Braves vs Mariners match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, May 6th

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ATL @ SEA

Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners Series Game 3Braves vs MarinersBraves vs MarinersBraves vs MarinersBraves vs MarinersBraves vs MarinersBraves vs Mariners

Braves @ Mariners Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, May 6th
Time : 06/05/26 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Atlanta Braves Series Game 3 Game Today

In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.

,Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo today… and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split.

,Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the weakest among every team on the slate today.

,Seattle’s -2-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Mike Yastrzemski, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,T-Mobile Park ranks as the #7 venue in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league.

,Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split.

,The Barrel% of Dominic Smith has significantly improved, with an increase from 4.1% last year to 10.3% this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the majors’s 5th-best home run batter.

,Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Cal Raleigh has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Martin Perez doesn’t generate many whiffs (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.

,Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Jorge Mateo’s speed has gotten better this season. His 29.33 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.84 ft/sec now.

,Jorge Mateo has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball in the past week’s worth of games — 112.2-mph — which is a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for strikeouts.

,Martin Perez has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 6.72 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.22 — a 0.5 K/9 deviation.

,Jorge Mateo has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, striking balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time in the past 7 days.

,Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

,Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ozzie Albies has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 4.1% seasonal rate to 10% in the past week.

,T-Mobile Park ranks as the #7 field in the league for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When estimating his home run talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Luke Raley has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Martin Perez doesn’t generate many whiffs (5th percentile K%) — great news for Raley.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage today.

,Mauricio Dubon has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Mauricio Dubon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Mauricio Dubon has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87.2-mph average to last year’s 84.8-mph mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mike Yastrzemski’s true offensive ability to be a .318, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .079 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .239 wOBA.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Leo Rivas will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Grant Holmes,Leo Rivas pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Leo Rivas will hold that advantage today.

,In terms of plate discipline, Leo Rivas’s skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.68 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 86th percentile.

,The Seattle Mariners have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season,The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in T-Mobile Park.

,Seattle Mariners bats as a unit grade out 7th- in the majors for power this year when assessing with their 93.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

,Seattle’s 15.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in baseball this year: #4 overall.

,Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Cole Young will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Cole Young has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 91.9-mph over the past 14 days.

,Compared to last year, Cole Young has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.2% to 45.7% this season.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

,Grant Holmes will have the handedness advantage against Randy Arozarena today.

,Dominic Smith has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last year’s 91.1-mph average.

,Jorge Mateo has been hot in recent games, notching a a 22.2% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the last 7 days.

,Cole Young’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 45.7% on the season to 55.9% in the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Austin Riley ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Austin Riley has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 90.7-mph mark.

,Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

,Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage today.

,Josh Naylor’s launch angle lately (24.3° over the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 16.6° seasonal angle.

,Mauricio Dubon’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 44.4% on the season to 52.6% in the last week.

,Michael Harris II’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today’s game… and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split.

,Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Cal Raleigh has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.6% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 14 days.

,Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year, putting up a .284 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .064 gap.

,When assessing his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Julio Rodriguez has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Drake Baldwin is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Drake Baldwin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo today… and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.

,Considering Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Matt Olson will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,J.P. Crawford has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,This season, J.P. Crawford has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.3 mph compared to last year’s 89.7 mph mark.

,Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Josh Naylor has had some very poor luck given the .044 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Ozzie Albies has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 86.9-mph average.

,Given his large platoon split, Bryan Woo will be in a tough position matching up with 6 bats in the projected batting order who bat from the other side today.

,Bryan Woo’s 2239-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 25th percentile among all starting pitchers.

,Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Tallying 17.6 outs per start this year on average, Bryan Woo places in the 85th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Austin Riley has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last season’s 94.7-mph mark.

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Bryan Woo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,In his previous GS, Bryan Woo was rolling and compiled 9 strikeouts.

,Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 17°, Luke Raley has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 56° figure over the past week.

,Luke Raley’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 47.9% to 63.5%.

Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Series Game 3 Game Today

Mike Yastrzemski’s BABIP skill is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Mike Yastrzemski has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time.

,T-Mobile Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.

,Dominic Smith is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Dominic Smith has been pinch hit for 16% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

,Dominic Smith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Dominic Smith has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 18.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 8.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Grant Holmes.

,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 39% to 25%.

,Over the past 7 days, Cal Raleigh’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 25%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Mateo in the 16th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,17% of the time that Jorge Mateo has started against a northpaw since the start of last season, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

,Considering Bryan Woo’s large platoon split, Jorge Mateo will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Martin Perez in the 24th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

,The Seattle Mariners have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Martin Perez today.

,Martin Perez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Martin Perez struggled when it came to striking batters out in his last game started and posted 1 Ks.

,Martin Perez has used his cutter 5.1% less often this season (22.3%) than he did last year (27.4%).

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) implies that Dominic Smith has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .299 actual batting average.

,T-Mobile Park grades out as the #29 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Bryan Woo… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

,Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (42.2) provides evidence that Cal Raleigh has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 47.2 actual HR/600.

,Luke Raley is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today’s game.

,Luke Raley has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 19.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luke Raley’s true offensive skill to be a .322, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .031 gap between that figure and his actual .353 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 11th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Bryan Woo will hold the platoon advantage over Mauricio Dubon today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mauricio Dubon in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mike Yastrzemski today.

,Mike Yastrzemski has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9.1% rate last year has fallen to 2.8% this year.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Olson in today’s matchup.

,Matt Olson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 18.3% on the season to 5% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Olson’s true offensive skill to be a .353, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .078 deviation between that figure and his actual .431 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Rivas in the 12th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Leo Rivas is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Leo Rivas’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 90.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 85.1-mph over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in Major League Baseball for batting average.

,Cole Young is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

,Cole Young will have the handedness advantage over Grant Holmes in today’s game.

,Cole Young has averaged 10.1 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 16th percentile for power.

,Randy Arozarena has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks.

,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 park in the game for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jorge Mateo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Michael Harris II’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 10.3% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Michael Harris II has been lucky this year, posting a .383 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .055 deviation.

,Michael Harris II has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 1st percentile with a 6.94 K/BB rate.

,Austin Riley is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Bryan Woo will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Woo’s large platoon split.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley in today’s game.

,Austin Riley’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 37.2% on the season to 22.2% in the last 14 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Josh Naylor’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 89.3-mph mark last season has lowered to 87.3-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Cal Raleigh’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Drake Baldwin today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Drake Baldwin’s true offensive talent to be a .340, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .056 gap between that figure and his actual .396 wOBA.

,J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Grant Holmes in today’s game.

,In notching a .174 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, J.P. Crawford is ranked in the 15th percentile.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.8°, Randy Arozarena has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0°) over the last two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bryan Woo in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall pitching abilities.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Atlanta Braves in today’s game carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .321, which is a good deal lower than their actual wOBA of .347 this year.

,The Atlanta Braves have been the luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as an elite pitch framer.

,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Bryan Woo has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 70.2% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

,Checking in at the 21st percentile, Bryan Woo has posted a 17.1% K% this year.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.5°, J.P. Crawford has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.6°) in the past 14 days.

,When it comes to his home runs, J.P. Crawford has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 11.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 9.5.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Ozzie Albies’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.2%.

,Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ozzie Albies has experienced some positive variance given the .080 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 19.9°, Cole Young has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.4°) over the last 14 days.

,Mauricio Dubon has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 6.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.

,Sporting a 3.83 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Luke Raley has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 18th percentile.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 93.3 mph to 87.1 mph.

,Over the past two weeks, Austin Riley’s 7.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Rivas in the 14th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Over the past week, Leo Rivas’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

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