
OAK @ SF






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, July 30th
2024-07-30 21:45:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Oakland at San Francisco Matchup Today
Patrick Bailey is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage today.
Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 46.3% to 51.5%.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Patrick Bailey is in the 86th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .276.
Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Shea Langeliers will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Shea Langeliers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week’s worth of games.
Shea Langeliers has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure.
Max Schuemann will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray in today’s matchup.
The #1 field in the majors for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
JP Sears is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.9% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #26 HR venue among all major league parks today.
Given that groundball pitchers hold a significant advantage over groundball bats, JP Sears and his 40.9% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable spot in today’s game matching up with 4 opposing GB bats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the league’s 20th-best home run batter.
Matt Chapman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Given JP Sears’s large platoon split, Matt Chapman will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 84th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Mike Yastrzemski will hold that advantage today.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 87th percentile with a 18.1° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the league.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Brent Rooker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Brent Rooker will have an edge in today’s game.
This season, Brent Rooker has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.5 mph compared to last year’s 94.9 mph mark.
Brett Harris will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray today.
Batters such as Brett Harris with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Robbie Ray who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Brett Harris has been unlucky this year. His .260 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.
Lawrence Butler has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.6-mph to 95.1-mph over the past 14 days.
This season, Lawrence Butler has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95 mph compared to last year’s 90.4 mph mark.
In the past 14 days, Lawrence Butler’s 64.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%.
Tyler Nevin is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Tyler Nevin will have the handedness advantage over Robbie Ray in today’s matchup.
Tyler Nevin has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Tyler Nevin’s quickness has increased this season. His 25.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.33 ft/sec now.
Brent Rooker projects as the 9th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Curt Casali (the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as a weak pitch framer.
With 8 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Robbie Ray will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Oakland Athletics hitters jointly place 4th- in baseball for power this year when judging by their 93-mph exit velocity on flyballs.
David Villar will hold the platoon advantage over JP Sears in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Sears has a large platoon split.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and David Villar will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In the last 7 days, David Villar’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 99.3-mph in recent games.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.217) may lead us to conclude that David Villar has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .166 actual batting average.
Patrick Bailey has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph EV.
Mike Yastrzemski has put up a .326 BABIP this year, placing in the 81st percentile.
Casey Schmitt has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.
Casey Schmitt will have the handedness advantage against JP Sears in today’s game… and moreover, Sears has a large platoon split.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Casey Schmitt will hold that advantage today.
Casey Schmitt has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year’s 88.1-mph figure.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Abraham Toro will get to bat from his better side against Robbie Ray today.
Abraham Toro’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (15° in the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 10.4° seasonal figure.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Tyler Fitzgerald is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Given JP Sears’s large platoon split, Tyler Fitzgerald will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.
Tyler Fitzgerald will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Daz Cameron will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray today.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Daz Cameron has had some very poor luck this year. His .278 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .341.
Ranking in the 76th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.25 ft/sec this year, Daz Cameron is very athletic.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
Because of JP Sears’s large platoon split, Derek Hill will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Derek Hill has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Derek Hill usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like JP Sears.
Max Schuemann has put up a .344 BABIP this year, checking in at the 91st percentile.
When estimating his home run ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.
Considering JP Sears’s large platoon split, Heliot Ramos will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.
Heliot Ramos has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
The San Francisco Giants have 5 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mike Yastrzemski, Derek Hill, David Villar, Tyler Fitzgerald, Heliot Ramos).
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. JP Sears has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls 6.7% more often this year (56.4%) than he did last year (49.7%).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 79th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
When estimating his home run talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jorge Soler is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for righty batting average.
Considering JP Sears’s large platoon split, Jorge Soler will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
When it comes to his home run talent, David Villar ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Robbie Ray projects as the 10th-best starting pitcher in the majors right now when it comes to his strikeout ability, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Oakland Athletics have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Lawrence Butler, Brent Rooker, Shea Langeliers, Zack Gelof).
Robbie Ray will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his metrics across the board.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage today.
Miguel Andujar’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Miguel Andujar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Miguel Andujar will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Sporting a .288 batting average this year, Miguel Andujar is positioned in the 89th percentile.
When estimating his home run skill, Tyler Fitzgerald ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 85th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Tyler Nevin’s 94.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to measure power) ranks in the 83rd percentile this year.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Tuesday player match stat slumps with Athletics vs Giants Matchup
Oracle Park has the highest average fence height among all major league stadiums.
Built just 8 feet above sea level, Oracle Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate.
In the last two weeks, Patrick Bailey’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.
Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 16.2% on the season to 0% in the last 14 days.
Shea Langeliers’s BABIP ability is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Shea Langeliers in today’s matchup.
Max Schuemann is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Max Schuemann has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 29% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.
Projected catcher Shea Langeliers grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences in Major League Baseball.
As a result of his large platoon split, JP Sears will have a disadvantage facing 8 hitters in the projected batting order who hit from the other side in this matchup.
JP Sears will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Extreme flyball batters like Matt Chapman tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like JP Sears.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Matt Chapman’s 3.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.8%.
Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.
Because of JP Sears’s large platoon split, Mike Yastrzemski will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.
Extreme flyball hitters like Brent Rooker tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Robbie Ray.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brent Rooker in today’s matchup.
Brett Harris is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brett Harris today.
Hitting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Lawrence Butler will be in a tough position in today’s game.
Lawrence Butler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Tyler Nevin has been pulled from the game early 34% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.
Tyler Nevin will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Robbie Ray in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
The Oakland Athletics have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games, David Villar’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
David Villar is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.
When starting against a left-handed starter since the start of last season, David Villar has been pinch hit for 30% of the time.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
26% of the time that Casey Schmitt has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Ranking in the 6th percentile, Casey Schmitt sits with a .265 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Abraham Toro in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Abraham Toro is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
15% of the time that Abraham Toro has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
This year, Tyler Fitzgerald has been pinch hit for in 14% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.
Tyler Fitzgerald has been lucky this year, putting up a .427 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .128 deviation.
Daz Cameron is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
32% of the time that Daz Cameron has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Derek Hill is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.
When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Derek Hill has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 34% of the time.
Casey Schmitt’s footspeed has fallen off this season. His 28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.88 ft/sec now.
Heliot Ramos’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 91.5-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 88.8-mph in the last two weeks.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.9°, Heliot Ramos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.4°) in the past 14 days.
The #3 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Jorge Soler’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.5-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 86.5-mph over the last two weeks.
Based on Statcast metrics, Jorge Soler is in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .228.
Shea Langeliers has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 17th percentile with a 4.15 K/BB rate.
Recording 76 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Robbie Ray places him the 7th percentile.
Despite posting a .366 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Heliot Ramos has been very fortunate given the .048 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.
The #8 field in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Miguel Andujar in today’s game.
Miguel Andujar’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 82.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 77.3-mph in the past 14 days.
Tyler Fitzgerald has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 40.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 24.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his home run skill, Miguel Andujar ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Patrick Bailey has been lucky this year, posting a .326 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .032 disparity.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 24th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
