over the last two weeks.

Luis Arraez has paced 1.6 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 1st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking in the 2nd percentile for power, Luis Arraez has paced 2 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Jackson Merrill has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 21.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 17.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jackson Merrill has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile with a 3.71 K/BB rate.

12% of the time that Luke Raley has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Luke Raley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.7) provides evidence that Luke Raley has experienced some positive variance this year with his 24.5 actual HR/600.

Sporting an 8.56 K/BB rate this year, Luke Raley has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 1st percentile.

Jurickson Profar’s BABIP talent is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

This year, Jurickson Profar has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Bryce Miller in this game.

In today’s matchup, Jurickson Profar is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.9% rate (91st percentile).

Ty France is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Michael King will hold the platoon advantage over Ty France today.

Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

In the last week, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

Ty France’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 83.8-mph over the past two weeks.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Luis Arraez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the game for lefty batting average.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Luke Raley has been lucky this year. His .317 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299.

Michael King will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Julio Rodriguez today.

Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, going from 40.6% on the season to 18.2% over the last week.

Sporting a .136 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Julio Rodriguez has performed in the 9th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Donovan Solano will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

There has been a decrease in Donovan Solano’s average exit velocity this year, from 90.2 mph last year to 87.1 mph now, Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.292) suggests that Donovan Solano has experienced some positive variance this year with his .329 actual wOBA.

When it comes to power, Donovan Solano grades out in the 17th percentile, having hit 9.1 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

J.P. Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 92.2-mph seasonal average has lowered to 87.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Sporting a .257 BABIP this year, J.P. Crawford grades out in the 18th percentile.

The San Diego Padres (18.5 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the least strikeout-heavy team of batters on the slate today.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Miller today.

Bryce Miller’s 2479-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a significant 112-rpm decline from last season’s 2591-rpm rate.

Considering the 0.24 discrepancy between Bryce Miller’s 8.48 K/9 and his 8.23 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see negative regression going forward.

Jurickson Profar’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (6.9° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 9.9° seasonal figure.

In the last 14 days, Jake Cronenworth’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14°, Jake Cronenworth has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.8°) over the past two weeks.

The #8 park in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The San Diego Padres have been the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games, Bryce Miller was firing on all cylinders in his last game started and conceded 2 ER.

The 7.1% Barrel% of the San Diego Padres ranks them as the #25 club in Major League Baseball this year by this standard.

Ha-seong Kim is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Ha-seong Kim meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

With a .250 BABIP this year, Ha-seong Kim is ranked in the 13th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 7th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

In today’s game, Jorge Polanco is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.1% rate (98th percentile).

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jorge Polanco in today’s matchup.

Jorge Polanco has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

With 6 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Michael King will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

Michael King’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.4 mph this year (92.1 mph) below where it was last season (93.5 mph).

Michael King’s fastball spin rate has fallen 111 rpm this season (2284 rpm) below where it was last year (2395 rpm).

Michael King has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, notching a 10.29 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.07 — a 0.22 K/9 gap.

Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough challenge today.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 17.7% to 12%.

When it comes to his home run ability, Josh Rojas ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Rojas is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

17% of the time that Josh Rojas has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Josh Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

In the past week, Josh Rojas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Mitch Garver will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mitch Garver in today’s matchup.

In terms of his home runs, Mitch Garver has had positive variance on his side this year. His 24.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.0.

David Peralta is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

This year, David Peralta has been pulled from the game early in 47% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

David Peralta’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.3-mph average last season has dropped off to 85.7-mph.

David Peralta’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 88.2-mph over the last 7 days.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which generally leads to lazy pop-ups. His 13.4% “too-high” rate this year is in the 18th percentile.

When assessing his home run skill, Donovan Solano ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Grading out in the 4th percentile, Mitch Garver has posted a .226 BABIP this year.

In the past 7 days, Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 92.6 mph to 89.9 mph.

The Seattle Mariners have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games, By putting up a 4.32 K/BB rate this year, Julio Rodriguez has demonstrated bad plate discipline, ranking in the 13th percentile.