Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Cleveland at Milwaukee Game 3 Matchup Today

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

By putting up a .362 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jose Ramirez has performed in the 91st percentile.

Sporting a 1.64 K/BB rate this year, Jose Ramirez has shown good plate discipline, ranking in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Will Brennan has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Will Brennan will have the upper hand today.

Will Brennan hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

American Family Field ranks as the #9 venue in the game for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.

Joey Ortiz will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #9 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Lively in today’s game… and even more favorably, Lively has a large platoon split.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Among all parks, American Family Field’s centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

Because of Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Sal Frelick will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Sal Frelick has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Because of Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Garrett Mitchell will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Joey Ortiz’s 60.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.6%.

Joey Ortiz has put up a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 81st percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Chris Conroy) behind the plate in today’s game.

American Family Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Colin Rea will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Colin Rea has utilized his slider 6.3% more often this year (17%) than he did last year (10.7%).

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Garrett Mitchell has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today’s game.

Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Steven Kwan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Willy Adames will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The Milwaukee Brewers have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gary Sanchez, Garrett Mitchell, Jake Bauers).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as a good pitch framer.

Andres Gimenez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .281 figure is considerably lower than his .315 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 5.9% Barrel% of the Cleveland Guardians grades them out as the #29 club in baseball this year by this standard.

William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and William Contreras will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Garrett Mitchell hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 10.7% on the season to 25% in the past week’s worth of games.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward, Milwaukee has been the #28 offense in the game when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (14.4% rate this year).

Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brice Turang stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Josh Naylor will have the handedness advantage against Colin Rea today.

Josh Naylor has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Guardians vs Brewers Matchup

In today’s matchup, Jose Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.5% rate (99th percentile).

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Milwaukee’s #2-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Jose Ramirez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Ramirez in today’s game.

Jose Ramirez has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week.

This year, Will Brennan has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 23% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Brennan in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Will Brennan’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

Over the past 14 days, Will Brennan’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 89.5 mph to 80 mph.

Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Considering Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Joey Ortiz will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Joey Ortiz has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Among all the teams today, the best infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.

Joey Ortiz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 79.4-mph over the past week.

When estimating his home run talent, Brice Turang ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (3.1°) is considerably worse than his 10.2° angle last season.

In terms of his home runs, Brice Turang has experienced some positive variance this year. His 9.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 4.8.

Brice Turang has posted a .161 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

Ben Lively will hold the platoon advantage against William Contreras in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Lively’s large platoon split.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, William Contreras has experienced some positive variance this year. His .354 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

Because of Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Willy Adames will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Willy Adames has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.

Willy Adames’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 82.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.232) suggests that Willy Adames has had positive variance on his side this year with his .252 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Sal Frelick is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Sal Frelick has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 85.5-mph mark last season has lowered to 83.4-mph.

Over the last two weeks, Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 83.4 mph to 76.9 mph.

Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Garrett Mitchell has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

In the past week’s worth of games, Garrett Mitchell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

In the past week, Garrett Mitchell’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.9%.

When it comes to his home run talent, Will Brennan ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Naylor in today’s matchup.

Josh Naylor has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.

In the last week, Josh Naylor’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

The Cleveland Guardians (17.2 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-prone team of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

With 7 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Colin Rea has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Colin Rea’s 91.7-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 23rd percentile among all SPs.

Placing in the 7th percentile, Colin Rea recorded an 8% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Garrett Mitchell has been lucky this year, notching a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .020 disparity.

Because of Ben Lively’s large platoon split, Jackson Chourio will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Jackson Chourio has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 22.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 15.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his batting average, William Contreras has been lucky this year. His .284 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andres Gimenez in today’s matchup.

Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 88.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 81-mph in the past two weeks.

Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this season (9.2°) is a considerable dropoff from his 12.9° figure last year.

Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 91.1-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.4-mph over the past 14 days.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jose Ramirez’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, notching a .370 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .058 discrepancy.

Sal Frelick is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best of the day).

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ben Lively today.

Ben Lively struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his last outing and notched 1 Ks.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Ben Lively has relied on his off-speed and breaking balls 6.2% less often this year (39.4%) than he did last year (45.6%).

Among all SPs, Ben Lively’s fastball velocity of 89.2 mph ranks in the 2nd percentile this year.

The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

In his previous outing, Colin Rea gave up a whopping 7 earned runs.

Over the last 14 days, Joey Ortiz has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Josh Naylor has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 32.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 25.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Ben Lively’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 22nd percentile among all starters in the game currently.

Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jackson Chourio has had positive variance on his side given the .014 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

As it relates to his home run skill, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).