
LAA @ TOR





Positive Match Player Stats for Angels vs Blue Jays Series Game 4
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Rogers Centre has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.
Batting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Leo Jimenez will have an edge today.
Leo Jimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Leo Jimenez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.4% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week’s worth of games.
Extreme groundball bats like Will Wagner usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Anderson.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Will Wagner will hold that advantage today.
Posting a 93.8-mph average exit velocity over the past 14 days, Will Wagner has been in great form of late.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Will Wagner’s swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 73.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
George Springer will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Anderson in today’s matchup.
George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Zach Neto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Zach Neto has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last week.
Zach Neto has compiled a .335 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today.
As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Extreme groundball hitters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Anderson.
Tyler Anderson has averaged 95.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Gabe Morales) behind the plate in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 9th-best ballpark in MLB for strikeouts.
Due to his large reverse platoon split, Tyler Anderson will be at an advantage being matched up with 6 batters in the projected offense of opposing handedness in this outing.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Logan O’Hoppe has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.8% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week.
Logan O’Hoppe has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 94.4-mph.
Over the past 14 days, Logan O’Hoppe has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 23.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.4°.
Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Over the last 7 days, Daulton Varsho’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.1-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph in recent games.
There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho’s launch angle from last season’s 20.3° to 24.9° this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Jo Adell has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.6-mph.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jo Adell has had some very poor luck this year. His .296 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.
Sporting a 27.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jo Adell is positioned in the 86th percentile for power.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Taylor Ward is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.
Taylor Ward has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.2-mph average.
Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 17.8% to 22.6%.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Anthony Rendon ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Anthony Rendon is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Anthony Rendon has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 88.8-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Rendon’s true offensive skill to be a .323, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .056 gap between that figure and his actual .267 wOBA.
Kevin Pillar is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Over the past 7 days, Kevin Pillar’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.9%.
By putting up a .267 batting average this year, Kevin Pillar is positioned in the 77th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Ernie Clement is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Ernie Clement will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In his last game started, Tyler Anderson gave up a colossal 5 earned runs.
Matt Thaiss is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Matt Thaiss will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Matt Thaiss hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
As it relates to plate discipline, Matt Thaiss’s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 2.01 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 80th percentile.
This year, the hardest ball Jo Adell has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.6 mph (an advanced metric to assess power), ranking in the 94th percentile.
Ernie Clement has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 3.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past 7 days.
Brandon Drury hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Despite posting a .210 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brandon Drury has had bad variance on his side given the .091 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 6th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Leo Jimenez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his home run skill, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Negative Match Player Stats with Angels vs Blue Jays Series Game 4
Leo Jimenez is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.
Rogers Centre grades out as the #22 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
This matchup is forecasted to have the 3rd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 7th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Will Wagner is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.
Rogers Centre profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Among all parks, the 8th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Rogers Centre.
Over the past 14 days, George Springer’s 29.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.2%.
George Springer has compiled a .248 BABIP this year, ranking in the 9th percentile.
Jose Berrios will have the handedness advantage over Zach Neto in today’s game.
Zach Neto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Zach Neto has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 82.5-mph in the past week.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°, Alejandro Kirk has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.8°) in the past two weeks.
Alejandro Kirk has hit 8.2 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 11th percentile for power.
Over the last 14 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 6°.
The Toronto Blue Jays (20.2 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of all teams on the slate.
Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Anderson in today’s matchup.
Tyler Anderson didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his last GS and accumulated 2 Ks.
Among all SPs, Tyler Anderson’s fastball velocity of 88.8 mph ranks in the 1st percentile this year.
Tyler Anderson’s 2191-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 18th percentile out of all SPs.
Logan O’Hoppe is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.
Jose Berrios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan O’Hoppe today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Batting from the same side that Tyler Anderson throws from, Daulton Varsho encounters a tough challenge today.
Jo Adell is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Jose Berrios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jo Adell today.
Jose Berrios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taylor Ward today.
Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Jo Adell will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 22.6% on the season to 0% over the past week.
Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Anthony Rendon has a tough challenge today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Anthony Rendon in today’s game.
Kevin Pillar’s BABIP ability is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage against Kevin Pillar in today’s game.
There has been a decrease in Anthony Rendon’s average exit velocity this season, from 90.1 mph last year to 87.7 mph now, Tyler Anderson will hold the platoon advantage against Will Wagner in today’s game.
George Springer’s launch angle this season (8.8°) is considerably lower than his 11.8° figure last year.
Ernie Clement’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 85.5-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 83.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Alejandro Kirk has recorded a .266 BABIP this year, grading out in the 20th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst field in Major League Baseball for walks.
Logan O’Hoppe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Matt Thaiss’s BABIP skill is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
24% of the time that Matt Thaiss has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Thaiss in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run talent, Ernie Clement ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brandon Drury is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Brandon Drury faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle from last season’s 10.2° to 6.9° this year.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Drury in today’s matchup.
Matt Thaiss’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 16.6% to 11.4%.
Kevin Pillar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Will Wagner has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the last week.
Kevin Pillar’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 85.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82-mph over the last 14 days.
Typically, batters like Daulton Varsho who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Tyler Anderson.
Daulton Varsho’s launch angle in recent games (-2.7° in the past week’s worth of games) is significantly lower than his 24.9° seasonal mark.
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