Cubs @ Rockies Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago Cubs Series Game 2 Game Today

Tallying 93.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Shota Imanaga places him the 83rd percentile.

,The Colorado Rockies projected offense projects as the weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

,Nestor Ceja profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate today.

,Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.

,Shota Imanaga’s fastball velocity has spiked 1 mph this year (91.2 mph) over where it was last season (90.2 mph).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the game’s 18th-best home run hitter.

,Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Coors Field grades out as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When assessing his home run ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

,Ezequiel Tovar will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Ian Happ is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in MLB for left-handed batting average.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Dansby Swanson’s launch angle recently (25.3° in the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 16° seasonal angle.

,Willi Castro is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Seiya Suzuki has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks.

,Braxton Fulford is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Braxton Fulford will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Chad Stevens will have an edge today.

,Chad Stevens will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Cole Carrigg is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Cole Carrigg will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Carson Kelly has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph figure.

,Sporting a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Carson Kelly finds himself in the 77th percentile for offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 13th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Nico Hoerner has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 88.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 86.6-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Kyle Karros will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

,Coors Field profiles as the #10 field in MLB for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Troy Johnston will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Sporting a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Troy Johnston has performed in the 90th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Michael Lorenzen’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 20th percentile out of all SPs in baseball currently.

,The 2nd-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Chicago Cubs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Moises Ballesteros has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (66% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Kyle Karros will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Nico Hoerner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 15.5% on the season to 27.8% over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Extreme groundball batters like Jake McCarthy usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

,Jake McCarthy will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shota Imanaga in the 83rd percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

,The Colorado Rockies (26.8% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the most strikeout-heavy set of batters of all teams on the slate today.

,Shota Imanaga was on point in his last start and compiled 7 strikeouts.

,Troy Johnston has recorded a .338 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Negatives with the Colorado Rockies Series Game 2 Game Today

The Colorado Rockies have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future,Carson Kelly, the Cubs’s expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in the league for batting average.

,Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

,Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 87°.

,Shota Imanaga’s four-seam fastball percentage has decreased by 7.4% from last season to this one (48.7% to 41.3%) .

,Hunter Goodman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 12.9% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Despite posting a .352 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Hunter Goodman has been very fortunate given the .033 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

,Hunter Goodman has posted a .217 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Posting a 4.53 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 10th percentile.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s game.

,Ezequiel Tovar has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 84.4-mph in the past week.

,Ezequiel Tovar has compiled a .241 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 5th percentile.

,Ezequiel Tovar has shown poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 8th percentile with a 4.72 K/BB rate.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ian Happ in today’s game.

,In the past 7 days, Ian Happ’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.3%.

,Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Dansby Swanson faces a tough challenge today.

,Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Dansby Swanson has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 14 days.

,In the past week, Dansby Swanson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 93.1 mph to 83.2 mph.

,The switch-hitting Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Shota Imanaga,Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.2% to 11.5%.

,Willi Castro has notched a .153 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 17th percentile.

,In terms of plate discipline, Willi Castro’s ability is quite weak, putting up a 3.42 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 23rd percentile.

,Seiya Suzuki has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Seiya Suzuki has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Over the past two weeks, Seiya Suzuki’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braxton Fulford in the 14th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Extreme groundball bats like Braxton Fulford tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

,In notching a .253 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Braxton Fulford grades out in the 21st percentile for offensive ability.

,With a .197 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Braxton Fulford finds himself in the 20th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chad Stevens in the 11th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Chad Stevens is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

,This year, there has been a decline in Chad Stevens’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.52 ft/sec last year to 27.15 ft/sec currently.

,Chad Stevens and his -5.5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 2nd percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

,Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Michael Busch has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Over the last 7 days, Michael Busch’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

,Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 47.5% on the season to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

,Michael Lorenzen will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman today.

,Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Over the past week, Alex Bregman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

,Alex Bregman’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 86.1-mph over the last two weeks.

,Over the last week, Alex Bregman’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Carson Kelly is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Carson Kelly will have a tough matchup today.

,Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Carson Kelly has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last two weeks.

,Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today’s matchup.

,Nico Hoerner has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) over the last 14 days.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 6th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 3.000.

,Kyle Karros is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Kyle Karros grades out in the 17th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .247.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Kyle Karros grades out in the 5th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at .500.

,Posting a .304 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Kyle Karros is ranked in the 12th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Troy Johnston in the 17th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Troy Johnston is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Hitting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Troy Johnston faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Troy Johnston’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 82.4-mph in the last two weeks.

,Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Michael Lorenzen will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Michael Lorenzen must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 64.5% of the time, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

,Michael Lorenzen has been unlucky this year, posting an 8.01 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.92 — a 3.09 difference.

,Michael Lorenzen has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play this year with a .383 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

,Michael Lorenzen has recorded 13.8 outs per start this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

,When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Moises Ballesteros has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 42% of the time.

,Moises Ballesteros will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Moises Ballesteros has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last two weeks.

,Moises Ballesteros’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 87.7-mph in the past 14 days.

,In the past 14 days, Moises Ballesteros’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 20th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Kyle Karros’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, falling from 13.6% on the season to 7.7% in the past 7 days.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In notching a .201 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kyle Karros finds himself in the 22nd percentile.

,By putting up a .280 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Kyle Karros finds himself in the 23rd percentile.

,Troy Johnston’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 11.9% on the season to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Jake McCarthy faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Chicago’s #1-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Jake McCarthy, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,From last season to this one, Jake McCarthy’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 90.9 mph to 88.5 mph.

,By putting up a .256 BABIP this year, Nico Hoerner finds himself in the 20th percentile.

,The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,The Colorado Rockies have 7 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in this game.

,When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Michael Lorenzen in the 25th percentile among all starters in the game.

,The Chicago Cubs (20.9 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters of all teams on the slate today.

,Over the past 7 days, Carson Kelly’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.7%.

,Despite posting a .332 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake McCarthy has had positive variance on his side given the .035 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

,Since the start of last season, Braxton Fulford’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 11th percentile at 87.1 mph.

,Braxton Fulford has notched a .279 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, placing in the 20th percentile.

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