Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Brewers Series Game 3 Matchup Today

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Joey Ortiz will have an advantage today.

Joey Ortiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Joey Ortiz has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 85-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 82.9-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Ortiz’s true offensive ability to be a .304, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .090 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .214 wOBA.

American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.

Jackson Chourio’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Caleb Durbin will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today’s game.

Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage today.

Cam Smith’s BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cam Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Among all major league parks, American Family Field’s CF fences are the 6th-shallowest.

Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has had bad variance on his side given the .054 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

Based on Statcast metrics, Christian Walker grades out in the 81st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .336.

When assessing his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Brendan Rodgers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Brendan Rodgers has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.7% rate last season to 12.2% this year.

Brendan Rodgers’s launch angle this year (10.8°) is considerably better than his 4.7° angle last year.

Daz Cameron will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez in today’s matchup.

Daz Cameron hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Daz Cameron will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his batting average, Daz Cameron has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .199 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Isaac Paredes tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Quinn Priester.

Isaac Paredes’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 39.7% to 49.5%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Altuve ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Ranking in the 81st percentile, Jose Altuve has posted a .340 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Jose Altuve’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Framber Valdez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Framber Valdez has tallied 17.6 outs per start this year, ranking in the 87th percentile.

American Family Field projects as the #1 ballpark in the majors for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Because flyball batters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Framber Valdez (57.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 4 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.

Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have an advantage in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Rhys Hoskins tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

Rhys Hoskins will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, William Contreras will have an edge in today’s matchup.

William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Christian Yelich will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christian Yelich ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 90.4-mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.363) provides evidence that Jeremy Pena has had some very poor luck this year with his .331 actual wOBA.

Jake Meyers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jake Meyers has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last season’s 88.2-mph average.

In the last 14 days, Jake Meyers’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph in recent games.

When it comes to his batting average, Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .233 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .263.

Quinn Priester will have the handedness advantage over 8 opposing bats in this game.

Because groundball pitchers hold a notable edge over groundball batters, Quinn Priester and his 51.7% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in this matchup facing 4 opposing GB batters.

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Houston Astros offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Checking in at the 14th percentile, Quinn Priester has posted a 1.36 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

Collectively, Houston Astros batters have excelled as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to result the most in base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 5th-best in the majors.

Brice Turang is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Brice Turang will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Yainer Diaz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Brewers Series Game 3

Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #2 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to drop to the 2nd-lowest level on the schedule today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Today, Joey Ortiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.9% rate (95th percentile).

Joey Ortiz’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 87.8-mph mark last year has decreased to 82.9-mph.

In the past 14 days, Joey Ortiz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.6°.

American Family Field grades out as the #23 venue in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jackson Chourio has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.

Jackson Chourio has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 85.1-mph in the past 14 days.

Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, going from 39.2% on the season to 26.1% over the last week.

Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 16% to 11.2%.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Chourio’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 12.74 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 1st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 10th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Caleb Durbin is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Caleb Durbin’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 84-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 80.2-mph in the last week.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.8°, Caleb Durbin has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.2°) in the last 14 days.

Caleb Durbin’s BABIP talent is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cam Smith is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Quinn Priester will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Smith in today’s game.

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.

Cam Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Cam Smith has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past 14 days.

Christian Walker’s BABIP talent is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Quinn Priester throws from, Christian Walker will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

From last season to this one, Christian Walker’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94.2 mph to 91.3 mph.

In the past week’s worth of games, Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 91.3 mph to 85.2 mph.

Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Quinn Priester will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brendan Rodgers in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Brendan Rodgers usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Quinn Priester.

Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Daz Cameron is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Quinn Priester throws from, Isaac Paredes meets a tough challenge today.

Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Isaac Paredes has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 82.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Isaac Paredes’s launch angle this season (17.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 22.3° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the same side that Quinn Priester throws from, Jose Altuve faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve in today’s matchup.

Jose Altuve has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.

Jose Altuve has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.1-mph dropping to 81-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Framber Valdez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Chris Conroy) calling pitches today.

The #1 venue in the game for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Because of his large reverse platoon split, Framber Valdez will benefit from being matched up with 6 batters in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in this outing.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 20.5% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.196) may lead us to conclude that Rhys Hoskins has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .224 actual batting average.

Extreme flyball bats like William Contreras usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 10.5% to 3.9%.

William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 3.9% on the season to 0% in the past 14 days.

Framber Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Christian Yelich in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Christian Yelich are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

Christian Yelich’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 85.1-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

American Family Field ranks as the #26 field in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Christian Yelich’s launch angle this season (-0.4°) is considerably worse than his 5.1° figure last year.

Quinn Priester will have the handedness advantage over Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Jeremy Pena usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Quinn Priester.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

Jeremy Pena has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, lifting balls between 23° and 34° just 7.9% of the time over the last two weeks.

Jake Meyers is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Quinn Priester will have the handedness advantage against Jake Meyers today.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Meyers in today’s game.

Jake Meyers’s launch angle this year (5.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 14.2° mark last season.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Quinn Priester in the 10th percentile among all starters in MLB.

Ranking in the 12th percentile, Quinn Priester has posted a 13.9% Strikeout% since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 9th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Framber Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Brice Turang in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Brice Turang tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

Brice Turang has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week.

Quinn Priester will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz in today’s game.

Typically, hitters like Yainer Diaz who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Quinn Priester.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yainer Diaz in today’s game.

Yainer Diaz has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 7th percentile with a 4.88 K/BB rate.

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