Dodgers @ Rockies Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Positives for the Los Angeles Dodgers Series Game 4 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the game for run-scoring.

,Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.

,In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

,Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Kyle Karros will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Willi Castro is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for RHB home runs.

,Willi Castro will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Coors Field profiles as the #1 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in baseball for righty batting average.

,Miguel Rojas will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today’s matchup.

,Miguel Rojas ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.7% rate since the start of last season).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Tyler Freeman is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Jose Quintana has averaged 91.3 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Jose Quintana will hold that advantage today.

,Jose Quintana has used his sinker 23.6% less often this year (20.3%) than he did last year (43.9%).

,Kyle Tucker projects as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Santiago Espinal will have an advantage today.

,The Colorado Rockies have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future,Projected catcher Will Smith projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for batting average.

,Will Smith projects as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Will Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Ezequiel Tovar will have the handedness advantage against Justin Wrobleski in today’s game.

,Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Hunter Goodman will have an edge today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Andy Pages will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors.

,Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

,The #5 park in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,The Colorado Rockies have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Hunter Goodman, Jordan Beck).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,T.J. Rumfield is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,T.J. Rumfield will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Ryan Ward is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan Ward stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as baseball’s 20th-best home run hitter.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) implies that Jake McCarthy has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .201 actual batting average.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Los Angeles Dodgers today carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .334, which is a good deal worse than their actual wOBA of .367 this year.

,It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

,Hitting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an advantage today.

,Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Jordan Beck will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jordan Beck will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,When assessing his home run skill, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Tyler Freeman will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Karros will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

,Ezequiel Tovar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Jake McCarthy has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .256 rate is quite a bit lower than his .280 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Negatives with the Colorado Rockies Series Game 4 Game Today

Kyle Karros is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,In the last 7 days, Kyle Karros’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

,Kyle Karros’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 13.2% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.247) suggests that Kyle Karros has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .266 actual wOBA.

,Kyle Karros has performed at a clip of 0.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 5th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will bat from his worse side against Justin Wrobleski in today’s game.

,Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 18.2% to 6.3%.

,Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Willi Castro has put up a .293 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

,Posting a .358 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Willi Castro finds himself in the 21st percentile.

,Max Muncy is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Max Muncy faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams today.

,Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Miguel Rojas’s BABIP ability is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Miguel Rojas is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,Miguel Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Miguel Rojas’s footspeed has declined this year. His 25.92 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.38 ft/sec now.

,Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,By putting up a 4.96 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Teoscar Hernandez has displayed bad plate discipline, placing in the 7th percentile.

,In the past two weeks, Tyler Freeman has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Jose Quintana in the 2nd percentile among all starters in the game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the worst stadium in the league for strikeouts.

,In his previous start, Jose Quintana didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

,Jose Quintana will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Tucker in today’s game.

,Kyle Tucker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Santiago Espinal is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Santiago Espinal in today’s game.

,With a .248 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Santiago Espinal has performed in the 2nd percentile for offensive ability.

,When assessing his home run talent, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Miguel Rojas has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .314 figure is considerably higher than his .276 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Miguel Rojas’s 4.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 12th percentile since the start of last season.

,The worst projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Colorado Rockies.

,Justin Wrobleski was on point in his last outing and gave up 1 ER.

,Among all starters, Justin Wrobleski’s fastball spin rate of 2406 rpm is in the 75th percentile this year.

,Justin Wrobleski has had some very poor luck with his ERA since the start of last season; his 3.87 rate is considerably higher than his 3.07 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,With a 3.07 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Justin Wrobleski ranks in the 89th percentile.

,Will Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Will Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 92.5 mph to 89 mph.

,Will Smith has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .298 BA is inflated compared to his .281 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Santiago Espinal has paced 0.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 0th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Willi Castro has notched a .220 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile.

,Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Ezequiel Tovar’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 55.6%.

,Checking in at the 12th percentile, Ezequiel Tovar has put up a .278 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar’s skill is quite weak, posting a 5.33 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 5th percentile.

,When it comes to his home runs, Teoscar Hernandez has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 28.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.3.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.217) implies that Hunter Goodman has been lucky since the start of last season with his .275 actual batting average.

,Using Statcast data, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 22nd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .295.

,Hunter Goodman has shown weak plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 6th percentile with a 5.18 K/BB rate.

,Andy Pages is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .457 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Andy Pages has had some very good luck given the .131 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

,Andy Pages has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 11th percentile with a 4.57 K/BB rate.

,Jose Quintana will hold the platoon advantage over Shohei Ohtani in today’s matchup.

,Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 100.7-mph EV last year has dropped to 97.1-mph.

,Santiago Espinal has recorded a .226 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Justin Wrobleski is projected to throw 80 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

,Brenton Doyle has struggled with his Barrel%; his 10.8% rate last season has lowered to 3% this year.

,Brenton Doyle’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 14.6% to 9.1%.

,Over the past week, Brenton Doyle’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.1%.

,Brenton Doyle has compiled a .260 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 4th percentile.

,Brenton Doyle has recorded a .211 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 7th percentile.

,Brenton Doyle has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 8th percentile with a 4.86 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Hitting from the same side that Justin Wrobleski throws from, T.J. Rumfield will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, T.J. Rumfield’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

,In the last week, T.J. Rumfield’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

,By putting up a 2.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Tyler Freeman finds himself in the 4th percentile for power.

,Posting a .115 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Tyler Freeman is positioned in the 2nd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ward in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Jose Quintana will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Ward today.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Ward in today’s game.

,Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .280 figure is inflated compared to his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When estimating his home run skill, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Jake McCarthy will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Jake McCarthy’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 84.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 79.3-mph in the last two weeks.

,From last year to this one, Jake McCarthy’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 41% to 29.6%.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Andy Pages’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jose Quintana in the 6th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

,Jose Quintana’s 89.9-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 6th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,By putting up a .201 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kyle Karros is positioned in the 22nd percentile.

,Jordan Beck is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

,Jordan Beck has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 9.6% rate last year has fallen to 3.4% this year.

,Jordan Beck’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.2-mph EV last season has dropped to 87.1-mph.

,Jordan Beck has put up a .284 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile.

,Jordan Beck has shown weak plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 13th percentile with a 4.29 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ward in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jake McCarthy’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 29.6%.

,Jordan Beck’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 46% to 27.6%.

,Jordan Beck has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .248 mark is considerably higher than his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Teoscar Hernandez’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 88.9-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 83.7-mph in the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 14th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Tyler Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 12% to 8%.

,Since the start of last season, Tyler Freeman’s 2% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 4th percentile among his peers.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 16th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Ezequiel Tovar’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 92.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 90.5-mph over the last week.

,In his last game started, Jose Quintana was in good form and conceded 2 ER.

,Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 32.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 29.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Jake McCarthy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 18% to 7.4%.

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