Guardians vs Mariners match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, June 15th

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Guardians vs Mariners match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, June 15th

CLE @ SEA

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, June 15th
15/06/25 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Guardians vs Mariners Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Daniel Schneemann is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls.

Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Daniel Schneemann may have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Extreme flyball hitters like Daniel Schneemann tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Emerson Hancock.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Emerson Hancock today.

Kyle Manzardo has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Out of all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

Given Luis Ortiz’s large platoon split, Cole Young will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Cole Young has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, angling balls between 23° and 34° 25% of the time in the last 7 days.

The #7 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Benjamin Williamson has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Benjamin Williamson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Benjamin Williamson has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 88.3-mph figure.

The #7 venue in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (10.0) provides evidence that Benjamin Williamson has had some very poor luck this year with his 3.4 actual HR/600.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Carlos Santana has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.9-mph figure.

In terms of plate discipline, Carlos Santana’s ability is quite good, posting a 1.39 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16.5% to 20.5%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

Considering Luis Ortiz’s large platoon split, J.P. Crawford will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Randy Arozarena has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year’s 90.4-mph figure.

Considering Luis Ortiz’s large platoon split, Rowdy Tellez will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The Barrel% of Rowdy Tellez has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.1% last year to 16.3% this season.

Rowdy Tellez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 98.3-mph in the last week.

When assessing his home run talent, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Jorge Polanco are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Ortiz.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Nolan Jones is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

Nolan Jones has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Gabriel Arias has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Arias usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Emerson Hancock.

Gabriel Arias has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 93.8-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Batters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Luis Ortiz who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

T-Mobile Park has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks.

With 8 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Emerson Hancock will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Emerson Hancock is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.

In his previous start, Emerson Hancock allowed a staggering 6 earned runs.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gabriel Arias, Nolan Jones, Bo Naylor).

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #2 field in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .326 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .362 — a .036 difference.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 20th-best hitter in baseball.

Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Steven Kwan will have an advantage in today’s game.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Steven Kwan stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Tallying 93.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Luis L. Ortiz ranks in the 85th percentile.

Projected catcher Bo Naylor grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Negative Match Player Stats with Guardians vs Mariners Series Game 3

This year, Daniel Schneemann has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 22% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #30 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the slate today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Daniel Schneemann in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in MLB for lefty batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Typically, bats like Kyle Manzardo who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Emerson Hancock.

Cole Young is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

17% of the time that Cole Young has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

When assessing his home run talent, Cole Young ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Benjamin Williamson is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Benjamin Williamson has been pinch hit for 21% of the time.

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

When it comes to his home run ability, Benjamin Williamson ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 0th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Emerson Hancock,Typically, bats like Jose Ramirez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Emerson Hancock.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Ramirez in today’s matchup.

J.P. Crawford’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 90.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 88.1-mph in the last two weeks.

J.P. Crawford’s launch angle lately (-0.7° in the past week) is quite a bit lower than his 13.9° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.P. Crawford’s true offensive ability to be a .326, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .026 gap between that mark and his actual .352 wOBA.

Luis Ortiz will have the handedness advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Ortiz’s large platoon split.

In the last 7 days, Randy Arozarena’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

This year, Rowdy Tellez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 50% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 15.5°, Rowdy Tellez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.5°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

This year, Jorge Polanco has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 26% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Jorge Polanco has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 10.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.

Jorge Polanco’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 93-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86.4-mph in the last two weeks.

Nolan Jones is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Nolan Jones has been pulled from the game early 36% of the time.

Gabriel Arias is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Emerson Hancock will have the handedness advantage against Gabriel Arias in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will bat from his worse side (0) today against Luis Ortiz… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Ortiz’s large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cal Raleigh’s true offensive ability to be a .349, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .067 deviation between that mark and his actual .416 wOBA.

In terms of his home runs, Cal Raleigh has had positive variance on his side this year. His 54.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 38.4.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Emil Jimenez) in charge of the strike zone today.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Emerson Hancock in the 11th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

In his last outing, Emerson Hancock struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 0 Ks.

Emerson Hancock’s sinker usage has spiked by 5.8% from last season to this one (29.8% to 35.6%) .

Emerson Hancock has notched an 8.7% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Considering Luis Ortiz’s large platoon split, Julio Rodriguez will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 94-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 82.1-mph in the past 14 days.

In the last 14 days, Julio Rodriguez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 7.7°.

When estimating his home run talent, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Over the last 7 days, Steven Kwan has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power).

As a result of his large platoon split, Luis L. Ortiz meets a tough challenge squaring off against 6 batters in the projected batting order who bat from the opposite side in this matchup.

Because flyball batters have a significant edge over groundball pitchers, Luis L. Ortiz and his 44.8% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome position in this outing facing 2 opposing GB hitters.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis L. Ortiz today.

In his previous start, Luis L. Ortiz struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

Luis L. Ortiz’s cutter utilization has dropped by 6.4% from last season to this one (20% to 13.6%) .

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