Giants @ Cubs Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the San Francisco Giants Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Ian Happ is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

,This game is expected to have the most humid conditions on the schedule today (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

,The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Landen Roupp.

,Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Bryce Eldridge will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Brown in today’s game.

,Bryce Eldridge has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past week’s worth of games.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Bryce Eldridge’s 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an advantage today.

,Jung Hoo Lee has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,When it comes to his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 13th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage today.

,Nico Hoerner has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 86-mph figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daniel Susac in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,In the last week, Daniel Susac’s 87.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Extreme groundball batters like Seiya Suzuki tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Seiya Suzuki has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Over the last 7 days, Eric Haase’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25% up to 50%.

,Eric Haase has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 98-mph.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Landen Roupp in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Moises Ballesteros will hold the platoon advantage over Landen Roupp in today’s matchup.

,Moises Ballesteros has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Moises Ballesteros ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Moises Ballesteros will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,When assessing his home run skill, Eric Haase ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 11°, Matt Chapman has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.8° mark over the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Willy Adames’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 19% on the season to 23.1% over the last 14 days.

,Michael Conforto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Michael Conforto has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Rafael Devers has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today’s matchup.

,Extreme groundball hitters like Pete Crow-Armstrong tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Casey Schmitt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Casey Schmitt pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 21.7°, Casey Schmitt has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 27.3° angle in the last 14 days.

,In the past 7 days, Jung Hoo Lee’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.7% up to 9.1%.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Hitting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Drew Gilbert will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Drew Gilbert has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.1-mph to 87.7-mph in the last week.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Drew Gilbert’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.5%.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Willie Traynor profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be behind the plate in today’s game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Carson Kelly (the Cubs’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Ramirez in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

,Pedro Ramirez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Luis Arraez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Luis Arraez will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Luis Arraez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16.1% to 19.7%.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 77th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ranking in the 90th percentile, Carson Kelly has put up a .291 batting average this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ben Brown in the 90th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Dansby Swanson will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Dansby Swanson’s launch angle lately (24.3° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 15.7° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Landen Roupp in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,Landen Roupp has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 3.8 more adjusted pitches-per-start than league average.

,Despite posting a .272 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has had some very poor luck given the .060 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

,The Chicago Cubs projected lineup projects as the 3rd-strongest of the day in terms of overall offensive skill.

,Alex Bregman will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Nico Hoerner has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 100th percentile with a 0.73 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Michael Busch will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Series Game 2 Game Today

Ian Happ pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4%,— 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Ian Happ’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.7%.

,Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

,In today’s matchup, Bryce Eldridge is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.4% rate (80th percentile).

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Eldridge in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryce Eldridge’s true offensive talent to be a .320, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .039 disparity between that mark and his actual .359 wOBA.

,Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.

,Jung Hoo Lee will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jung Hoo Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 87.4 mph to 84.9 mph.

,Despite posting a .348 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jung Hoo Lee has had positive variance on his side given the .034 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

,Jung Hoo Lee has paced 4.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 8th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (98% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,Posting a 3.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nico Hoerner finds himself in the 6th percentile for power.

,Ranking in the 18th percentile for power, Nico Hoerner has paced 7.3 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

,Landen Roupp will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman today.

,Alex Bregman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 92.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 88.5-mph over the last 14 days.

,There has been a significant decline in Alex Bregman’s launch angle from last season’s 17.9° to 14.8° this season.

,Based on Statcast data, Alex Bregman ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .230.

,Daniel Susac is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the same side that Ben Brown throws from, Daniel Susac will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

,Daniel Susac will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Daniel Susac has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Placing in the 19th percentile, Alex Bregman sports a .160 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Hitting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Seiya Suzuki encounters a tough challenge today.

,Seiya Suzuki has struggled with his Barrel%; his 16.9% rate last year has decreased to 8.6% this year.

,Over the last two weeks, Seiya Suzuki’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Haase in the 20th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Eric Haase is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,When starting against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season, Eric Haase has been pinch hit for 19% of the time.

,Ben Brown will have the handedness advantage over Eric Haase in today’s game.

,Michael Busch has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 21.9% to 18.8%.

,Moises Ballesteros is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

,This year, Moises Ballesteros has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 41% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

,Moises Ballesteros has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 10.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 14 days.

,Moises Ballesteros’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 15.1% on the season to 0% in the last 14 days.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eric Haase today.

,Matt Chapman is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Ben Brown will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman in today’s game.

,Matt Chapman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,From last season to this one, Matt Chapman’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94.2 mph to 89.8 mph.

,Batting from the same side that Ben Brown throws from, Willy Adames meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Willy Adames is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#3-best of all teams today).

,Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Willy Adames has put up a .224 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,This year, Michael Conforto has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 27% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

,Michael Conforto has been lucky this year, putting up a .370 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .051 deviation.

,Michael Conforto has compiled a .223 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Michael Conforto has posted a .359 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile.

,Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Rafael Devers has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.

,Rafael Devers’s launch angle recently (0.2° over the past week) is considerably lower than his 12.2° seasonal angle.

,Rafael Devers has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 10th percentile with a 4.45 K/BB rate.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Eric Haase’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21.4%.

,Ben Brown will have the handedness advantage against Casey Schmitt in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Casey Schmitt in today’s game.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Casey Schmitt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14% down to 8.7%.

,Despite posting a .372 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Casey Schmitt has been very fortunate given the .048 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Jung Hoo Lee ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jung Hoo Lee’s launch angle recently (6.3° in the last two weeks) is considerably worse than his 10.7° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Gilbert in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Drew Gilbert is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,26% of the time that Drew Gilbert has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Drew Gilbert in today’s matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Ben Brown’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 90th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the majors right now.

,The San Francisco Giants have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Ben Brown will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Ranking 2nd-least steep in the majors since the start of last season, San Francisco Giants bats as a unit have posted a 12° launch angle on their hardest-hit balls (a reliable metric to measure power ability).

,Pedro Ramirez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Extreme groundball hitters like Pedro Ramirez generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Landen Roupp.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez today.

,Despite posting a .342 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Arraez has experienced some positive variance given the .036 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Luis Arraez is in the 0th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at .000.

,Carson Kelly is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Landen Roupp will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Kelly today.

,Carson Kelly has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last two weeks.

,Carson Kelly has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph dropping to 87-mph over the last two weeks.

,Over the last two weeks, Carson Kelly’s 9.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.5%.

,Carson Kelly’s BABIP ability is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ben Brown is projected to throw 84 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

,Sporting a .208 batting average since the start of last season, Michael Conforto has performed in the 6th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daniel Susac in the 21st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Matt Chapman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 15.2% to 9%.

,Dansby Swanson is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Dansby Swanson will have a tough matchup today.

,In the last two weeks, Dansby Swanson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%.

,Dansby Swanson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 16.8% to 12.2%.

,Dansby Swanson has recorded a .275 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.

,Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Landen Roupp (46.6% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Chicago’s projected offense.

,Landen Roupp will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Gilbert in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Drew Gilbert and his 4.5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 10th percentile, among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Landen Roupp in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

,The Chicago Cubs as a group rank 21st- overall in Major League Baseball this year in regard to the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nico Hoerner’s launch angle in recent games (5.7° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 13.1° seasonal angle.

,This year, Luis Arraez’s 0% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 0th percentile among his peers.

,Willy Adames has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 12th percentile with a 4.32 K/BB rate.

,Nico Hoerner has put up a .260 BABIP this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

,By putting up a 6.22 K/BB rate this year, Casey Schmitt has demonstrated poor plate discipline, grading out in the 2nd percentile.

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