Dodgers @ Brewers Matchup Details

Positives for the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

,American Family Field ranks as the #4 ballpark in the majors for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,American Family Field has the 5th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.

,American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,The #4 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

,American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors.

,The American Family Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 20th-best batter in the majors.

,Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

,Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Joey Ortiz will have an edge in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Mookie Betts is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,As it relates to his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Christian Yelich is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for home runs.

,Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justin Wrobleski in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Max Muncy ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Will Smith projects as the 19th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Will Smith’s 14.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) is in the 87th percentile this year.

,Sal Frelick will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,Sal Frelick’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Andy Pages is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

,The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Justin Wrobleski.

,Luis Rengifo will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Teoscar Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 38.8% to 50%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Brice Turang is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Jake Bauers will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Hyeseong Kim will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Joey Ortiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Max Muncy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today’s game.

,Max Muncy has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 14% rate last season to 19.3% this year.

,Considering that flyball hitters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Logan Henderson (40.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 5 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected offense.

,Logan Henderson will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his metrics across the board.

,In his last outing, Logan Henderson was firing on all cylinders and allowed 2 ER.

,Logan Henderson has compiled a 2.88 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the things a pitcher can most influence) since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile.

,Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Logan Henderson compiled a 12.4% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season.

,William Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Wrobleski in today’s matchup.

,Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Hyeseong Kim’s BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hyeseong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage over Logan Henderson in today’s game.

,Justin Wrobleski has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 5.8 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than league average.

,The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

,With a 2.25 gap between Justin Wrobleski’s 4.80 K/9 and his 7.04 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to positively regress in future games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Justin Wrobleski’s 82nd percentile walk rate (6.6% this year) shows his strong control skills.

,Andrew Vaughn will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Wrobleski in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Chourio will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Wrobleski in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brice Turang ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Henderson in the 89th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Negatives with the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

From last season to this one, Jackson Chourio’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23,° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.9% to 9.5%.

,In terms of plate discipline, Jackson Chourio’s ability is quite poor, sporting a 3.88 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 18th percentile.

,Jake Bauers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Justin Wrobleski will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Bauers in today’s game.

,Jake Bauers’s launch angle this year (9.4°) is a significant dropoff from his 16.6° figure last season.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Freddie Freeman in today’s matchup.

,Freddie Freeman’s launch angle this season (10.9°) is quite a bit worse than his 14.3° mark last season.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today’s game.

,Shohei Ohtani has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 23.7% rate last year has dropped off to 16.4% this season.

,Shohei Ohtani’s launch angle this season (11.3°) is significantly worse than his 14.8° figure last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Joey Ortiz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

,Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 39.8% to 34.6%.

,Since the start of last season, Joey Ortiz’s 3.2% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 8th percentile among his peers.

,Hitting from the same side that Logan Henderson throws from, Mookie Betts will have a tough challenge today.

,Typically, bats like Mookie Betts who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Logan Henderson.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mookie Betts in today’s game.

,By putting up a .249 BABIP since the start of last season, Mookie Betts has performed in the 7th percentile.

,Andrew Vaughn has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11.9% rate last season has fallen off to 3.2% this year.

,Andrew Vaughn’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 91.4-mph figure last season has fallen to 89.1-mph.

,Andrew Vaughn’s launch angle this season (7.8°) is quite a bit lower than his 13.5° mark last year.

,Justin Wrobleski will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Yelich in today’s matchup.

,Christian Yelich’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 44.9% to 38.3%.

,Justin Wrobleski was in good form in his last start and conceded 1 ER.

,Justin Wrobleski’s 2418-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 79th percentile among all starters.

,The 7.2% Barrel% of the Milwaukee Brewers ranks them as the #24 club in MLB this year by this stat.

,Milwaukee’s 8.7° launch angle (a reliable stat to study the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the majors this year: #30 overall.

,Max Muncy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Max Muncy pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Typically, bats like Max Muncy who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Logan Henderson.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Max Muncy in today’s game.

,Will Smith is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Logan Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Will Smith in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball batters like Will Smith tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

,Will Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Sal Frelick is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Sal Frelick will be in a tough position today.

,Sal Frelick’s launch angle this season (8.8°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.1° angle last season.

,This year, Sal Frelick’s 3.1% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 13th percentile among his peers.

,Sal Frelick’s 84.8-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the game this year: 6th percentile.

,Logan Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andy Pages in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball batters like Andy Pages usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andy Pages in today’s game.

,Andy Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.4% to 14.7%.

,Max Muncy’s launch angle this season (13.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 19.8° mark last year.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Luis Rengifo has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Luis Rengifo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 14.7% to 10.9%.

,Luis Rengifo has been cold recently, struggling to the tune of a .232 wOBA in the last two weeks.

,Checking in at the 17th percentile, Will Smith sports a .140 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Logan Henderson throws from, Teoscar Hernandez faces a tough challenge today.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Teoscar Hernandez today.

,Justin Wrobleski will hold the platoon advantage against Brice Turang in today’s game.

,Brice Turang’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 15.9% to 11.7%.

,Kyle Tucker pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Tucker tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

,Kyle Tucker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,This year, Kyle Tucker’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 11.5% last year to just 5.9% this year.

,William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 43.9% to 38.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hyeseong Kim in the 7th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Hyeseong Kim is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

,Hyeseong Kim will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Hyeseong Kim’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 18.3% to 10.7%.

,Hyeseong Kim’s 3.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Logan Henderson is projected to throw 77 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate.

,The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup grades out as the best of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.

,Joey Ortiz’s launch angle this year (8.4°) is significantly lower than his 13.8° mark last year.

,Joey Ortiz’s 85-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in the game since the start of last season: 12th percentile.

,When estimating his home run talent, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hyeseong Kim’s 85.7-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the game since the start of last season: 16th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Justin Wrobleski in the 21st percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 20.3% underlying K%.

,Placing in the 19th percentile, William Contreras has put up a .148 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,Christian Yelich’s 1.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the game: 1st percentile.

,Logan Henderson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching an 11.63 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.61 — a 2.02 K/9 deviation.

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