D-Backs vs Twins match player stats | 2025 Friday, September 12th

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ARI @ MIN

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D-Backs @ Twins Matchup Details

Teams : Arizona Diamondbacks at Minnesota Twins
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, September 12th
Time : 12/09/25 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today

Recording 92.2 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Brandon Pfaadt places him the 78th percentile.

The 10th-deepest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Target Field.

The league’s 5th-highest average fence height can be found at Target Field.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Brandon Pfaadt has utilized his four-seam fastball 8.9% less often this season (24.5%) than he did last year (33.4%).

The Minnesota Twins have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Byron Buxton, Ryan Fitzgerald, James Outman).

Brandon Pfaadt’s 2567-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 98th percentile among all SPs.

Brandon Pfaadt has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 7.59 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.25 — a 0.66 K/9 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 9th-best ballpark in baseball for righty batting average.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.231) suggests that Tim Tawa has suffered from bad luck this year with his .209 actual batting average.

Tim Tawa ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (20% rate this year).

Adrian Del Castillo is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.

Adrian Del Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today’s matchup.

Adrian Del Castillo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB.

Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Ketel Marte has averaged 31.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball’s 6th-best home run hitter.

Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Byron Buxton projects as the 14th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

With 6 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Pablo Lopez will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Pablo Lopez’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.1 mph this year (93.9 mph) below where it was last year (95 mph).

Among all starting pitchers, Pablo Lopez’s fastball spin rate of 2159 rpm ranks in the 21st percentile this year.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Pablo Lopez in the 83rd percentile among all SPs in MLB.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Adrian Del Castillo, Tim Tawa, Blaze Alexander).

Ranking in the 78th percentile, Pablo Lopez put up an 11.9% Swinging Strike% this year.

Grading out in the 79th percentile, Pablo Lopez has compiled a 24.9% Strikeout% this year.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 20.5%.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 20.5% on the season to 37.5% over the past week.

Gabriel Moreno’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.5-mph.

Jake McCarthy has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .201 mark is considerably lower than his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Kody Clemens is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Kody Clemens will have an edge today.

Austin Martin is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Martin will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Royce Lewis has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last season’s 87.1-mph figure.

Blaze Alexander’s BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Blaze Alexander has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 3.4% rate last year to 13.8% this season.

With a .273 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Blaze Alexander is positioned in the 77th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage today.

As it relates to his home runs, Alek Thomas has been unlucky this year. His 11.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.4.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 20th-best hitter in MLB.

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage today.

Negatives with the Minnesota Twins Game Today

Target Field ranks as the #5 park in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Brandon Pfaadt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The Minnesota Twins have done a strong job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 16° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball this year (#4 overall).

Target Field profiles as the #22 park in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tim Tawa ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tim Tawa is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Pablo Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tim Tawa today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tim Tawa in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adrian Del Castillo in the 19th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Adrian Del Castillo has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adrian Del Castillo in today’s game.

Adrian Del Castillo has been cold of late, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) in the last 7 days.

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage over Luke Keaschall in today’s game.

Luke Keaschall hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Luke Keaschall’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

In the past week, Luke Keaschall’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 88.4 mph to 69.8 mph.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Pablo Lopez,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Ketel Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14% down to 0%.

Ketel Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.2-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.2-mph over the past 7 days.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Pablo Lopez in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Pablo Lopez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today.

Geraldo Perdomo’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 87.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 83.3-mph over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Geraldo Perdomo has been lucky this year, notching a .359 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .046 difference.

Hitting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

When assessing his home run skill, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

This year, Jake McCarthy has been pulled from the game early in 17% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

In the past 7 days, Jake McCarthy’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kody Clemens has been pinch hit for 22% of the time.

Kody Clemens hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Kody Clemens has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 85.5-mph over the past 7 days.

When estimating his home run ability, Austin Martin ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Martin in today’s matchup.

Austin Martin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

Austin Martin’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 87.2-mph mark last year has dropped off to 84-mph.

Over the past two weeks, Austin Martin’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 89 mph to 83.3 mph.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Trevor Larnach has been pinch hit for 11% of the time.

Trevor Larnach has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

Over the last 7 days, Trevor Larnach’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 90.1 mph to 79.5 mph.

Royce Lewis is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage over Royce Lewis today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 19th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Blaze Alexander is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Pablo Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Blaze Alexander today.

Blaze Alexander will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Blaze Alexander’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 81.3-mph over the last week.

Alek Thomas is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Alek Thomas has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alek Thomas today.

In the last 7 days, Alek Thomas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.

Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

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