Guardians vs Nationals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, May 7th

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Guardians vs Nationals match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, May 7th

CLE @ WSH

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Cleveland Guardians at Washington Nationals
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, May 7th
07/05/25 12:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Guardians vs Nationals Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill.

James Wood is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

James Wood has big-time HR ability (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Allen has a pitch-to-contact profile (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Wood.

James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Hitters such as James Wood with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Jacob Young will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Jacob Young generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Allen.

Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Dylan Crews will have an edge in today’s game.

Dylan Crews has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Dylan Crews generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Allen.

Dylan Crews will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Luis Garcia Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Luis Garcia Jr. generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Allen.

Luis Garcia Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Amed Rosario is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Amed Rosario will have an advantage today.

Amed Rosario has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Nathaniel Lowe’s BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Hitters such as Nathaniel Lowe with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Allen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The Cleveland Guardians have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Daniel Schneemann, Nolan Jones, Bo Naylor, Jhonkensy Noel).

Jacob Metz profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Mike Soroka will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Mike Soroka’s 2530.7-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 95th percentile out of all starters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

CJ Abrams’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Guardians vs Nationals Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst field in the majors for run-scoring.

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.

Logan Allen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Wood today.

The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

James Wood has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 16.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

James Wood’s launch angle recently (-2.9° in the last two weeks) is significantly lower than his 1.4° seasonal figure.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.337) provides evidence that James Wood has been very fortunate this year with his .397 actual wOBA.

Nationals Park profiles as the #27 park in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 0th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Jacob Young is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Jacob Young’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (-6.4°) is significantly worse than his 3.9° figure last year.

Jacob Young has notched a .290 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 13th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the worst field in MLB for RHB batting average.

Dylan Crews is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Dylan Crews’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 45.6% on the season to 22.2% over the last 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 6.8°, Dylan Crews has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Logan Allen in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 21st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

In the last week, Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 86.4 mph to 79.6 mph.

Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Allen throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Amed Rosario has notched a .290 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 25th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of plate discipline, Amed Rosario’s talent is quite bad, putting up an 8.46 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 1st percentile.

When it comes to power, Amed Rosario is positioned in the 7th percentile, having hit 6.8 dingers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Logan Allen will hold the platoon advantage against Nathaniel Lowe today.

Over the past 7 days, Nathaniel Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

Nathaniel Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 14.8% to 11.6%.

Nathaniel Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 11.6% on the season to 5.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

The Cleveland Guardians have 7 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Mike Soroka in this game.

Because flyball hitters have a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Mike Soroka and his 43.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult position in today’s outing matching up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Mike Soroka’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (53.8% since the start of last season) is likely harming his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Mike Soroka has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 9.25 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.57 — a 0.68 K/9 discrepancy.

Logan Allen will have the handedness advantage over CJ Abrams in today’s game.

CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, posting a .364 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .044 disparity.

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