World Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Mariners Matchup Today

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.

This game is predicted to have the 4th-most humidity of the day (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Posting a 95.2-mph average exit velocity in the past week, Cameron Smith has been in great form in recent games.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 12th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Since the start of last season, Victor Caratini has an average exit velocity of 91 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 83rd percentile.

Sporting a .330 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Victor Caratini is ranked in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Brendan Rodgers has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Notching a 94.4-mph average exit velocity over the past week, Brendan Rodgers has been in great form recently.

Brendan Rodgers has been lifting the ball well recently, posting a 27° launch angle in the last week.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.2% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Isaac Paredes tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Gilbert.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 4th-best batter in the league.

Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Hayden Wesneski in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dylan Moore ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mauricio Dubon has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Mauricio Dubon has posted a .269 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage against Hayden Wesneski in today’s matchup.

Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run ability, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Luke Raley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Jeremy Pena is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Jeremy Pena has been hot of late, posting a a 17.4% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) over the last 14 days.

Jake Meyers has been hot recently, putting up a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the past week’s worth of games.

Compiling a 94.6-mph average exit velocity in the last week, Jake Meyers has been in great form recently.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 16th-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Alfonso Marquez projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping in this game.

Among all stadiums, T-Mobile Park’s RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.

Throwing 93.2 adjusted pitches per start since the start of last season on average, Logan Gilbert places in the 80th percentile.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Logan Gilbert in the 91st percentile among all starters in the league.

The #2 park in the league for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Julio Rodriguez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez projects as the 18th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his batting average ability, Yainer Diaz is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, compiling a 20.4° angle on such balls in the last 14 days.

It may be sensible to expect better results for the Seattle Mariners offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball since the start of last season.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Seattle Mariners with a 25.8% underlying K%.

Ryan Bliss has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ryan Bliss will hold that advantage today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Ryan Bliss has displayed impressive power, recording a a 16.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power).

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Mariners

Cameron Smith is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

16% of the time that Cameron Smith has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage over Cameron Smith in today’s game.

Cameron Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 park in the game for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 3rd-worst field in baseball for right-handed batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Walker in today’s matchup.

Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Christian Walker has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, angling balls between 23° and 34° just 5% of the time in the past two weeks.

Christian Walker has recorded a .272 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 22nd percentile.

Victor Caratini is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Typically, hitters like Victor Caratini who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Logan Gilbert.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Victor Caratini in today’s game.

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #28 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (11.8) implies that Victor Caratini has been lucky since the start of last season with his 17.0 actual HR/600.

Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage over Brendan Rodgers in today’s matchup.

Typically, hitters like Brendan Rodgers who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Logan Gilbert.

Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage against Isaac Paredes in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Isaac Paredes has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) over the last two weeks.

Ranked in the 6th percentile, Isaac Paredes’s average exit velocity of 85.3 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Jose Altuve will have a disadvantage today.

Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Notching a lowly a 78-mph average exit velocity in the past 7 days, Jose Altuve has been in a slump of late.

Over the past two weeks, Jose Altuve’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 4.5% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today’s matchup.

J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Over the last 7 days, J.P. Crawford’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

J.P. Crawford’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 86.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 79.5-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 16.7% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Dylan Moore is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Hayden Wesneski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Moore in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Dylan Moore tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hayden Wesneski.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Mauricio Dubon ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

When starting against a right-handed starter since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Mauricio Dubon will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Randy Arozarena faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Randy Arozarena has put up a .210 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Randy Arozarena has posted a .221 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 15th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

This year, Rowdy Tellez has been pinch hit for in 52% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Rowdy Tellez has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) in the past week’s worth of games.

In the last 7 days, Rowdy Tellez’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Hayden Wesneski,Typically, batters like Jorge Polanco who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Hayden Wesneski.

Jorge Polanco’s quickness has declined this year. His 27.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.36 ft/sec now.

This year, Luke Raley has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 28% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Luke Raley has displayed some bad exit velocity benchmarks recently, averaging just 83.3-mph on his flyballs in the last 14 days.

Luke Raley has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, posting a 4.6° angle on such balls over the last 14 days.

Luke Raley has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 28.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 25.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Logan Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Jeremy Pena are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Gilbert.

Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jeremy Pena ranks in just the 8th percentile with a 7.4° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Meyers today.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Meyers today.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Hayden Wesneski in today’s game.

Typically, batters like Cal Raleigh who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Hayden Wesneski.

Cal Raleigh has put up a .256 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 11th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Logan Gilbert’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 91st percentile among all starting pitchers in the league currently.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Houston Astros offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB since the start of last season.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher today, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 park in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Houston Astros with a 19.4% underlying K%.

Among all SPs, Logan Gilbert’s fastball spin rate of 2044.1 rpm ranks in the 5th percentile since the start of last season.

Hitting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have a tough challenge today.

Posting a 3.68 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Julio Rodriguez has displayed bad plate discipline, ranking in the 21st percentile.

Yainer Diaz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Yainer Diaz will have a tough challenge today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Yainer Diaz tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Gilbert.

Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Victor Caratini (the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a good pitch framer.

Given that groundball pitchers have a big edge over groundball hitters, Hayden Wesneski and his 35.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable spot in today’s game squaring off against 3 opposing GB hitters.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hayden Wesneski is projected to throw 81 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate today.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Hayden Wesneski in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ryan Bliss ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan Bliss is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Ryan Bliss faces a tough challenge today.

With a .224 wOBA in the last two weeks, Ryan Bliss has been struggling at the plate.

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