Athletics @ Reds Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Athletics Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

,Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park’s LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

,Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 85°.

,Among every team on the slate today, the 9th-weakest infield defense is that of the Athletics.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best venue in the game for right-handed home runs.

,Batting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Jonathan Ornelas encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Jacob Wilson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Hunter Greene will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Wilson in today’s game.

,Jonah Heim is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Hunter Greene,Out of all the teams playing today, the 9th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Bolte as the best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Henry Bolte has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

,Hunter Greene will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Henry Bolte in today’s matchup.

,Henry Bolte has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Tyler Soderstrom has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

,JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

,JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage over Mason Barnett today.

,JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park’s right field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

,Hector Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage over Mason Barnett in today’s game.

,Dane Myers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Dane Myers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Tyler Stephenson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Thomas White is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Thomas White will not have the upper hand today.

,Great American Ball Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Hector Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

,As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against Mason Barnett in today’s game.

,As it relates to his batting average ability, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his home run skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Max Muncy is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Hitting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Max Muncy encounters a tough challenge today.

,Max Muncy’s BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Jeff McNeil pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Batting from the same side that Hunter Greene throws from, Alika Williams faces a tough challenge today.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Lawrence Butler has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 17.4% over the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Noelvi Marte will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

,With 6 hitters who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Mason Barnett ought to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

,Mason Barnett has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his ERA since the start of last season; his 5.71 mark is significantly inflated relative to his 4.95 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Matt McLain will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 20.3°, Matt McLain has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 49° figure over the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,In notching a .433 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, Donovan Walton is ranked in the 81st percentile.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ke’Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 95.4-mph over the last two weeks.

,The Cincinnati Reds have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Stephenson, Eugenio Suarez, Matt McLain).

,Hunter Greene will have the handedness advantage over Brian Serven today.

,In the last week, Alika Williams’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.2% up to 12.5%.

,Recording 93.3 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Andrew Abbott places him the 84th percentile.

,The Athletics projected batting order profiles as the weakest of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.

,Andrew Abbott will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats in all categories.

,Andrew Abbott turned in a great performance in his previous GS and gave up 0 ER.

,Andrew Abbott’s slider utilization has spiked by 6.2% from last year to this one (13.9% to 20.1%) .

,Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Over the past 14 days, Lawrence Butler’s 30.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 46.7% on the season to 57.1% in the last 7 days.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Sal Stewart ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Donovan Walton has notched a .281 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

,Elly De La Cruz has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Noelvi Marte has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.9-mph mark.

,The Athletics (19.6 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone group of batters on the slate.

,Considering the 0.63 disparity between Andrew Abbott’s 7.01 K/9 and his 7.64 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see better results going forward.

Negatives with the Cincinnati Reds Series Game 3 Game Today

Noelvi Marte is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Mason Barnett throws from, Noelvi Marte faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Noelvi Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 43.6% to 32%.

,Noelvi Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, falling from 32% on the season to 18.2% in the last week’s worth of games.

,By putting up a .291 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Noelvi Marte is ranked in the 19th percentile for offensive skills.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Ornelas in the 6th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Jonathan Ornelas is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonathan Ornelas in today’s matchup.

,Jonathan Ornelas and his -20° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 0th percentile, among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Wilson in today’s game.

,Over the past 7 days, Jacob Wilson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.2%.

,Jacob Wilson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 47.6% to 42.5%.

,Posting a 3.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jacob Wilson finds himself in the 7th percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Great American Ball Park grades out as the #21 ballpark in the majors for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Jonah Heim’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.9-mph figure last season has dropped to 88.8-mph.

,Jonah Heim has been lucky this year, notching a .305 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .018 gap.

,Henry Bolte will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Henry Bolte has shown weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 17th percentile with a 3.73 K/BB rate.

,Great American Ball Park projects as the #21 stadium in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Soderstrom in today’s matchup.

,Tyler Soderstrom’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 13.7% on the season to 3.3% over the past two weeks.

,Tyler Soderstrom’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 47% to 40.7%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,JJ Bleday’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 21.4% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

,JJ Bleday has put up a .263 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 5th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,JJ Bleday has posted a .176 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In notching a .238 BABIP this year, JJ Bleday is positioned in the 4th percentile.

