
ARI @ COL




Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, June 21st
21/06/25 21:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Rockies Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 95°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Coors Field profiles as the #7 ballpark in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Considering Carson Palmquist’s large platoon split, Tim Tawa will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.
The #1 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Jordan Beck is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Mike Estabrook grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.
Carson Palmquist will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats across the board.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan Ritter will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Ryan Ritter’s BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Merrill Kelly in the 83rd percentile among all starters in baseball.
Merrill Kelly has averaged 93.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 87th percentile.
The Colorado Rockies (27.8% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the most strikeout-heavy set of hitters of all teams on the slate today.
With 6 hitters who bat from the same side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Merrill Kelly should benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.
Ketel Marte projects as the 11th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as baseball’s 16th-best home run hitter.
Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
The #1 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
The #7 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
When estimating his home run ability, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
As it relates to his home run ability, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today.
Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
Hitters such as Jose Herrera with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Carson Palmquist who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Rockies Series Game 2
Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.
Merrill Kelly will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle in today’s matchup.
The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.
Brenton Doyle’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 93.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 91-mph over the past 7 days.
From last season to this one, Brenton Doyle’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.5% to 13.7%.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Brenton Doyle’s 9.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.7%.
Tim Tawa is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tim Tawa in today’s game.
Despite posting a .309 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tim Tawa has been lucky given the .016 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.
Merrill Kelly will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Beck today.
Despite posting a .342 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Beck has experienced some positive variance given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.
Jordan Beck has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 15th percentile with a 4.35 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Palmquist to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (11th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy team of batters on the slate today.
Hunter Goodman, the Rockies’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #1 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Ryan Ritter is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Merrill Kelly will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Ritter in today’s matchup.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Ryan Ritter has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Posting a lowly an 84.1-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Ryan Ritter has been in a slump of late.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Herrera (the D-Backs’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s matchup.
In the past week, Ketel Marte’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.7% down to 0%.
Ketel Marte’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 94-mph average last year has decreased to 91-mph.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ketel Marte has had some very good luck this year. His .402 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .367.
Typically, batters like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Carson Palmquist.
Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Eugenio Suarez has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 43.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 29.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
With a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Eugenio Suarez grades out in the 17th percentile.
Eugenio Suarez has notched a .238 BABIP this year, placing in the 7th percentile.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) provides evidence that Eugenio Suarez has experienced some positive variance this year with his .358 actual wOBA.
Carson Palmquist will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Naylor today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Palmquist’s large platoon split.
Josh Naylor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 93.7-mph figure last year has lowered to 89.4-mph.
Josh Naylor has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .357 rate is a good deal higher than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Josh Naylor’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (8.5°) is quite a bit worse than his 11.5° mark last season.
Ryan McMahon has posted a .230 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Placing in the 12th percentile, Ryan McMahon has put up a .214 batting average this year.
Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
This year, Randal Grichuk has been pinch hit for in 37% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randal Grichuk in today’s matchup.
Randal Grichuk’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.1% to 12.2%.
When it comes to his batting average, Randal Grichuk has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .277 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today.
In notching a .258 BABIP this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is positioned in the 15th percentile.
Mickey Moniak is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
27% of the time that Mickey Moniak has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early.
When it comes to his home runs, Mickey Moniak has experienced some positive variance this year. His 27.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.4.
Mickey Moniak has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 21st percentile with a 3.87 K/BB rate.
In notching a .255 BABIP this year, Mickey Moniak is ranked in the 13th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Orlando Arcia is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Orlando Arcia will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Typically, hitters like Orlando Arcia who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Merrill Kelly.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 15th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Orlando Arcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.1-mph average last season has fallen off to 85.3-mph.
When estimating his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo in today’s game.
Geraldo Perdomo has been lucky this year, putting up a .333 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .029 disparity.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Geraldo Perdomo has recorded a .260 BABIP this year, placing in the 17th percentile.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jose Herrera ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jose Herrera is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Since the start of last season, Jose Herrera has been pulled from the game early in 31% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Herrera in today’s game.
Jose Herrera’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, decreasing from 16.4% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Hitting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Tyler Freeman encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 6.9°, Tyler Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) over the past two weeks.
Despite posting a .369 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Freeman has had some very good luck given the .040 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.
With a 7.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Tyler Freeman has performed in the 10th percentile for power.
Michael Toglia’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his home runs, Michael Toglia has been lucky this year. His 24.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.1.
Michael Toglia has posted a .200 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Toglia has displayed poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 12th percentile with a 4.8 K/BB rate.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Toglia has experienced some positive variance this year. His .287 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .263.
Grading out in the 15th percentile, Michael Toglia has put up a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
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