ATL @ DET



Braves @ Tigers Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, September 21st
Time : 21/09/25 13:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Atlanta Braves Game Today
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Spencer Strider’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 82nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the game right now.
Throwing 94 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Spencer Strider checks in at the 86th percentile.
In the majors, Comerica Park’s centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.
Spencer Strider was on point in his last GS and allowed 2 ER.
Spencer Strider’s 94.9-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 76th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Casey Mize performed well in his previous outing and gave up 0 ER.
Casey Mize’s change-up percentage has risen by 6.6% from last season to this one (18.1% to 24.7%) .
Casey Mize has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .310 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.
Ranking in the 81st percentile, Casey Mize has notched a 3.64 K/BB rate this year.
Spencer Strider projects as the 18th-best pitcher in MLB right now when assessing his strikeout skill, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Considering the 1.23 gap between Spencer Strider’s 9.45 K/9 and his 10.68 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see better results in the future.
Spencer Strider has recorded a 13.8% Swinging Strike rate this year, placing in the 95th percentile.
Negatives with the Detroit Tigers Game Today
Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest fences in MLB.
Spencer Strider’s 17th percentile Walk% (9.5% this year) shows his poor control ability.
The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today.
Casey Mize’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.4 mph this season (94 mph) below where it was last year (95.4 mph).
Casey Mize’s 2246-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 25th percentile among all starters.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Comerica Park as the 7th-worst park in MLB for strikeouts.
Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Casey Mize has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up an 8.28 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.89 — a 0.39 K/9 disparity.
Spencer Strider has been unlucky this year, posting a 4.64 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.10 — a 0.54 gap.
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