,Hector Rodriguez is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Dane Myers is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Mason Barnett will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Myers in today’s game.

,In the last 14 days, Dane Myers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

,Dane Myers’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 91.7-mph seasonal average has decreased to 85.7-mph over the last week.

,Dane Myers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 13.1% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Hitting from the same side that Mason Barnett throws from, Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas White in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Thomas White in today’s matchup.

,With a .259 wOBA in the last 7 days, Thomas White has been struggling at the plate.

,Thomas White has exhibited some bad exit velocity indicators in recent games, averaging just 83.3-mph on his flyballs in the past 7 days.

,Despite posting a .367 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has experienced some positive variance given the .024 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.

,Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Jacob Wilson sports a .295 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Max Muncy in today’s game.

,Posting a 4.54 K/BB rate this year, Max Muncy has shown weak plate discipline, checking in at the 25th percentile.

,Posting a .199 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Max Muncy is ranked in the 21st percentile.

,The standard deviation of Max Muncy’s launch angle since the start of last season (31.3°) is in the 4th percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.

,When assessing his home run skill, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Jeff McNeil’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.6-mph mark last year has dropped to 86.7-mph.

,Over the last 7 days, Jeff McNeil has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power).

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alika Williams ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alika Williams is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Alika Williams will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Despite posting a .304 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alika Williams has been lucky given the .024 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .280.

,Hitting from the same side that Mason Barnett throws from, Eugenio Suarez meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Eugenio Suarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, falling from 16.9% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

,Eugenio Suarez has recorded a .201 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Eugenio Suarez’s ability is quite weak, putting up a 4.07 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 12th percentile.

,Grading out in the 7th percentile, Eugenio Suarez has notched a .204 batting average this year.

,Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Lawrence Butler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today’s matchup.

,Lawrence Butler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Lawrence Butler’s launch angle this year (4.6°) is significantly worse than his 9.2° mark last year.

,Grading out in the 5th percentile, Lawrence Butler has put up a .307 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,With a .265 BABIP this year, Tyler Soderstrom finds himself in the 18th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mason Barnett to throw 84 pitches today (5th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best park in the majors for home runs.

,Matt McLain is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Mason Barnett will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt McLain in today’s game.

,Over the past week, Matt McLain’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.

,Matt McLain has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 77.1-mph in the last week.

,In notching a .216 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Matt McLain is ranked in the 11th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Walton in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Donovan Walton is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Donovan Walton will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Donovan Walton will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Donovan Walton has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph dropping to 83.1-mph over the last two weeks.

,Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,14% of the time that Ke’Bryan Hayes has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Mason Barnett will hold the platoon advantage against Ke’Bryan Hayes today.

,Sporting a .274 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ke’Bryan Hayes grades out in the 9th percentile for offensive skills.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.4°, Jeff McNeil has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.8°) over the last two weeks.

,Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mason Barnett today.

,Mason Barnett’s high usage percentage of his fastball (53.2% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brian Serven in the 4th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Brian Serven is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Brian Serven will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Ranking in the 6th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.1 ft/sec this year, Brian Serven is notably slow.

,Jonah Heim has compiled a .239 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ranking in the 16th percentile, Jonah Heim has notched a .286 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,When estimating his home run talent, Ke’Bryan Hayes ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The Athletics have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Thomas White ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Tyler Stephenson is in the 24th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .230.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 18th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Henry Bolte has put up a .130 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 5th percentile.

,Eugenio Suarez has put up a .290 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

,Mason Barnett will have the handedness advantage against Sal Stewart today.

,Elly De La Cruz’s launch angle of late (4.6° in the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 9.4° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Walton in the 13th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Over the past 14 days, Tyler Soderstrom’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 3.3%.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Matt McLain grades out in the 14th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .286.

,Lawrence Butler has recorded a .272 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 6th percentile.

,Jacob Wilson has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) over the last two weeks.

,NULL’s 91.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #25 team in the league this year by this standard.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.2°, Noelvi Marte has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) over the last 14 days.

,Noelvi Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 17% to 10.7%.

,Out of all starting pitchers, Andrew Abbott’s fastball velocity of 91.9 mph is in the 11th percentile this year.

,Checking in at the 19th percentile, Andrew Abbott has put up a 17.8% Strikeout% this year.

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