Marlins vs Cubs match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, September 22nd

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MIA @ CHC

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Marlins @ Cubs Matchup Details

Teams : Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs

Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 22nd
Time : 22/09/26 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Miami Marlins Game Today

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,There has been a significant improvement in Jakob Marsee’s launch angle from last year’s 10.9° to 17.5° this year.

,Jakob Marsee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 16.1% on the season to 28.6% over the past 7 days.

,Jakob Marsee has compiled a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Posting a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jakob Marsee is positioned in the 95th percentile.

,Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

,Esteury Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage over Shota Imanaga today.

,Esteury Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Esteury Ruiz’s launch angle in recent games (53.3° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably higher than his 25.1° seasonal figure.

,Esteury Ruiz’s footspeed has improved this season. His 27.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.86 ft/sec now.

,When estimating his batting average talent, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Otto Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Otto Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga today.

,Extreme flyball batters like Otto Lopez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Among all parks, Wrigley Field’s LF fences are the 7th-shallowest.

,Seiya Suzuki will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Seiya Suzuki has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph average.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Janson Junk in this game.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When assessing his home run skill, Griffin Conine ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Griffin Conine has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week’s worth of games.

,Over the last 7 days, Griffin Conine’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Griffin Conine is in the 91st percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 29.700.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Kyle Stowers’s launch angle this year (18.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.2° angle last year.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .380.

,Kyle Stowers has recorded a .272 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Michael Conforto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk today.

,Michael Conforto will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Over the past week, Michael Conforto’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph in recent games.

,Michael Conforto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 14.9% to 19.4%.

,When assessing his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 11th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Nico Hoerner has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 91-mph average over the past week to his seasonal mark of 87.1-mph.

,Over the past 7 days, Nico Hoerner’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Dansby Swanson will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dansby Swanson’s true offensive skill to be a .331, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .020 gap between that mark and his actual .311 wOBA.

,Checking in at the 76th percentile for power, Dansby Swanson has hit 24.6 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Stowers has paced 36.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 97th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Javier Sanoja is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Javier Sanoja will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

,Javier Sanoja pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Javier Sanoja has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 2.6% seasonal rate to 10.5% in the past week.

,Kyle Stowers’s launch angle in recent games (35.6° in the last week’s worth of games) is significantly higher than his 18.5° seasonal angle.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Janson Junk today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Jakob Marsee’s ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.61 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 82nd percentile.

,Jared Serna will hold the platoon advantage over Shota Imanaga today.

,Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.11 ft/sec this year, Jared Serna is remarkably fast.

,The standard deviation of Dansby Swanson’s launch angle this year (26.5°) is in the 80th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.

,Based on Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 77th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.

,Carson Kelly has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 79th percentile with a 1.72 K/BB rate.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Heriberto Hernandez will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

,Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Esteury Ruiz’s 25.1° launch angle (an advanced standard to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 96th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,The best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the Chicago Cubs.

,The #7 stadium in the game for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

,Placing 2nd-highest in the league this year, Chicago Cubs batters as a unit have notched a 15.9° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure the ability to lift the ball for power).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Janson Junk today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage today.

,Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 18.8% on the season to 33.3% over the last week.

,Nico Hoerner has been unlucky this year, notching a .297 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .012 disparity.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shota Imanaga in the 80th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

,Shota Imanaga has averaged 92 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

,The Miami Marlins have 5 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Heriberto Hernandez, Joe Mack, Kyle Stowers, Esteury Ruiz, Griffin Conine).

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Shota Imanaga’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 75th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Miami Marlins in this game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .307, which is considerably worse than their actual wOBA of .318 this year.

,It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Miami Marlins offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

,Sporting a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Griffin Conine has performed in the 84th percentile for offensive skills.

,Ranking in the 90th percentile, Griffin Conine has posted a .358 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Game Today

Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest RF dimensions in the league.

,In the league, the 7th-tallest fences are at Wrigley Field.

,In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today.

,The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

,Shota Imanaga will have the handedness advantage against Jakob Marsee in today’s game.

,Esteury Ruiz is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,This year, Esteury Ruiz has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 52% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.

,Otto Lopez has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today.

,Hitting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage today.

,In the past week, Seiya Suzuki’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.

,Ian Happ pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Placing in the 15th percentile, Ian Happ has notched a .221 batting average this year.

,Griffin Conine has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Shota Imanaga will have the handedness advantage against Griffin Conine in today’s matchup.

,Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,Hitting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Kyle Stowers faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Kyle Stowers pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Michael Conforto is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

,29% of the time that Michael Conforto has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Janson Junk will hold the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today’s matchup.

,Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Dansby Swanson is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Janson Junk will hold the platoon advantage over Dansby Swanson today.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Javier Sanoja ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Javier Sanoja will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has been very fortunate given the .054 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .345.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Serna in the 18th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Jared Serna is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Otto Lopez in today’s game.

,Carson Kelly’s BABIP skill is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Carson Kelly is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Janson Junk will have the handedness advantage over Carson Kelly today.

,When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Janson Junk in the 9th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

,Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Janson Junk is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 13th-least of the day.

,Janson Junk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Janson Junk’s slider usage has dropped by 8.6% from last year to this one (42.5% to 33.9%) .

,Michael Conforto’s BABIP ability is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heriberto Hernandez in today’s matchup.

,In the last 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13% down to 0%.

,The Chicago Cubs have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,Michael Busch has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 84.3-mph over the last week.

,Over the past 14 days, Javier Sanoja’s 4.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.8%.

,Michael Busch’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 21.9% to 18.8%.

,When assessing his home run ability, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Serna in the 18th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Shota Imanaga’s 91-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 9th percentile among all starting pitchers.

,Shota Imanaga has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.80 mark is deflated compared to his 4.64 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,From last season to this one, Dansby Swanson’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.8% to 13.7%.

,Griffin Conine pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

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