Astros vs Blue Jays match player stats | 2025 Tuesday, September 9th

|
Astros vs Blue Jays match player stats | 2025 Tuesday, September 9th

HOU @ TOR

Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays Astros vs Blue JaysAstros vs Blue JaysAstros vs Blue JaysAstros vs Blue JaysAstros vs Blue JaysAstros vs Blue Jays

Astros @ Blue Jays Matchup Details

Teams : Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 9th
Time : 09/09/25 19:07:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Houston Astros Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Addison Barger is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

The #3 park in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Rogers Centre.

Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Luis Garcia in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rogers Centre profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Despite posting a .307 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has been unlucky given the .024 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Luis Garcia in today’s game.

Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jose Berrios.

Victor Caratini hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Victor Caratini has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.9-mph figure.

Victor Caratini has notched a .277 batting average this year, checking in at the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Jose Altuve’s launch angle this year (17.4°) is considerably better than his 14° angle last year.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Carlos Correa’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Carlos Correa is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.9) provides evidence that Carlos Correa has suffered from bad luck this year with his 12.9 actual HR/600.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an edge today.

Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Garcia today.

Andres Gimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Andres Gimenez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (13°) is considerably better than his 9.2° figure last season.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 5th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent.

Bo Bichette is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Bo Bichette will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Over the past 7 days, Alejandro Kirk’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 27.3%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 20th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.

Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Over the past week, Jeremy Pena’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 18.8%.

Jake Meyers’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Meyers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jake Meyers’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 44.4% to 51%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (10.0) suggests that Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck this year with his 5.4 actual HR/600.

Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage over Luis Garcia today.

Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Garcia.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nathan Lukes will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.3% seasonal rate to 13.8% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yainer Diaz’s true offensive skill to be a .329, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .033 deviation between that figure and his actual .296 wOBA.

Negatives with the Toronto Blue Jays Game Today

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Addison Barger has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.

Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest fences in the majors.

The weather report projects the most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Addison Barger has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 12.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Over the last two weeks, Addison Barger’s 8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

Christian Walker has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jose Berrios will have the handedness advantage over Christian Walker in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Christian Walker today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Extreme groundball bats like Daulton Varsho tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Garcia.

Daulton Varsho has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 52.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 39.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Caratini in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Victor Caratini is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Victor Caratini in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Jose Altuve has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve today.

Jose Altuve’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 85-mph seasonal average has decreased to 82.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Garcia throws from, George Springer will be at a disadvantage today.

Despite posting a .401 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes George Springer has experienced some positive variance given the .041 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Correa in today’s matchup.

Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Carlos Correa’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 91.5 mph to 87.4 mph.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run ability, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 87.8-mph over the last week.

Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph dropping to 86.6-mph over the past 7 days.

In the past 7 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s 4.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.3%.

Luis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bo Bichette’s true offensive talent to be a .342, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .019 disparity between that figure and his actual .361 wOBA.

Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 9th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Luis Garcia will have the handedness advantage over Alejandro Kirk in today’s game.

14% of the time that Jesus Sanchez has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today’s matchup.

Jesus Sanchez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 93.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 87.4-mph in the last week.

Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jeremy Pena’s launch angle in recent games (0.7° over the last 14 days) is considerably worse than his 8.3° seasonal figure.

Jake Meyers is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Jake Meyers faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

When estimating his home run ability, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nathan Lukes is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Nathan Lukes has been pulled from the game early 23% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Jose Berrios will have the handedness advantage against Yainer Diaz in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yainer Diaz today.

Latest Toronto Blue Jays Matches

Latest Houston Astros Matches