Cubs @ Rockies Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago Cubs Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for run-scoring.

,Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense.

,The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

,The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for hitters.

,Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Sterlin Thompson will have the upper hand today.

,Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When assessing his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Moises Ballesteros’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Moises Ballesteros is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Over the last 7 days, Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.6-mph over the course of the season to 88.7-mph lately.

,Coors Field projects as the #1 field in the majors for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Karros will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Hunter Goodman projects as the 18th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Tomoyuki Sugano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his metrics across the board.

,In his previous outing, Tomoyuki Sugano performed well and gave up 1 ER.

,Among all SPs, Tomoyuki Sugano’s fastball spin rate of 2415 rpm is in the 80th percentile this year.

,Tomoyuki Sugano’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (60.3% this year) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

,The Chicago Cubs collectively place 21st- overall in MLB this year in regard to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,T.J. Rumfield is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The weakest projected offense of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Colorado Rockies.

,Colin Rea turned in a great performance in his last GS and allowed 1 ER.

,Colin Rea’s change-up percentage has increased by 6.9% from last year to this one (12.3% to 19.2%) .

,Colorado’s 87.9-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in the game: #29 overall.

,The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Edouard Julien will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Tyler Freeman’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Troy Johnston is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,The Colorado Rockies (24.4% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-most strikeout-prone team of hitters on the slate.

,Carson Kelly has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Tomoyuki Sugano has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 5.12 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.18 — a 1.07 K/9 difference.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Moises Ballesteros ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Colorado Rockies Game Today

When it comes to his home run ability, Sterlin Thompson ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sterlin Thompson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among every team playing today.

,In the last 14 days, Sterlin Thompson has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Sterlin Thompson has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 84.9-mph on his flyballs.

,Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

,Tomoyuki Sugano will hold the platoon advantage over Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

,Nico Hoerner will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Nico Hoerner has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) over the past 14 days.

,Nico Hoerner has paced 3.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 6th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Moises Ballesteros has been pulled from the game early 42% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Moises Ballesteros will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,In the past two weeks, Moises Ballesteros’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.

,Moises Ballesteros’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 87.7-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Moises Ballesteros’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 15.1% on the season to 0% over the last 14 days.

,Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today’s matchup.

,Ezequiel Tovar has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 84.4-mph in the last week.

,Ezequiel Tovar has compiled a .241 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 5th percentile.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ian Happ today.

,In the last week, Ian Happ’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Grading out in the 20th percentile, Nico Hoerner has posted a .256 BABIP this year.

,When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Karros ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Karros is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Colin Rea will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Karros in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Kyle Karros’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

,Kyle Karros has notched a .247 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage today.

,In the last week, Hunter Goodman’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.9%.

,Despite posting a .352 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck given the .033 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Hunter Goodman grades out in the 11th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .217.

,Edouard Julien is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,28% of the time that Edouard Julien has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Edouard Julien’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

,Placing in the 14th percentile, Edouard Julien has notched a .268 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,By putting up a .500 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kyle Karros grades out in the 5th percentile for power.

,Seiya Suzuki has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Seiya Suzuki will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Seiya Suzuki in today’s game.

,Seiya Suzuki’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, going from 15.8% on the season to 10% over the past 14 days.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Tomoyuki Sugano’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 5th percentile out of all starters in baseball currently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tomoyuki Sugano to throw 83 pitches in this game (4th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The 3rd-best projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Chicago Cubs.

,The #1 park in the majors for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s game.

,Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 18.2% to 11.5%.

,Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 47.5% on the season to 33.3% in the past week’s worth of games.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Willi Castro’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 3.42 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 23rd percentile.

,Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Alex Bregman will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Alex Bregman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

,Alex Bregman has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 86.1-mph in the past 14 days.

,In the past week, Alex Bregman’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,T.J. Rumfield has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,T.J. Rumfield has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.

,T.J. Rumfield has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph dropping to 81.8-mph over the last two weeks.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Colin Rea’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 24th percentile out of all starting pitchers in baseball currently.

,The Colorado Rockies have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future,Carson Kelly, the Cubs’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Grading out in the 6th percentile, Edouard Julien has notched a .277 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,Colin Rea will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Freeman in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.7°, Tyler Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.8°) in the last 14 days.

,This year, Jake McCarthy has been pulled from the game early in 26% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

,Chicago’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jake McCarthy, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 90.9-mph average last season has fallen to 88.5-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake McCarthy’s true offensive ability to be a .297, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .035 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .332 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Troy Johnston in the 17th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Troy Johnston’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 88.1-mph seasonal average has lowered to 82.4-mph over the past 14 days.

,Troy Johnston’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 11.9% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Over the last 7 days, Troy Johnston has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Troy Johnston’s true offensive ability to be a .292, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .058 disparity between that figure and his actual .350 wOBA.

,Checking in at the 17th percentile, Willi Castro has put up a .153 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Colin Rea in the 18th percentile among all starters in the league.

,Coors Field ranks as the #31 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Posting a 4.72 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 8th percentile.

,Sterlin Thompson has struggled to lift the ball in recent games, posting a 5.5° launch angle over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Carson Kelly is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

,Tomoyuki Sugano will have the handedness advantage against Carson Kelly today.

,Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Over the last 14 days, Carson Kelly’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

,Using Statcast metrics, Tyler Freeman ranks in the 4th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 2.300.

,Placing in the 13th percentile, Tyler Freeman has posted a .139 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Busch in today’s game.

,Michael Busch has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.

,In the past 7 days, Michael Busch’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Tyler Freeman ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Freeman’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 90.2-mph EV last year has dropped off to 87.3-mph.

,Hunter Goodman has shown bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 10th percentile with a 4.53 K/BB rate.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jake McCarthy has paced 9.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Kyle Karros grades out in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .201.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tomoyuki Sugano in the 3rd percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

,The Chicago Cubs (20.3 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy batting order of all teams on the slate.

,Carson Kelly’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 13.7% on the season to 0% in the past week.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.1°, T.J. Rumfield has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.8°) over the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates T.J. Rumfield’s true offensive ability to be a .294, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .041 deviation between that mark and his actual .335 wOBA.

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