Mets vs Twins match player stats | 2025 Monday, April 14th

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Mets vs Twins match player stats | 2025 Monday, April 14th

NYM @ MIN

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World Matchup Details

New York Mets at Minnesota Twins

Todays Game is on Monday, April 14th
14/04/25 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Twins Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 8th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Target Field ranks as the #9 field in the league for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.

Francisco Lindor has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 27.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit lower than his 31.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Using Statcast data, Francisco Lindor is in the 95th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .366.

Willi Castro is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Clay Holmes in this game.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Willi Castro’s launch angle from last year’s 13.4° to 21° this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Carlos Correa ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Carlos Correa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Carlos Correa has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 19.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 23.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #9 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Juan Soto projects as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Joe Ryan throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Joe Ryan throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today’s game.

Brandon Nimmo has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.2% rate last year to 20% this season.

Pete Alonso projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Pete Alonso has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last year to 28.9% this season.

Pete Alonso has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season’s 89.7-mph figure.

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The Minnesota Twins have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt Wallner, Byron Buxton, Edouard Julien).

Clay Holmes’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (59.8% since the start of last season) should work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

The Minnesota Twins have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season,The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Since the start of last season, Luis Torrens has an average exit velocity of 90.1 mph, which ranks among the best in baseball at the 77th percentile.

Luis Torrens grades out in the 78th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Ty France has been hot in recent games, compiling a a 15% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today.

Harrison Bader has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.4% rate last year to 20% this season.

This season, Harrison Bader has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.3 mph compared to last year’s 90.2 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league’s 18th-best home run batter.

Byron Buxton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Byron Buxton generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his home run talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 15.9° figure is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (83rd percentile).

Mark Vientos has put up a .336 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Brett Baty tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trevor Larnach is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Joe Ryan in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

Joe Ryan has averaged 93.7 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Joe Ryan will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Joe Ryan has posted a 12.3% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile.

The 2nd-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the New York Mets.

The New York Mets have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Edouard Julien will have the handedness advantage over Clay Holmes today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Edouard Julien has been hot recently, compiling a a 20.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past two weeks.

Edouard Julien has shown some good exit velocity indicators of late, averaging 103-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Matt Wallner projects as the 15th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Wallner is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Wallner ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Wallner usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Twins

The 10th-deepest CF fences in MLB are found in Target Field.

The league’s 5th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Target Field.

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the coldest temperature of the day at 47°.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will bat from his bad side against Joe Ryan today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Lindor in today’s game.

Francisco Lindor has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 13.6% rate last year has decreased to 4.7% this year.

Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.6-mph mark last season has fallen off to 83.3-mph.

In the past week’s worth of games, Willi Castro has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).

Hitting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Carlos Correa has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Carlos Correa’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.3-mph EV last year has dropped off to 89.4-mph.

Carlos Correa’s launch angle this year (5.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 9° mark last season.

In today’s game, Juan Soto is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (81st percentile).

Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Juan Soto has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 20% rate last season has decreased to 7% this year.

In the last week’s worth of games, Juan Soto’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 97.3 mph to 91 mph.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Grading out in the 18th percentile, Brandon Nimmo sits with a .267 BABIP since the start of last season.

Joe Ryan will have the handedness advantage against Pete Alonso today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s game.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Clay Holmes (57.9% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Minnesota’s projected offense.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Clay Holmes today.

Given the 1.4 difference between Clay Holmes’s 10.19 K/9 and his 8.79 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and should perform worse in future games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Clay Holmes as the 18th-best starter in the majors right now.

Clay Holmes was on point in his last outing and gave up 2 ER.

Luis Torrens is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Luis Torrens has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound since the start of last season.

Joe Ryan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Torrens today.

In today’s game, Luis Torrens is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (79th percentile).

Ty France is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Clay Holmes will hold the platoon advantage over Ty France today.

Ty France’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.3-mph EV last season has dropped off to 90.7-mph.

Harrison Bader is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Clay Holmes will hold the platoon advantage over Harrison Bader in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader’s BABIP skill is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Clay Holmes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton today.

From last season to this one, Byron Buxton’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 43.4% to 25%.

With a 5.51 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Byron Buxton has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 4th percentile.

Byron Buxton’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 91.7-mph EV last season has dropped off to 87.4-mph.

Mark Vientos is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Joe Ryan will hold the platoon advantage against Mark Vientos today.

Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Brett Baty is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Brett Baty has been pulled from the game early in 22% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brett Baty in today’s game.

Trevor Larnach has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.1% rate last season has fallen to 0% this year.

Trevor Larnach’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 92-mph figure last year has fallen to 87.1-mph.

Trevor Larnach’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 19.4% to 5.4%.

Projected catcher Ryan Jeffers grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering that flyball hitters hold a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Joe Ryan and his 41.3% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome spot in this game matching up with 0 opposing GB hitters.

Joe Ryan’s 92-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 2-mph fall off from last year’s 94-mph mark.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Joe Ryan’s overall pitching skill is in the 89th percentile among all starters in baseball right now.

Edouard Julien is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Edouard Julien has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 33% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Placing in the 16th percentile, Edouard Julien has notched a .281 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Wallner has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .378 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .348.

Latest Minnesota Twins Match Player Stats

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