Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Chicago at Baltimore Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games today at 93°.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will get to bat from his better side against Shota Imanaga today.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

As it relates to his home run talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last week.

In the last two weeks, Christopher Morel’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.5-mph lately.

Christopher Morel has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .199 BA is deflated compared to his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best venue in the league for LHB base hits.

Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.

Jorge Mateo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga today.

Jorge Mateo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (42.2% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Seiya Suzuki has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12.1% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 7 days.

Miles Mastrobuoni will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes today.

Miles Mastrobuoni hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Miles Mastrobuoni has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .251 mark is deflated compared to his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Miles Mastrobuoni ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.9% rate since the start of last season).

Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Austin Hays will have the upper hand today.

Austin Hays will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Austin Hays has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 97-mph over the last 7 days.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Shota Imanaga.

Anthony Santander is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Chicago (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

Jordan Westburg will hold the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Colton Cowser will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Colton Cowser has suffered from bad luck this year. His .317 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

In notching a 25.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Colton Cowser is positioned in the 86th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

In terms of his batting average, Colton Cowser has experienced some negative variance this year. His .221 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .251.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Shota Imanaga’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 79th percentile among all SPs in MLB right now.

Throwing 91.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Shota Imanaga falls in the 77th percentile.

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 4th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the worst field in MLB for walks.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.5) implies that Austin Hays has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 15.9 actual HR/600.

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In terms of his batting average, Nico Hoerner has had bad variance on his side this year. His .246 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .279.

Nico Hoerner has displayed strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 95th percentile with a 1.39 K/BB rate.

Tomas Nido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tomas Nido has had bad variance on his side this year. His .241 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph figure.

Dansby Swanson’s launch angle in recent games (21.6° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 10.1° seasonal angle.

Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Michael Busch is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 15th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have an advantage today.

Ryan Mountcastle has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s shallowest RF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The #8 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward, Corbin Burnes has gone to his cutter 10.9% less often this season (44.5%) than he did last year (55.4%).

Considering the 1.28 difference between Corbin Burnes’s 2.32 ERA and his 3.60 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year and ought to see negative regression going forward.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Corbin Burnes today.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Jordan Westburg is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In notching a .309 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Jorge Mateo grades out in the 84th percentile.

Christopher Morel has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .296 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shota Imanaga in the 84th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

In his last outing, Shota Imanaga was firing on all cylinders and put up 8 strikeouts.

Among all starting pitchers, Shota Imanaga’s fastball spin rate of 2434 rpm is in the 85th percentile this year.

Placing in the 93rd percentile, Shota Imanaga notched a 14% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tallying 93.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Corbin Burnes checks in at the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Corbin Burnes in the 85th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

Corbin Burnes will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Considering the 0.9 deviation between Corbin Burnes’s 8.39 K/9 and his 9.29 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to positively regress going forward.

Wednesday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Cubs vs Orioles Matchup

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #28 park in the majors for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards’s LF fences are the deepest.

The league’s 9th-tallest fences can be found at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Adley Rutschman’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 89.1-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 83.1-mph in the past week.

When it comes to his home runs, Adley Rutschman has had positive variance on his side this year. His 25.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.0.

Christopher Morel has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Christopher Morel faces a tough challenge today.

Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Among every team today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Cody Bellinger will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

In the past 14 days, Cody Bellinger’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

In terms of his batting average, Cody Bellinger has had some very good luck this year. His .266 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ian Happ in today’s game.

Ian Happ’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 86.1-mph in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ian Happ’s true offensive ability to be a .331, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .017 gap between that figure and his actual .348 wOBA.

Jorge Mateo is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

Jorge Mateo’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 88.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 77.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Jorge Mateo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.3% to 9.9%.

Corbin Burnes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today’s game.

Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Miles Mastrobuoni ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miles Mastrobuoni is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

20% of the time that Miles Mastrobuoni has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 2nd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.

Austin Hays is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

Austin Hays’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 18% to 11.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Today, Anthony Santander is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.9% rate (99th percentile).

Typically, batters like Anthony Santander who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Shota Imanaga.

Colton Cowser is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Shota Imanaga will hold the platoon advantage against Colton Cowser today.

Colton Cowser has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.

The 3rd-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Carlson) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

With 7 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Shota Imanaga will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Austin Hays’s launch angle recently (5.8° over the last week) is considerably lower than his 10.1° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Hitting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a tough matchup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tomas Nido in the 6th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Tomas Nido is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

This year, Tomas Nido has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 36% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Dansby Swanson will have a tough challenge today.

12% of the time that Michael Busch has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.219) provides evidence that Michael Busch has been lucky this year with his .264 actual batting average.

Shota Imanaga will hold the platoon advantage against Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.5) implies that Gunnar Henderson has had positive variance on his side this year with his 39.9 actual HR/600.

In the past week’s worth of games, Colton Cowser’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.2% down to 0%.

Colton Cowser’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 97.3-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 88.2-mph over the last week.

Ryan Mountcastle has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph dropping to 88.8-mph in the last week.

Ryan Mountcastle’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 45.3% on the season to 25% over the last 14 days.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christopher Morel in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Corbin Burnes’s overall pitching talent is in the 93rd percentile out of all starting pitchers in the majors currently.

Adley Rutschman, the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.

By putting up a 4.21 K/BB rate this year, Jordan Westburg has shown bad plate discipline, checking in at the 15th percentile.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Miles Mastrobuoni today.

Miles Mastrobuoni’s 2.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.

Anthony Santander’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (4.8° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 14.1° seasonal figure.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

Among all starting pitchers, Shota Imanaga’s fastball velocity of 91.2 mph is in the 15th percentile this year.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.8°, Gunnar Henderson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.1°) over the past two weeks.

Seiya Suzuki has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 25.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 22.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of his batting average, Austin Hays has experienced some positive variance this year. His .267 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .241.

As it relates to plate discipline, Austin Hays’s ability is quite weak, posting a 3.89 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 20th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) provides evidence that Seiya Suzuki has been very fortunate this year with his .255 actual batting average.

Despite posting a .414 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has had positive variance on his side given the .050 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .364.

In the past week, Michael Busch’s 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.1%.

Anthony Santander’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, going from 40.9% on the season to 24.2% in the last two weeks.

Anthony Santander has put up a .224 BABIP this year, placing in the 4th percentile.

In the past 7 days, Ryan Mountcastle’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15%.

Jorge Mateo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 9.9% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

In terms of plate discipline, Jorge Mateo’s ability is quite poor, posting a 4.43 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 12th percentile.

Cody Bellinger has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .317 figure is inflated compared to his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner today.

In the past week, Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 89.5 mph to 81.3 mph.

Nico Hoerner’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (1.1° in the past 14 days) is considerably lower than his 4.2° seasonal figure.

Batting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Tomas Nido will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.