Brewers vs D-Backs match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, July 4th

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MIL @ ARI

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Brewers @ D-Backs Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Teams : Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, July 4th
Time : 04/07/26 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Series Game 2 Game Today

Jackson Chourio’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in MLB for RHB BABIP.

,Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for left-handed BABIP.

,Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Woodruff in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Troy in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tommy Troy will hold that advantage today.

,Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today’s matchup.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Sal Frelick has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

,Batting from the opposite that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge today.

,Pavin Smith will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Christian Yelich is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Christian Yelich is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Chris Guccione grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in the game for batting average.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Woodruff in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Woodruff’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this season (91.4 mph) below where it was last season (92.5 mph).

,Brandon Woodruff’s four-seamer rate has increased by 13.1% from last year to this one (30.9% to 44%) .

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage in today’s game.

,The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Hamilton stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Jake Bauers ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today’s game.

,Jake Bauers will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Brice Turang is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Merrill Kelly has averaged 93.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 84th percentile.

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Merrill Kelly will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christian Yelich ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Brandon Woodruff.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Brice Turang is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the game.

,Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Garrett Mitchell will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,William Contreras is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage today.

,When it comes to his BABIP ability, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jake Bauers ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Merrill Kelly has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 5.18 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.89 — a 1.71 K/9 disparity.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brandon Woodruff in the 84th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

,Placing in the 76th percentile, Brandon Woodruff has recorded a 25.4% Strikeout% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Series Game 2 Game Today

Among all major league stadiums, the 10th-tallest fences are at Chase Field.

,The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.

,Merrill Kelly will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio today.

,In today’s matchup, Jackson Chourio is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.9% rate (97th percentile).

,Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of all the teams playing today.

,Tommy Troy is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Brandon Woodruff will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tommy Troy in today’s matchup.

,Tommy Troy hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run ability, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Sal Frelick is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

,The 3rd-deepest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Chase Field.

,Pavin Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Chase Field grades out as the #25 park in the league for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Brandon Woodruff in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

,Brandon Woodruff is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #27 HR venue in MLB in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Gabriel Moreno faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 13th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,David Hamilton is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Bauers in today’s matchup.

,Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brice Turang in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 22nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Merrill Kelly in this game.

,Merrill Kelly’s cut-fastball utilization has decreased by 5% from last year to this one (20.6% to 15.6%) .

,Merrill Kelly has compiled a 6.20 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control) this year, checking in at the 2nd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 10th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

,Brandon Woodruff will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan Arenado in today’s matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Brandon Woodruff in today’s game.

,Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

,Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

,Merrill Kelly will hold the platoon advantage against William Contreras in today’s matchup.

,William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

,William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Hitting from the same side that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Cooper Pratt ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Cooper Pratt is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,David Hamilton will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Merrill Kelly in the 19th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

,Chase Field ranks as the #28 field in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Compared to league average, Brandon Woodruff has been given less leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an -9.7 fewer adjusted pitches each game.

,Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.2% underlying K%.

,Hitting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Cooper Pratt will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cooper Pratt in today’s matchup.

,In his previous game started, Merrill Kelly was rolling and allowed 2 ER.

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