
ATH @ TOR



Series Game 4 Matchup Details
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Sunday, June 1st
01/06/25 13:37:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Athletics vs Blue Jays Series Game 4 Matchup Today
Denzel Clarke’s BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate.
Batters such as Denzel Clarke with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kevin Gausman who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Rogers Centre profiles as the #3 park in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #3 park in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Addison Barger has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.5% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Addison Barger’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 94.3 mph.
Jacob Wilson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.
Extreme flyball hitters like Jacob Wilson generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kevin Gausman.
As it relates to his batting average talent, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 10th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
George Springer is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.
George Springer will hold the platoon advantage over JP Sears in today’s matchup.
Batting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Myles Straw will have an advantage in today’s game.
Myles Straw will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Myles Straw is remarkably athletic, ranking in the 94th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.2 ft/sec this year.
The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Kevin Gausman has a reverse platoon split and has the misfortune of facing 7 same-handed batters in this outing.
Kevin Gausman is an extreme flyball pitcher (36% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #2 HR venue among all parks today.
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kevin Gausman in the 79th percentile among all SPs in MLB.
Kevin Gausman has averaged 95.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 90th percentile.
The #10 field in the league for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average ability.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Bo Bichette ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Bo Bichette is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
When estimating his BABIP talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that JP Sears throws from, Bo Bichette will have an advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.
Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against JP Sears in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Brent Rooker projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.
Brent Rooker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brent Rooker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brent Rooker’s maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 111.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Miguel Andujar hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Miguel Andujar has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 86.7-mph average to last season’s 84.1-mph mark.
Miguel Andujar has posted a .307 batting average this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.
Luis Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Sporting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year, Luis Urias has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 89th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Ernie Clement will hold the platoon advantage against JP Sears in today’s matchup.
Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
When it comes to his home run talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Tyler Soderstrom will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Tyler Soderstrom hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Nathan Lukes’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Extreme flyball bats like Nathan Lukes are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like JP Sears.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Nathan Lukes will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Shea Langeliers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Shea Langeliers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.274) suggests that Shea Langeliers has experienced some negative variance this year with his .238 actual batting average.
In his previous GS, JP Sears was rolling and notched 7 strikeouts.
JP Sears has relied on his slider 10.2% more often this year (44%) than he did last season (33.8%).
The Toronto Blue Jays have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward,As it relates to his home run skill, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Lawrence Butler will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today’s game.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lawrence Butler hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Negative Match Player Stats with Athletics vs Blue Jays Series Game 4
Denzel Clarke is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
Rogers Centre projects as the #25 park in MLB for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Kevin Gausman will hold the platoon advantage over Denzel Clarke in today’s game.
Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Denzel Clarke today.
Among all major league parks, the 8th-tallest fences are at Rogers Centre.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzel Clarke in the 18th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Addison Barger is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.
Hitting from the same side that JP Sears throws from, Addison Barger faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
Ranking in the 14th percentile, Addison Barger has put up a .276 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
By putting up a 3.65 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Addison Barger has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 23rd percentile.
The #6 ballpark in the game for suppressing BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Checking in at the 13th percentile, Addison Barger has posted a .215 batting average since the start of last season.
When assessing his home run skill, Jacob Wilson ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Jacob Wilson has a tough challenge today.
Jacob Wilson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Over the past two weeks, Jacob Wilson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.3%.
George Springer’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, going from 51.1% on the season to 14.3% in the last 14 days.
Sporting a .266 BABIP since the start of last season, George Springer grades out in the 17th percentile.
When estimating his home run talent, Myles Straw ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Myles Straw is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Myles Straw in the 16th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Athletics offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-luckiest offense in the league this year.
Tom Hanahan projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays’s expected catcher today) projects as a good pitch framer.
Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Kevin Gausman (36% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 GB hitters in Sacramento’s projected lineup.
In the last two weeks, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 92.8 mph to 81.3 mph.
From last season to this one, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.5% to 10.4%.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 10.4% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks.
Over the last 14 days, Bo Bichette’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%.
By putting up a .120 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Alejandro Kirk is ranked in the 10th percentile.
Last season, Alejandro Kirk had a launch angle of 9.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 6.8°.
Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Brent Rooker will have a tough matchup today.
Typically, bats like Brent Rooker who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Kevin Gausman.
Brent Rooker is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Toronto (#2-best on the slate).
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brent Rooker today.
There has been a significant decline in Brent Rooker’s launch angle from last year’s 18.4° to 13° this year.
Miguel Andujar is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Kevin Gausman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Andujar in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Miguel Andujar in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 21st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Urias in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Luis Urias is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Luis Urias meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Urias in today’s matchup.
In the last two weeks, Luis Urias’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6% down to 0%.
Ernie Clement is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Over the last 14 days, Ernie Clement’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.6%.
Grading out in the 16th percentile, Ernie Clement has notched a .272 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Grading out in the 7th percentile for power, Ernie Clement has paced 1.7 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
When assessing his home run talent, Ernie Clement ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Soderstrom will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98.2-mph figure last season has dropped to 95.7-mph.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.9°, Tyler Soderstrom has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.6°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Nathan Lukes is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
JP Sears will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Lukes in today’s matchup.
Nathan Lukes’s launch angle in recent games (4.8° over the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 14° seasonal mark.
In terms of his home runs, Nathan Lukes has been lucky since the start of last season. His 14.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 9.2.
Nathan Lukes has been lucky this year, compiling a .347 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .037 disparity.
As it relates to his home run skill, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kevin Gausman will have the handedness advantage over Shea Langeliers in today’s matchup.
Shea Langeliers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Over the last two weeks, Shea Langeliers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.2% down to 0%.
Shea Langeliers’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has decreased to 86.1-mph over the last 14 days.
The Toronto Blue Jays (18.7 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters of the day.
Projected catcher Shea Langeliers projects as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Toronto Blue Jays have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over JP Sears today.
JP Sears will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
JP Sears was rolling in his previous game started and gave up 2 ER.
Considering the 0.54 gap between JP Sears’s 5.18 ERA and his 4.64 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and should perform better in future games.
Lawrence Butler will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
In the last two weeks, Lawrence Butler’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.5% down to 0%.
Lawrence Butler’s launch angle of late (-6° in the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.9° seasonal angle.
Lawrence Butler has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .323 mark is a fair amount higher than his .279 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
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