
HOU @ ATH


Series Game 4 Matchup Details
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Thursday, June 19th
19/06/25 22:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Athletics Series Game 4 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzel Clarke as the 10th-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill.
Sutter Health Park profiles as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.
Denzel Clarke will have the handedness advantage over Colton Gordon in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball bats like Denzel Clarke generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Colton Gordon.
Denzel Clarke will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Max Muncy is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage over Colton Gordon in today’s game.
Max Muncy will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Max Muncy has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last two weeks.
The Athletics have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Austin Wynns, Max Muncy, Nicholas Kurtz, Denzel Clarke).
It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Emil Jimenez) in charge of the strike zone today.
The Athletics projected offense ranks as the 2nd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.
It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Athletics offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
Among all major league parks, Sutter Health Park’s left field fences are the 6th-deepest.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Jacob Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Jacob Lopez has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .344 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.
When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Jacob Lopez in the 84th percentile among all starters in the league.
Jacob Lopez has posted a 26% strikeout rate since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile.
When assessing his batting average ability, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 8th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jacob Wilson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Colton Gordon throws from, Jacob Wilson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Hitters such as Jacob Wilson with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Colton Gordon who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Batting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Cam Smith will have an edge today.
Cam Smith has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.
Based on Statcast data, Cam Smith ranks in the 76th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .339.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith as the 12th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability.
Nicholas Kurtz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Nicholas Kurtz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph to 95.6-mph in the last 14 days.
Compared to his seasonal average of 14.6°, Nicholas Kurtz has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 35.3° angle over the last 7 days.
This year, Nicholas Kurtz’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 91st percentile at 96.3 mph.
When it comes to his home run skill, Nicholas Kurtz ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 9th-best stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats to LHB.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Christian Walker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.
Batting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, Christian Walker has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.9° angle in the past 14 days.
Christian Walker has been hot in recent games, posting a a 17.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the last two weeks.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Isaac Paredes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in today’s game.
Isaac Paredes has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.2-mph average to last year’s 85-mph EV.
Isaac Paredes has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 91.5-mph.
Jose Altuve’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jose Altuve is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jose Altuve will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in today’s game.
Jose Altuve has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 13% over the past week.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Altuve ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Mauricio Dubon’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 38.2% on the season to 57.1% over the past week.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) provides evidence that Mauricio Dubon has experienced some negative variance this year with his .252 actual batting average.
Compared to his seasonal average of 8.6°, Mauricio Dubon has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 15.8° mark in the last week.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.
Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
Brent Rooker will hold the platoon advantage over Colton Gordon today.
Brent Rooker will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Luis Urias is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Hitting from the opposite that Colton Gordon throws from, Luis Urias will have an advantage today.
Luis Urias will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Luis Urias has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 91.6-mph.
Jeremy Pena’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.
Jeremy Pena will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Lopez in today’s game.
Extreme groundball hitters like Jeremy Pena tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jacob Lopez.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Jake Meyers’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Jake Meyers will have an edge in today’s game.
Jake Meyers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.2-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.7-mph average.
Compared to last year, Jake Meyers has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.4% to 51.1% this season.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Meyers ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Yainer Diaz will have an edge in today’s game.
Over the past 7 days, Yainer Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph recently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Athletics Series Game 4
Denzel Clarke is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the least humid conditions of all games today at 40%.
Denzel Clarke hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
With a .218 wOBA over the past 14 days, Denzel Clarke has been struggling at the plate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Denzel Clarke in the 20th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
In today’s matchup, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.3% rate (75th percentile).
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Colton Gordon is projected to throw 81 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of the day.
Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
With 8 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Colton Gordon will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Colton Gordon (36.4% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in Sacramento’s projected lineup.
The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Lopez to throw 81 pitches in this game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The Houston Astros have 9 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Lopez today.
The Houston Astros (19.5 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of the day.
Over his last 3 games started, Jacob Lopez has experienced a big drop off in his fastball spin rate: from 2103 rpm over the entire season to 2047 rpm recently.
Jacob Wilson’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 86.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 82.3-mph over the past 7 days.
Jacob Wilson has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) over the last 7 days.
Despite posting a .390 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jacob Wilson has had some very good luck given the .078 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Cam Smith is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cam Smith today.
In the past 7 days, Cam Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicholas Kurtz in the 25th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Nicholas Kurtz is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Colton Gordon will have the handedness advantage over Nicholas Kurtz in today’s game.
Nicholas Kurtz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Nicholas Kurtz has had some very good luck this year. His .315 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .282.
Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Over the past 7 days, Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 92.9 mph to 89.2 mph.
Christian Walker has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 20th percentile with a 3.99 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.
In today’s game, Isaac Paredes is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 46.8% rate (100th percentile).
Typically, hitters like Isaac Paredes who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jacob Lopez.
Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.6) may lead us to conclude that Isaac Paredes has experienced some positive variance this year with his 29.8 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.239) suggests that Jose Altuve has been lucky this year with his .270 actual batting average.
Jose Altuve’s 85-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the majors this year: 3rd percentile.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.288) suggests that Jose Altuve has experienced some positive variance this year with his .320 actual wOBA.
Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mauricio Dubon in today’s matchup.
Mauricio Dubon’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 87.2-mph figure last year has decreased to 84.7-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Brent Rooker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Typically, bats like Brent Rooker who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Colton Gordon.
Brent Rooker has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 27.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 23.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Last season, Brent Rooker had a launch angle of 18.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 13.7°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Urias in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
This year, Luis Urias has been pulled from the game early in 14% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.
Luis Urias pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Luis Urias has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 20.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 13.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Luis Urias and his 9.9% rank in the 7th percentile this year.
Luis Urias has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .327 rate is a good deal higher than his .305 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Jeremy Pena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 12.3% to 8.7%.
Jeremy Pena has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .317 mark is quite a bit higher than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.7°, Jeremy Pena has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.7°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Jake Meyers is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Today, Jake Meyers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.1% rate (98th percentile).
Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
In the last 14 days, Jake Meyers’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.1°.
Jake Meyers’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.5° mark last season.
Yainer Diaz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yainer Diaz today.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.5°, Yainer Diaz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.4°) in the last two weeks.
Sporting a 4.55 K/BB rate this year, Yainer Diaz has demonstrated bad plate discipline, ranking in the 14th percentile.
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