ARI @ MIA






D-Backs @ Marlins Matchup Details
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 9th
Time : 09/06/26 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today
Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.
,Nolan Arenado’s launch angle in recent games (22.8° over the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 18.7° seasonal angle.
,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
,Gabriel Moreno has compiled a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Using Statcast metrics, Javier Sanoja is in the 82nd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .275.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
,Otto Lopez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Placing in the 85th percentile, Otto Lopez sports a .363 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
,Ketel Marte has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week’s worth of games.
,In the last 7 days, Ketel Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph recently.
,Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 13% on the season to 33.3% over the last 7 days.
,The 4th-worst projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Miami Marlins.
,It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Miami Marlins offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst venue in MLB for home runs.
,The 4th-deepest right field fences among all parks are found in LoanDepot Park.
,Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Joe Mack will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,Joe Mack is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Joe Mack will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,In the last 7 days, Joe Mack’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 16.7%.
,Joe Mack’s launch angle of late (25.3° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 10.4° seasonal mark.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 14th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his batting average skill.
,Xavier Edwards is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Zac Gallen.
,Xavier Edwards will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
,Over the last 14 days, Xavier Edwards’s 55.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.3%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 11th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average ability.
,Otto Lopez has recorded a .282 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Grading out in the 100th percentile, Otto Lopez sports a .336 batting average this year.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability.
,Owen Caissie will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen today.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Owen Caissie can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
,Owen Caissie hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Owen Caissie will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 45% to 50.3%.
,Over the last week, Geraldo Perdomo’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50.3%.
,Utilizing Statcast data, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.
,Utilizing Statcast data, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 84th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .278.
,In terms of plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo’s ability is quite strong, putting up a 0.98 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 97th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Waldschmidt in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
,LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all parks.
,Ryan Waldschmidt has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark.
,Ryan Waldschmidt’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 58.3% on the season to 64% in the last two weeks.
,When it comes to his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Kyle Stowers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.
,Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,Kyle Stowers will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today.
,Tommy Troy hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
,In the last 7 days, Tommy Troy has displayed impressive power, recording a a 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power).
,Liam Hicks is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.
,Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today’s game.
,Liam Hicks is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
,Liam Hicks hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,Liam Hicks will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Max Meyer’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 86th percentile among all starters in the game right now.
,Generating 17 outs per outing this year on average, Max Meyer places him the 76th percentile.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 19th-best hitter in baseball.
,Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
,Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Max Meyer in today’s game.
,Corbin Carroll has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 94.6-mph over the past week.
,Using Statcast data, Corbin Carroll grades out in the 95th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .378.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run talent.
,Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Heriberto Hernandez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,In the last week’s worth of games, Heriberto Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.8% up to 33.3%.
,Heriberto Hernandez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal figure of 96.3-mph.
,Gabriel Moreno’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,In the past two weeks, Gabriel Moreno’s 57.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.1%.
,Gabriel Moreno has compiled a .289 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Liam Hicks ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an edge today.
,Jakob Marsee is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Jakob Marsee’s launch angle this year (19°) is significantly better than his 10.9° angle last year.
,Jakob Marsee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 14.8% on the season to 42.9% in the last week.
,Pavin Smith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Pavin Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Max Meyer in today’s matchup.
,Ranking in the 79th percentile, Pavin Smith has notched a .339 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
,Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Pavin Smith sits with a .351 BABIP since the start of last season.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Meyer in the 88th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.
,LoanDepot Park profiles as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Max Meyer will hold that advantage today.
,The Miami Marlins have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Heriberto Hernandez, Joe Mack, Owen Caissie).
,Zac Gallen’s four-seam fastball percentage has decreased by 7.1% from last season to this one (45.4% to 38.3%) .
,Over the last 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
,When assessing his home run skill, Owen Caissie ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Grading out in the 89th percentile, Xavier Edwards sports a .369 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
,Xavier Edwards has shown good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 95th percentile with a 1.02 K/BB rate.
Negatives with the Miami Marlins Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
,The #1 field in the game for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
,Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.
,The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
,Batting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Nolan Arenado will have a tough matchup today.
,Hitting from the same side that Max Meyer throws from, Gabriel Moreno will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
,Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,Javier Sanoja is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
,Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Javier Sanoja encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
,Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage today.
,Otto Lopez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.
,LoanDepot Park ranks as the #31 ballpark in the game for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Max Meyer in this game.
,Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Zac Gallen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
,With a 5.11 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that deals with the things a pitcher has the most control over), Zac Gallen falls in the 17th percentile.
,Placing in the 17th percentile, Zac Gallen recorded an 8.4% Swinging Strike rate this year.
,LoanDepot Park ranks as the #23 stadium in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Joe Mack ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Joe Mack is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,16% of the time that Joe Mack has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
,Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.
,Over the last week, Xavier Edwards’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.3% down to 0%.
,Owen Caissie is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.
,39% of the time that Owen Caissie has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
,LoanDepot Park ranks as the #23 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
,Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
,Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
,Ryan Waldschmidt is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.
,Max Meyer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Waldschmidt in today’s game.
,Today, Kyle Stowers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (77th percentile).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 8th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Troy in the 24th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
,Tommy Troy is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
,This year, Tommy Troy has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 21% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
,As it relates to his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Liam Hicks’s BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Liam Hicks has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph dropping to 80.7-mph in the last two weeks.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,Given the 1.13 deviation between Max Meyer’s 2.81 ERA and his 3.94 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and ought to perform worse in future games.
,Max Meyer has posted a .248 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest hurlers in baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks as a unit rank 3rd- overall in Major League Baseball this year as far as the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.
,Joe Mack’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Corbin Carroll pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.
,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll today.
,Zac Gallen will have the handedness advantage over Heriberto Hernandez today.
,In today’s game, Heriberto Hernandez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.1% rate (78th percentile).
,Liam Hicks’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, falling from 15.1% on the season to 9.1% over the past 14 days.
,Jakob Marsee is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
,34% of the time that Pavin Smith has started against a northpaw since the start of last season, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
,The Arizona Diamondbacks (20.1 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone batting order of the day.
,Given the 0.44 deviation between Max Meyer’s 9.90 K/9 and his 9.45 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to see negative regression going forward.
,Zac Gallen struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his last GS and posted 2 Ks.
,Ranking in the 9th percentile, Zac Gallen has notched a 15.9% strikeout rate this year.
,Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.5% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 8th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
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