World Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Blue Jays Matchup Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays’s expected catcher today) profiles as a good pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Easton Lucas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats across the board.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Easton Lucas in the 21st percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

The Atlanta Braves projected batting order ranks as the 5th-best on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

It may be best to expect better results for the Atlanta Braves offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 2nd-best field in the league for home runs.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Will Wagner will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today’s game.

Will Wagner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Bats such as Will Wagner with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Grant Holmes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Alan Roden will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes today.

Bats such as Alan Roden with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Grant Holmes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Anthony Santander has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Grant Holmes today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Utilizing Statcast data, Matt Olson is in the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .344.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as Major League Baseball’s 20th-best home run batter.

When estimating his home run talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #2 ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the opposite that Easton Lucas throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Sean Murphy hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 6th-best hitter in baseball.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.

Bo Bichette is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Bo Bichette will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

When assessing his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Marcell Ozuna will have the handedness advantage against Easton Lucas today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Easton Lucas today.

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Riley is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Easton Lucas throws from, Austin Riley will have an edge in today’s game.

Stuart Fairchild will hold the platoon advantage over Easton Lucas today.

Stuart Fairchild’s 20.5° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the game: 92nd percentile.

Stuart Fairchild is notably quick, grading out in the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.07 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Grant Holmes is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.8% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #2 HR venue in MLB in this game.

Considering that groundball hitters have a notable advantage over flyball pitchers, Grant Holmes and his 33.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in today’s game facing 1 opposing GB batters.

Grant Holmes has recorded a 13.7% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile.

Grant Holmes has put up a 24.8% strikeout rate since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile.

Bryan De La Cruz’s BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Easton Lucas today.

In the last 7 days, Bryan De La Cruz has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power).

Nick Allen will hold the platoon advantage against Easton Lucas today.

Nick Allen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitters such as Nick Allen with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Easton Lucas who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Nathan Lukes will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Nathan Lukes are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Grant Holmes.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Batters such as Michael Harris II with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Easton Lucas who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Harris II ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Harris II has been hot in recent games, notching a 93.9-mph average exit velocity over the last two weeks.

Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Blue Jays

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Easton Lucas is projected to throw 82 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

The Atlanta Braves have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Easton Lucas in today’s game.

Given that groundball hitters hold a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, Easton Lucas and his 37.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome spot in this matchup squaring off against 1 opposing GB batters.

The league’s 8th-highest fences can be found at Rogers Centre.

The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team today.

In his last GS, Easton Lucas was on point and gave up 0 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 16th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Will Wagner is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.6°, Will Wagner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-8.7°) in the last 14 days.

In the last 14 days, Will Wagner has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Will Wagner has displayed some bad exit velocity stats recently, averaging just 80.9-mph on his flyballs over the last 14 days.

The #6 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 9th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Alan Roden is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Alan Roden’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 83.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.2-mph in the past week.

In the last 7 days, Alan Roden’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 23.3%.

Alan Roden’s launch angle of late (-1.7° in the past week) is significantly worse than his 4° seasonal angle.

Over the past two weeks, Alan Roden has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Anthony Santander’s BABIP skill is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Grant Holmes,Typically, bats like Anthony Santander who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Grant Holmes.

In the last week, Anthony Santander’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

Anthony Santander has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.7% rate last season has dropped to 2.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 21st percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Over the past 7 days, Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 94.7 mph to 86.7 mph.

Andres Gimenez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (7.3° in the past week’s worth of games) is significantly worse than his 15.3° seasonal angle.

Placing in the 18th percentile, Andres Gimenez has notched a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Andres Gimenez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 45% to 37.1%.

In terms of plate discipline, Andres Gimenez’s skill is quite poor, sporting a 3.6 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 23rd percentile.

Placing in the 9th percentile, Andres Gimenez has notched a .156 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

Easton Lucas will have the handedness advantage against Matt Olson today.

Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Matt Olson has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 16.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.

Matt Olson’s launch angle this season (5.1°) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.9° mark last year.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sean Murphy today.

As it relates to his home runs, Sean Murphy has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 27.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.4.

Using Statcast data, Sean Murphy ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .200.

The #6 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.280) implies that Sean Murphy has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .299 actual wOBA.

Grant Holmes will hold the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 93.7-mph average last year has fallen off to 91.2-mph.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 14.5% to 8.9%.

Batting from the same side that Grant Holmes throws from, Bo Bichette will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Placing in the 18th percentile, Bo Bichette sits with a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Power-wise, Bo Bichette finds himself in the 4th percentile, having hit 5.9 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.274) provides evidence that Marcell Ozuna has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .304 actual batting average.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.376) may lead us to conclude that Marcell Ozuna has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .400 actual wOBA.

Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Easton Lucas.

Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Ozzie Albies has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph dropping to 81.7-mph over the last 7 days.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley today.

Austin Riley’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 95-mph average last year has dropped to 90.9-mph.

Stuart Fairchild is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Stuart Fairchild in today’s matchup.

Posting a .202 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Stuart Fairchild is ranked in the 19th percentile.

Stuart Fairchild’s 84.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the majors since the start of last season: 10th percentile.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Grant Holmes must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot since the start of last season: 61.1% of the time, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Grant Holmes has recorded a 3.42 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things most within a pitcher’s control) since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile.

Toronto Blue Jays bats jointly rank 25th- in Major League Baseball for power since the start of last season when judging by their 7.2% Barrel%.

The Toronto Blue Jays (17.3 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-prone set of hitters of all teams on the slate.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Grant Holmes in today’s game.

Grant Holmes has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 9.43 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.81 — a 0.62 K/9 disparity.

Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryan De La Cruz today.

Bryan De La Cruz has put up a .284 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Posting a .280 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Bryan De La Cruz finds himself in the 14th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Nick Allen is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Allen in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Nick Allen ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his home run ability, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Over the past week, Nathan Lukes has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power).

Nathan Lukes has shown some bad exit velocity stats in recent games, averaging just 66.2-mph on his flyballs in the past week’s worth of games.

Nathan Lukes has struggled to lift the ball recently, posting a -2° launch angle in the last week’s worth of games.

Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (62% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Easton Lucas throws from, Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Michael Harris II’s launch angle from last season’s 7.4° to 1.5° this season.

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