Cardinals vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, August 3rd

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Cardinals vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, August 3rd

STL @ SD

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, August 3rd
03/08/25 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Padres Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Jackson Merrill’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #6 venue in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

In the league, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today’s game.

Jackson Merrill has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the majors, Petco Park’s centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Victor Scott II will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

Willson Contreras has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 96.2-mph over the past 14 days.

Willson Contreras has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .344 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .369 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an edge in today’s game.

The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O’Hearn has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

When it comes to his home run talent, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ramon Laureano has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.1% seasonal rate to 24.2% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand today.

The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors.

Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Luis Arraez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Luis Arraez will hold the platoon advantage over Andre Pallante in today’s matchup.

When assessing his batting average ability, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Dylan Cease’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 92nd percentile out of all starters in the game right now.

Tallying 94.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Dylan Cease ranks in the 91st percentile.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

The #4 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Dylan Cease projects as the 11th-best starter in MLB right now when estimating his strikeout ability, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #7 venue in the game for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Ivan Herrera has put up a .365 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

Checking in at the 91st percentile, Ivan Herrera sits with a .290 batting average this year.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Freddy Fermin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Freddy Fermin’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.7-mph over the course of the season to 91.8-mph recently.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.9°, Freddy Fermin has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.3° mark in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar’s launch angle this season (18°) is significantly better than his 5.9° angle last year.

Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today’s matchup.

Grading out in the 75th percentile, the hardest ball Nolan Gorman has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 111.6 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as Major League Baseball’s 19th-best home run batter.

Andre Pallante is an extreme groundball pitcher (59.3% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Petco Park — the #9 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this matchup.

Andre Pallante performed well in his previous outing and conceded 2 ER.

Andre Pallante’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (41% compared to 30.9% last year) should work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Andre Pallante has been unlucky this year, compiling a 4.62 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.30 — a 0.32 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease in today’s matchup.

Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Alec Burleson has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 89.7-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Masyn Winn’s launch angle this season (16.4°) is considerably higher than his 13° angle last season.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.5) suggests that Masyn Winn has had some very poor luck this year with his 10.3 actual HR/600.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Padres Series Game 3

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output.

The #7 ballpark in the game for suppressing BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

The San Diego Padres outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

From last season to this one, Victor Scott II’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91 mph to 88.9 mph.

Victor Scott II’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 88.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 82.7-mph over the past two weeks.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s matchup.

Placing in the 17th percentile for power, Xander Bogaerts has averaged 9 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The #7 stadium in the league for suppressing base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Hitting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Willson Contreras meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Willson Contreras in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Willson Contreras’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.6% down to 0%.

Willson Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 47.1% on the season to 15.4% over the last week.

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

This year, Ryan O’Hearn has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan O’Hearn’s true offensive skill to be a .339, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .023 gap between that mark and his actual .362 wOBA.

Ramon Laureano has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Ramon Laureano will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Ramon Laureano has been lucky this year, compiling a .371 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .048 discrepancy.

Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage over Manny Machado today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Manny Machado’s true offensive ability to be a .351, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .020 deviation between that figure and his actual .371 wOBA.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.5°, Manny Machado has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.3°) over the past 14 days.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jake Cronenworth’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.6% down to 0%.

Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.9-mph average last year has decreased to 89.8-mph.

Over the past two weeks, Jake Cronenworth’s 6.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

Using Statcast data, Jake Cronenworth grades out in the 24th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .236.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.4°, Fernando Tatis Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.8°) over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 87.9-mph figure last season has decreased to 85.7-mph.

Over the last 7 days, Luis Arraez has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power).

In terms of his home runs, Luis Arraez has had some very good luck this year. His 7.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 0.0.

Luis Arraez has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .322 rate is quite a bit higher than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Dylan Cease will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Considering the 0.67 difference between Dylan Cease’s 11.64 K/9 and his 10.96 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to negatively regress the rest of the season.

Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage against Ivan Herrera in today’s matchup.

Ivan Herrera has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ivan Herrera in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Ivan Herrera’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.

Freddy Fermin is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Freddy Fermin will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Freddy Fermin’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 12.3% to 9%.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Freddy Fermin has had some very good luck this year. His .287 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .270.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lars Nootbaar in today’s matchup.

By putting up a .235 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Lars Nootbaar has performed in the 23rd percentile.

Grading out in the 16th percentile, Lars Nootbaar has posted a .265 BABIP this year.

Nolan Gorman’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Gorman today.

Nolan Gorman has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 16.7% rate last year has lowered to 11.7% this year.

The San Diego Padres projected batting order profiles as the 5th-best on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

The San Diego Padres have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future,When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andre Pallante in the 9th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

The San Diego Padres (18.1 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-heavy team of hitters on the slate today.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andre Pallante in today’s matchup.

Andre Pallante has put up a 15.4% strikeout rate this year, placing in the 6th percentile.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his batting average, Alec Burleson has been lucky this year. His .284 BA has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .270.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brendan Donovan in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Brendan Donovan’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

Brendan Donovan hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which often leads to easy pop-up outs. His 11.7% “too-high” rate this year ranks in the 9th percentile.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Masyn Winn has a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 89-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

In the last week, Masyn Winn’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.3%.

Latest San Diego Padres Match Player Stats

Latest St. Louis Cardinals Match Player Stats