Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Angels vs Padres Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Randy Vasquez in the 5th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

The Los Angeles Angels have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games,The 2nd-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.

On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

Considering the 1.63 difference between Randy Vasquez’s 3.76 ERA and his 5.39 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year and ought to see worse results in the future.

The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyren Paris, Logan O’Hoppe, Jo Adell).

The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

When estimating his batting average skill, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 12th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today’s game.

Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jackson Merrill will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Zach Neto is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

Zach Neto has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last year’s 88.5-mph average.

Zach Neto’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 40.6% to 53.6%.

Nolan Schanuel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Nolan Schanuel will have the handedness advantage over Randy Vasquez in today’s game.

Nolan Schanuel has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 94.3-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Taylor Ward is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Taylor Ward has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.

Taylor Ward’s launch angle this year (21.3°) is considerably higher than his 17.3° figure last season.

Taylor Ward’s launch angle in recent games (26° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably higher than his 21.3° seasonal angle.

Luis Rengifo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Luis Rengifo generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Randy Vasquez.

Luis Rengifo has been unlucky this year, notching a .239 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .295 — a .056 discrepancy.

By putting up a .322 BABIP since the start of last season, Luis Rengifo is positioned in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jo Adell has a ton of pop (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (29.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez has a pitch-to-contact profile (14th percentile K%) — great news for Adell.

Jo Adell has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14.7% seasonal rate to 40% in the last week.

Over the last two weeks, Jo Adell’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 105.1-mph recently.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.5°, Jo Adell has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30° mark over the last week.

In terms of his batting average, Jo Adell has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .205 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234.

Xander Bogaerts’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Xander Bogaerts’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 42% to 49.6%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Xander Bogaerts ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks today.

Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jason Heyward’s launch angle this season (15.7°) is considerably better than his 10.2° angle last season.

Despite posting a .225 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jason Heyward has had bad variance on his side given the .071 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

Tallying 97 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Kyle Hendricks falls in the 92nd percentile.

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the San Diego Padres offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jorge Soler as MLB’s 17th-best home run hitter.

Jorge Soler is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Jorge Soler hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

By putting up a .299 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Jorge Soler is ranked in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Manny Machado has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 94.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.

Over the last 7 days, Jake Cronenworth’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 30%.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ranking in the 94th percentile, Fernando Tatis Jr. has put up a .400 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Luis Arraez will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Yoan Moncada will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Randy Vasquez today.

Over the past 14 days, Yoan Moncada has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .390.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Yoan Moncada’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.8% up to 25%.

Yoan Moncada has been hot lately, hitting 2 dingers in the last 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Yoan Moncada ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks today.

Gavin Sheets will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Gavin Sheets has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.3% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.

Gavin Sheets has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last season’s 87.8-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Logan O’Hoppe has a ton of pop (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for O’Hoppe.

Logan O’Hoppe hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Logan O’Hoppe has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 12% rate last season to 17.9% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Logan O’Hoppe’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (24.4°) is a considerable increase over his 16° angle last year.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Logan O’Hoppe’s 63.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 55.1%.

Kyren Paris has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 88.6-mph figure.

Kyren Paris’s launch angle in recent games (47° over the last week) is considerably better than his 17.1° seasonal mark.

Kyren Paris has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .175 figure is considerably lower than his .199 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyren Paris has a ton of pop (76th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (34.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez is a pitch-to-contact type (1st percentile K%) — great news for Paris.

As it relates to his home run ability, Kyren Paris ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Angels vs Padres Series Game 3

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (John Tumpane) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

This game is forecasted to have the 4th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Randy Vasquez will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing bats in this game.

Randy Vasquez will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Randy Vasquez in the 1st percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Randy Vasquez has been given less leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 7.9 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average pitcher.

Placing in the 2nd percentile, Randy Vasquez posted a 6.4% Swinging Strike% this year.

Ranking in the 1st percentile, Randy Vasquez has recorded a 10.1% Strikeout% this year.

Petco Park projects as the #25 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense profiles as the strongest out of all the teams in action today.

Over the past 14 days, Jackson Merrill’s 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.9%.

The #5 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 5th-worst field in MLB for RHB batting average.

Hitting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Zach Neto will be at a disadvantage today.

Zach Neto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the last week, Zach Neto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 0%.

Zach Neto has been lucky this year, notching a .363 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .324 — a .039 disparity.

When assessing his home run skill, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nolan Schanuel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Sporting a 7.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Nolan Schanuel is positioned in the 10th percentile for power.

Power-wise, Nolan Schanuel grades out in the 18th percentile, having averaged 5.5 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Randy Vasquez will have the handedness advantage against Taylor Ward in today’s matchup.

Taylor Ward has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Taylor Ward are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Randy Vasquez.

When estimating his home run skill, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Rengifo is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Luis Rengifo has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Jo Adell is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Randy Vasquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jo Adell today.

Jo Adell will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Sporting a 4.01 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jo Adell has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 18th percentile.

Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Kyle Hendricks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s game.

In the last week, Xander Bogaerts’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 89.9 mph to 86.9 mph.

In the last 14 days, Xander Bogaerts’s 6.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.2%.

Jason Heyward is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jason Heyward has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Jason Heyward pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jason Heyward in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Kyle Hendricks’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 17th percentile out of all SPs in the majors right now.

Kyle Hendricks will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Kyle Hendricks’s fastball velocity has fallen 2 mph this year (85.5 mph) below where it was last season (87.5 mph).

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Kyle Hendricks in the 2nd percentile among all SPs in the league.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 17.9% underlying K%.

Kyle Hendricks’s 2075.5-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 13th percentile among all SPs.

Randy Vasquez will have the handedness advantage over Jorge Soler in today’s matchup.

Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Jorge Soler has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph dropping to 84.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today’s matchup.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, falling from 16.4% on the season to 6.3% over the last two weeks.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.9-mph EV last year has dropped to 89.5-mph.

There has been a significant decline in Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle from last season’s 13.5° to 9.9° this season.

Batting from the same side that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.4% down to 0%.

There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 9.7° to 5.3° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Luis Arraez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph dropping to 80.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.9-mph average last year has lowered to 85.4-mph.

Luis Arraez has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 11.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 2.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Yoan Moncada has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Yoan Moncada pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yoan Moncada in today’s matchup.

This year, Gavin Sheets has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Gavin Sheets pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Gavin Sheets has been lucky this year, notching a .364 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .058 gap.

Logan O’Hoppe is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Randy Vasquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan O’Hoppe in today’s game.

Logan O’Hoppe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyren Paris in the 8th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Kyren Paris is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

Randy Vasquez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyren Paris in today’s game.

Kyren Paris will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Kyren Paris has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 16.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 7.7% in the past week.

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