D-Backs vs Cardinals match player stats | 2026 Thursday, July 23rd

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ARI @ STL

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D-Backs @ Cardinals Matchup Details

Teams : Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals

Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, July 23rd
Time : 23/07/26 17:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today

In the majors, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

,The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Blaze Jordan hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Blaze Jordan will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alec Burleson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ketel Marte’s true offensive ability to be a .362, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .031 disparity between that mark and his actual .331 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

,Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s matchup.

,Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Michael McGreevy.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

,Busch Stadium projects as the #10 stadium in the league for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The St. Louis Cardinals projected lineup profiles as the 5th-strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

,With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Brandon Pfaadt will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

,Brandon Pfaadt will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,The #10 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

,Tim Tawa hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Tim Tawa has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 93.8-mph in the past week.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.221) suggests that Tim Tawa has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .203 actual batting average.

,Jimmy Crooks is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jimmy Crooks will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Jimmy Crooks has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Nathan Church will have an advantage today.

,Nathan Church is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

,Nathan Church will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,Gabriel Moreno’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Gabriel Moreno’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 48.3% on the season to 55.2% in the last 14 days.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

,Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Masyn Winn has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 92.3-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Michael McGreevy in today’s matchup.

,Max Kepler will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,JJ Wetherholt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Corbin Carroll will hold the platoon advantage over Michael McGreevy in today’s matchup.

,Nolan Arenado has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last 14 days.

,Nolan Arenado has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 85.5-mph average.

,Over the last week, Nolan Arenado’s 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.3%.

,The St. Louis Cardinals (20% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-most strikeout-prone team of batters of the day.

,Brandon Pfaadt has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.71 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.57 — a 0.86 K/9 gap.

,It may be wise to expect stronger performance for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 batters in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in this matchup.

,Out of all starting pitchers, Michael McGreevy’s fastball velocity of 91.1 mph grades out in the 12th percentile this year.

,Recording 17.1 outs per start this year on average, Michael McGreevy places him the 80th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 11.2°, Gabriel Moreno has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.3° angle in the last week.

,Masyn Winn’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 16.7% on the season to 27.3% over the last 14 days.

,Michael McGreevy has used his change-up 8.9% more often this year (19.9%) than he did last season (11%).

,Michael McGreevy has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 5.92 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.40 — a 0.49 K/9 gap.

,Jorge Barrosa ranks in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.5% rate since the start of last season).

Negatives with the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jorge Barrosa ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jorge Barrosa is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

,Busch Stadium projects as the #30 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jorge Barrosa pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

,Blaze Jordan is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The #1 field in baseball for suppressing home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

,Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blaze Jordan in today’s matchup.

,Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

,Blaze Jordan is quite slow, grading out in the 13th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.59 ft/sec this year.

,Among all parks, Busch Stadium’s RF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

,Over the last 7 days, Alec Burleson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.2% down to 0%.

,Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 14.7% on the season to 0% in the past week.

,The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Michael McGreevy,Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s game.

,Lars Nootbaar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Lars Nootbaar’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 11.9% on the season to 0% over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 12th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo in today’s matchup.

,Ketel Marte has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for home runs.

,Brandon Pfaadt’s curveball rate has jumped by 7% from last year to this one (9.9% to 16.9%) .

,The St. Louis Cardinals have done a poor job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 12.5° angle is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (#26 overall).

,Tim Tawa is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Tim Tawa will have a tough matchup today.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tim Tawa today.

,Tim Tawa has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Jimmy Crooks ranks in the 4th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .194.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 21st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jorge Barrosa in today’s game.

,Nathan Church is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Nathan Church has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks.

,Over the last 14 days, Nathan Church’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 92.4 mph to 88 mph.

,Hitting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Gabriel Moreno has a tough challenge today.

,Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jordan Walker encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Jordan Walker has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.8-mph dropping to 83.6-mph in the last week.

,Jordan Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 13.2% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Ildemaro Vargas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Ildemaro Vargas will bat from his bad side against Michael McGreevy in today’s matchup.

,Ildemaro Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Masyn Winn is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

,Busch Stadium has the 5th-most fair ground in the majors — generally bad for long-balls.

,Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage over Masyn Winn today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,In today’s game, Max Kepler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.9% rate (81st percentile).

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Max Kepler today.

,In the last 7 days, Max Kepler’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.

,Max Kepler’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 92.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.7-mph over the last week.

,JJ Wetherholt’s launch angle lately (6.8° in the past two weeks) is considerably worse than his 13.3° seasonal angle.

,Corbin Carroll pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Corbin Carroll’s launch angle this year (13.3°) is significantly lower than his 16.8° figure last season.

,In the past two weeks, Corbin Carroll’s 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Michael McGreevy will have the handedness advantage over Nolan Arenado today.

,Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

,The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

,Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate has decreased 102 rpm this season (2466 rpm) below where it was last year (2568 rpm).

,Geraldo Perdomo has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph dropping to 81.7-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense profiles as the 3rd-weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Michael McGreevy will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 24th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Jimmy Crooks has put up a .164 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Gabriel Moreno has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph dropping to 87-mph in the last week.

,Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, notching a .375 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .346 — a .029 gap.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Corbin Carroll’s 4.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.4%.

,Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph EV last year has dropped to 87.1-mph.

,Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run skill, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Michael McGreevy in the 11th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.1% underlying K%.

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