Brewers @ Astros Matchup Details

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

Luis Rengifo has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .240 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Rengifo has been unlucky given the .044 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .284.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 16th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Christian Yelich is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Christian Yelich has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 91.7-mph over the past week.

,Christian Vazquez will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,Christian Vazquez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 14.6% on the season to 22.2% in the past week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Cam Smith is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Cam Smith will hold that advantage today.

,The Barrel% of Cam Smith has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.1% last year to 13.8% this year.

,Cam Smith has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 107.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 94-mph.

,As it relates to his BABIP skill, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Kai-Wei Teng in today’s matchup.

,Garrett Mitchell has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Garrett Mitchell has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 14.1% seasonal rate to 23.5% over the past two weeks.

,Over the past two weeks, Garrett Mitchell’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.7-mph recently.

,The #6 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Kai-Wei Teng will hold that advantage today.

,Kai-Wei Teng’s 2492-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 90th percentile out of all SPs.

,Milwaukee Brewers hitters as a unit place 24th- in the game for power this year when judging by their 7% Barrel%.

,When estimating his home run ability, Jake Bauers ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

,Minute Maid Park ranks as the #7 park in the majors for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in MLB.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Jake Bauers will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,The Houston Astros have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zach Dezenzo, Brice Matthews, Taylor Trammell).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the best venue in the game for strikeouts.

,Coleman Crow will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand today.

,With a 1.21 K/BB rate this year, Sal Frelick has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

,Batting from the opposite that Coleman Crow throws from, Braden Shewmake will have the upper hand today.

,Braden Shewmake has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Braden Shewmake will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In the last week, Braden Shewmake’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 11.1%.

,In the past 7 days, Braden Shewmake’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph recently.

,Taylor Trammell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Taylor Trammell will hold the platoon advantage over Coleman Crow in today’s game.

,Taylor Trammell will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Taylor Trammell’s 90.9-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 83rd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,In the last week’s worth of games, William Contreras’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 18.2%.

,William Contreras has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 95-mph over the past 7 days.

,William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 41.4% on the season to 72.7% in the last week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,When estimating his batting average skill, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 20.7°, Jeremy Pena has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24.3° angle over the last 14 days.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The #7 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,David Hamilton has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (47.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 25° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in MLB.

,Sporting a 1.69 K/BB rate this year, Isaac Paredes has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 78th percentile.

,Brice Turang’s BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brice Turang is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96-mph average to last season’s 94-mph mark.

,When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kai-Wei Teng in the 75th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.

,Jake Bauers has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.3% seasonal rate to 18.5% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Coleman Crow in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Over the past week, Yordan Alvarez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18.2% up to 30%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brice Matthews will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Brice Matthews has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.8-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 87.9-mph average.

,Posting a 46.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brice Matthews is positioned in the 100th percentile for power.

,Brice Matthews and his 20.8° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 93rd percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Using Statcast metrics, Luis Rengifo is in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .272.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Chourio’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Jackson Chourio has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 10% rate last season to 17.9% this year.

,Jackson Chourio has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last year’s 92.8-mph mark.

,Using Statcast metrics, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 75th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .269.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brice Turang ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The Houston Astros have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward

Negatives with the Houston Astros Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Luis Rengifo is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The #4 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,In the league, the 3rd-tallest fences are at Minute Maid Park.

,Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to worse offense.

,Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Vazquez in the 4th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Christian Vazquez is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

,Christian Vazquez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in MLB for righty batting average.

,Coleman Crow will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Smith today.

,Cam Smith has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,This year, Garrett Mitchell has been pulled from the game early in 15% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kai-Wei Teng to throw 78 pitches today (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Among all parks, Minute Maid Park’s LF fences are the shallowest.

,The Milwaukee Brewers have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.

,Kai-Wei Teng has been lucky this year, notching a 2.19 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.53 — a 2.34 gap.

,Kai-Wei Teng has posted a .237 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jake Bauers has been pinch hit for 11% of the time.

,Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Bauers’s true offensive skill to be a .321, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .041 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .362 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coleman Crow to throw 82 pitches in this matchup (7th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Coleman Crow today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 3rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Sal Frelick is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sal Frelick today.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Braden Shewmake ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Braden Shewmake is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,24% of the time that Braden Shewmake has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Trammell in the 8th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today.

,Taylor Trammell’s footspeed has dropped off this year. His 28.19 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.96 ft/sec now.

,Batting from the same side that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, William Contreras has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Today, William Contreras is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.1% rate (94th percentile).

,Christian Yelich has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 26.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 18.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Coleman Crow will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

,Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.4-mph average last year has dropped off to 85.5-mph.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Garrett Mitchell in today’s matchup.

,William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, David Hamilton ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,David Hamilton is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,David Hamilton has been pulled from the game early 18% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Coleman Crow will hold the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brice Turang in today’s matchup.

,In the past 14 days, Brice Turang’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%.

,Brice Turang’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 96-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 81-mph over the last 7 days.

,When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Taylor Trammell has been lucky since the start of last season. His .309 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .283.

,Taylor Trammell has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 8.5° figure is among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (25th percentile).

,Today, Yordan Alvarez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (87th percentile).

,The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Kai-Wei Teng,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 15th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Brice Matthews is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Coleman Crow throws from, Brice Matthews will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Brice Matthews is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (91st percentile).

,Over the past two weeks, Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 86.6 mph to 83.1 mph.

,In the last two weeks, Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 85.5 mph to 83.2 mph.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.8°, Cam Smith has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.2°) over the last 14 days.

,Over the past 14 days, Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 90.9 mph to 87.3 mph.

,Isaac Paredes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 14% on the season to 5.3% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Hitting from the same side that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage today.

,Today, Jackson Chourio is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.2% rate (98th percentile).

,Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Milwaukee’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christian Vazquez ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Despite posting a .447 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yordan Alvarez has been lucky given the .032 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .415.

,The Houston Astros as a group place 2nd- overall in the majors this year when it comes to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

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