Brewers @ Cardinals Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Series Game 3 Game Today

Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.

,Hitting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Pedro Pages will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Very few of Pedro Pages’s contacted balls have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid hitting into easy outs. His 24.5% “too-high” rate this year grades out in the 78th percentile.

,Busch Stadium ranks as the #9 venue in the majors for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Blaze Jordan will hold the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in today’s matchup.

,Blaze Jordan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Blaze Jordan will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Jose Fermin is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,Hitting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Jose Fermin will have an edge in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jose Fermin will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In the past two weeks, Jose Fermin’s 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today’s matchup.

,Jake Bauers has big-time power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (27.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Hunter Dobbins doesn’t generate many whiffs (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Bauers.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell as the 5th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Garrett Mitchell will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today’s matchup.

,Garrett Mitchell has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days.

,Garrett Mitchell has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 92.9-mph mark.

,Hitting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Masyn Winn will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Masyn Winn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brice Turang ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today’s game.

,Brice Turang has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 94.4-mph.

,Cooper Pratt’s launch angle in recent games (12.3° in the past week) is a significant increase over his 0° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Jackson Chourio has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season’s 89.3-mph EV.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Dobbins in today’s matchup.

,Christian Yelich has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.9-mph figure.

,When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in today’s matchup.

,Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Busch Stadium profiles as the #9 stadium in the majors for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Robert Gasser throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Ivan Herrera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christian Yelich ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Joey Ortiz has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.3-mph average to last year’s 86.2-mph average.

,Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 11.3% on the season to 30% in the last week.

,Despite posting a .250 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Ortiz has had some very poor luck given the .046 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

,Brice Turang’s BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

,JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and JJ Wetherholt will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,With a .328 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Garrett Mitchell grades out in the 75th percentile for hitting ability.

,Extreme flyball batters like Nathan Church tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robert Gasser.

,Nathan Church will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Nathan Church has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days.

,Nathan Church has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 92.8-mph.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,In the last week, Blaze Jordan’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,In the past week’s worth of games, Jake Bauers’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.5%.

Negatives with the St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 3 Game Today

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Pedro Pages ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Pedro Pages is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.

,Pedro Pages has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will be challenged by the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,Pedro Pages has recorded a .245 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Cooper Pratt is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Home runs are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all stadiums.

,Hunter Dobbins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cooper Pratt in today’s matchup.

,Cooper Pratt will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Cooper Pratt has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.9-mph dropping to 79.8-mph in the past week.

,Blaze Jordan is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among every team playing today.

,Blaze Jordan has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Blaze Jordan’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 96.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 94.2-mph in the past 7 days.

,Busch Stadium grades out as the #29 stadium in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The St. Louis Cardinals have 7 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in this game.

,Considering that groundball hitters hold a substantial edge over flyball pitchers, Robert Gasser and his 36.6% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot in today’s game facing 2 opposing GB bats.

,Robert Gasser will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Jose Fermin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 7 days, Jose Fermin’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 91.8 mph to 86.9 mph.

,Jose Fermin has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the past week.

,11% of the time that Jake Bauers has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the worst stadium in the game for lefty home runs.

,Jake Bauers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Jake Bauers’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 96.3-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 94.2-mph over the past two weeks.

,Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

,18% of the time that Garrett Mitchell has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,In today’s game, Garrett Mitchell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.2% rate (93rd percentile).

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Garrett Mitchell today.

,Masyn Winn is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has dropped off to 86.1-mph.

,Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 14.8% to 9.7%.

,Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 9.7% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Jose Fermin ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

,Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang’s true offensive ability to be a .330, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .025 difference between that mark and his actual .355 wOBA.

,Posting a 11.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brice Turang is positioned in the 18th percentile for power.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Cooper Pratt ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hunter Dobbins will have the handedness advantage against Jackson Chourio in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Over the past two weeks, Jackson Chourio’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 95.4 mph to 90.1 mph.

,In the past two weeks, Jackson Chourio’s 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.2%.

,Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Yelich in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run skill, Masyn Winn ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Over the past 7 days, Jordan Walker’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.8%.

,Despite posting a .371 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has had positive variance on his side given the .029 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342.

,Jordan Walker has posted a .273 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 8th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.8°, Jackson Chourio has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.8°) over the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Garrett Mitchell’s true offensive talent to be a .314, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .045 deviation between that figure and his actual .359 wOBA.

,Over the past two weeks, Ivan Herrera’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.4% down to 0%.

,Over the last two weeks, Ivan Herrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 89.9 mph to 81.2 mph.

,Ivan Herrera’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 10.7% on the season to 3.6% over the last 14 days.

,Using Statcast metrics, Jordan Walker is in the 7th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .208.

,When assessing his home run skill, Joey Ortiz ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

,This year, Joey Ortiz has been pinch hit for in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,Hunter Dobbins will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Ortiz in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Chourio has been lucky this year, putting up a .374 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .352 — a .022 deviation.

,Batting from the same side that Robert Gasser throws from, JJ Wetherholt will be in a tough position today.

,JJ Wetherholt’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 94.3-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 89.7-mph over the past week.

,Over the last 14 days, JJ Wetherholt has recorded a mere a 2.9% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,Nathan Church is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The 2nd-deepest RF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Busch Stadium.

,Robert Gasser will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Church in today’s matchup.

,Sporting a .262 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nathan Church finds himself in the 25th percentile for offensive ability.

,Joey Ortiz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Jordan in the 24th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Jake Bauers’s launch angle this season (9.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.6° mark last season.

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