Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Padres vs Dodgers Series Game 4 Matchup Today

Given that groundball batters face a disadvantage against groundball pitchers, Ryan Bergert (35.9% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 4 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected batting order.

Ryan Bergert’s 2422-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 81st percentile out of all SPs.

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the 94th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has averaged 95.6 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Considering that groundball hitters face a disadvantage against groundball pitchers, Yoshinobu Yamamoto (49.4% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected offense.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s 94.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 76th percentile out of all starters.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto projects as the 7th-best starter in baseball right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is an extreme groundball pitcher (49.4% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue among all parks — in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for LHB home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The #2 field in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Over the past 7 days, Xander Bogaerts’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 10%.

Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 11.7% on the season to 25% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Bergert in today’s matchup.

Max Muncy will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In the last two weeks, Max Muncy’s 60.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

Max Muncy has put up a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 88th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Mookie Betts will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Mookie Betts has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 15% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Smith in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Will Smith will hold that advantage today.

Will Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 18.1% on the season to 23.1% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Will Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 36.4% to 51.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Manny Machado’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (10.1°) is considerably better than his 6.4° angle last season.

Manny Machado has posted a .304 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 98th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Jake Cronenworth’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (30.1° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 14.8° seasonal mark.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jake Cronenworth’s talent is quite good, posting a 1.36 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.9-mph to 96.8-mph over the past 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .346.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Tommy Edman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Tommy Edman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last year’s 88.1-mph figure.

In the past week’s worth of games, Tommy Edman’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 103.3-mph in recent games.

Tommy Edman has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .249 mark is quite a bit lower than his .283 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Teoscar Hernandez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today.

Over the last week, Teoscar Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 27.3%.

Teoscar Hernandez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Luis Arraez will hold the platoon advantage over Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today’s matchup.

When assessing his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez has compiled a .292 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Freddie Freeman will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

Gavin Sheets will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season’s 87.8-mph EV.

In the last week’s worth of games, Gavin Sheets’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late.

Gavin Sheets’s launch angle in recent games (20.8° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 16.3° seasonal mark.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andy Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Andy Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 18.6% on the season to 23.5% in the last week.

Over the past 7 days, Andy Pages’s maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 108.4-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

Negative Match Player Stats with Padres vs Dodgers Series Game 4

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Bergert is projected to throw 77 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Marvin Hudson) behind the plate in this game.

Ryan Bergert will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

In his last start, Ryan Bergert struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.

Ryan Bergert’s high usage percentage of his fastball (53.3% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-prone lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 18.5% underlying K%.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged being matched up with 6 same-handed batters in today’s matchup.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s curveball rate has decreased by 5% from last year to this one (23.2% to 18.2%) .

Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s 2174-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 11th percentile among all starters.

The San Diego Padres have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward,The #2 park in MLB for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium’s centerfield fences are the 5th-shallowest.

Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.

The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today.

Shohei Ohtani’s launch angle recently (4.4° in the last 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 13° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Shohei Ohtani has been very fortunate this year. His .423 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .384.

Batting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have a tough matchup today.

Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Sporting a .270 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Xander Bogaerts is ranked in the 12th percentile.

Grading out in the 9th percentile, Xander Bogaerts has put up a .305 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

In today’s matchup, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.1% rate (98th percentile).

Typically, bats like Max Muncy who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Ryan Bergert.

Max Muncy’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 94.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 70.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Max Muncy’s launch angle this year (18.6°) is quite a bit worse than his 26.4° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Max Muncy’s launch angle in recent games (8.3° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 18.6° seasonal figure.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Bergert throws from, Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Mookie Betts usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Bergert.

Mookie Betts has compiled a .264 BABIP this year, checking in at the 18th percentile.

Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Ryan Bergert will have the handedness advantage over Will Smith in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball bats like Will Smith are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Bergert.

Will Smith has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.

In the past week, Will Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 92.1 mph to 86.7 mph.

Hitting from the same side that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Manny Machado will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.6-mph dropping to 89.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Manny Machado’s launch angle in recent games (5.5° in the past 14 days) is considerably lower than his 14° seasonal mark.

Manny Machado has been lucky this year, posting a .380 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .030 discrepancy.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today’s game.

Jake Cronenworth’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 81.4-mph in the last week.

From last year to this one, Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 47.2% to 39%.

Jake Cronenworth has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 16.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 9.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 12.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 48.8% to 38.8%.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.4° figure last season.

Tommy Edman is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will bat from his worse side (0) today against Ryan Bergert,Tommy Edman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, going from 47.2% on the season to 10% in the past week.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.1°, Tommy Edman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.7°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.8) suggests that Tommy Edman has experienced some positive variance this year with his 28.2 actual HR/600.

Batting from the same side that Ryan Bergert throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 32.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 25.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Teoscar Hernandez has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 12th percentile with a 4.81 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 87.9-mph EV last season has dropped off to 85.1-mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.8°, Luis Arraez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.7°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

In the past week’s worth of games, Luis Arraez has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power).

Freddie Freeman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Freddie Freeman has had positive variance on his side this year. His .401 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .346.

Freddie Freeman has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 86-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gavin Sheets in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gavin Sheets’s true offensive talent to be a .316, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .346 wOBA.

Andy Pages is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Ryan Bergert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andy Pages in today’s matchup.

Typically, bats like Andy Pages who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Ryan Bergert.

Andy Pages’s launch angle this year (16.8°) is significantly worse than his 20.6° mark last season.

Andy Pages has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 31.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 20.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Latest Los Angeles Dodgers Match Player Stats

• Dodgers vs Reds match player stats | 2026 Monday, September 14th
• Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins Odds MLB – Sunday 13th 2026
• Dodgers vs Marlins match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, September 13th
• Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins Odds MLB – Saturday 12th 2026
• Dodgers vs Marlins match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 12th
• Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins Odds MLB – Friday 11th 2026
• Dodgers vs Marlins match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 11th
• Cincinati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds MLB – Wednesday 9th 2026
• Reds vs Dodgers match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 9th
• Cincinati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds MLB – Tuesday 8th 2026

Latest San Diego Padres Match Player Stats

• Padres vs Rockies match player stats | 2026 Monday, September 14th
• Padres vs Giants match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, September 13th
• Padres vs Giants match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 12th
• Padres vs Giants match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 11th
• Nationals vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Wednesday, September 9th
• Nationals vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Tuesday, September 8th
• Nationals vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Monday, September 7th
• Yankees vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Sunday, September 6th
• Yankees vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Series Game 2 Saturday, September 5th
• Yankees vs Padres match player stats | 2026 Friday, September 4th

---